ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.
- ACF Fiorentina 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Fabio Maresca
- Assistant 1 Matteo Passeri
- Assistant 2 Alessandro Costanzo
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | AC Milan | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Mar | AS Roma | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Mar | Torino FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Feb | SS Lazio | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Feb | Empoli FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Feb | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Hellas Verona FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | SK Slavia Praha | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | Empoli FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | SK Slavia Praha | H | 4–2 | W |
| 01 Mar | SS Lazio | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| ACF Fiorentina | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #5 |
| 4 | Points | 11 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 0 |
| 6 | Scored | 10 |
| 12 | Conceded | 4 |
| -6 | GD | +6 |
| 0.80 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 20% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
ACF Fiorentina this season
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
ACF Fiorentina
| Franco Mastantuono | 3 G |
| Mateo Pellegrino | 2 G |
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. ACF Fiorentina get us underway at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. ACF Fiorentina must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Rolando Mandragora, a Italy midfielder, has 43 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 13' Poor challenge from Cristiano Biraghi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 18' ACF Fiorentina are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 21' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
- 24' Lucas Martinez Quarta was booked on 24.
- 29' England international Ruben Loftus-Cheek has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 34' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 39' Both keepers have barely been tested. ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 46' AC Milan ring the changes. Malick Thiaw has done his job and it is now time for Matteo Gabbia to step up.
- 47' What a strike from Ruben Loftus-Cheek! The score is 0-1.
- 50' Alfred Duncan has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 50 minutes.
- 53' Against the run of play, Rafael Leao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Noah Okafor made 172 appearances and scored 19 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Noah Okafor. He replaces Rafael Leao on 62 minute.
- 63' Yunus Musah has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tijjani Reijnders on 63 minute.
- 68' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 69' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Dodo departs to be replaced by Michael Kayode.
- 73' Christian Pulisic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Samuel Chukwueze on 73 minute.
- 78' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 80' Time for substitution for ACF Fiorentina. Lucas Beltran is replaced by M'Bala Nzola.
- 82' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Olivier Giroud is replaced by Luka Jovic on 82 minute.
- 87' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Fikayo Tomori argues furiously but the card stands.
- Another three points for AC Milan.
Lineups
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 11
- 20
- 4
- 3
- 32
- 99
- 38
- 1
-
2
Dodo ↓ Michael Kayode 69'
-
9
Lucas Beltran ↓ M'Bala Nzola 80'
- 28
Bench
- 17
- 16
- 8
-
10
Nicolas Gonzalez ↑ 69'
- 6
- 22
- 7
- 72
- 65
- 19
-
18
M'Bala Nzola ↑ 80'
- 30
- 40
-
33
Michael Kayode ↑ 69'
- 37
Coach
Vincenzo Italiano
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
14
Tijjani Reijnders ↓ Yunus Musah 63'
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↓ Luka Jovic 82'
- 8
- 23
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Noah Okafor 62'
- 21
- 42
- 2
- 4
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↓ Matteo Gabbia 46'
Bench
- 7
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↑ 73'
-
15
Luka Jovic ↑ 82'
- 57
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 62'
-
46
Matteo Gabbia ↑ 46'
- 38
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 63'
- 69
- 95
- 85
- 82
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 3 |
| Erick Pulgar | 3 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Alfred Duncan | 2 |
| Franck Ribery | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
ACF Fiorentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93
ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.53
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + AC Milan to win 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
ACF Fiorentina or Draw
37%
Draw or AC Milan
84%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
8.2%
1 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
7.6%
0 – 4
5.2%
1 – 4
4.8%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina
| Handicap | ACF Fiorentina covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -0.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| +0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +1 | 29% | 21% | 49% |
| +1.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +2 | 51% | 20% | 29% |
| +2.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
Clean Sheet
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

