Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 19:45 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 47' Ruben Loftus-Cheek
Alfred Duncan 50' 1–1
1–2 53' Rafael Leao

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC MilanSerie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Assistant 1 Matteo Passeri
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Costanzo
6 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar AC Milan H 1–2 L
10 Mar AS Roma H 2–2 D
02 Mar Torino FC A 0–0 D
26 Feb SS Lazio H 2–1 W
18 Feb Empoli FC A 1–1 D
14 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W
17 Mar Hellas Verona FC A 3–1 W
14 Mar SK Slavia Praha A 3–1 W
10 Mar Empoli FC H 1–0 W
07 Mar SK Slavia Praha H 4–2 W
01 Mar SS Lazio A 1–0 W

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina AC Milan
#15 Position #5
42 Points 70
38 Played 38
9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
41 Scored 53
50 Conceded 35
-9 GD +18
1.11 PPG 1.84
24% Win % 53%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Artemio Franchi, Firenze as ACF Fiorentina face off against AC Milan in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jonathan Ikone suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 13' Cristiano Biraghi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 18' ACF Fiorentina seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 21' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 21.
  • 24' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Martinez Quarta on 24.
  • 29' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 34' Both keepers have barely been tested. ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
  • 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' A tactical swap from AC MilanMatteo Gabbia on, Malick Thiaw off on 46 minutes.
  • 47' Ruben Loftus-Cheek does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
  • 50' A stunning finish from Alfred Duncan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 53' The Portugal Rafael Leao breaks the deadlock on 53 minutes. 1-2!
  • 58' Christian Kouame needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 62' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Rafael Leao is replaced by Noah Okafor.
  • 63' Yunus Musah gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Tijjani Reijnders and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' The home supporters are growing impatient. ACF Fiorentina must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 69' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Dodo departs to be replaced by Michael Kayode.
  • 73' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Samuel Chukwueze by Christian Pulisic on 73 minute.
  • 78' ACF Fiorentina are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 80' Another substitution for ACF Fiorentina to replace Lucas Beltran by M'Bala Nzola on 80 minute.
  • 82' AC Milan make a change. Olivier Giroud trudges off to be replaced by Luka Jovic on 82 minutes.
  • 87' The 29-year-old Rolando Mandragora has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Fikayo Tomori on 90 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • Full Time. AC Milan beats ACF Fiorentina

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.02 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina24% Draw27% AC Milan49%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
50%
Draw or AC Milan
76%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina18% Draw46% AC Milan36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9.2%
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 3
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 23% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
20%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.