Sunday , 16 August 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 19:45 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 47' Ruben Loftus-Cheek
Alfred Duncan 50' 1–1
1–2 53' Rafael Leao

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC MilanSerie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Assistant 1 Matteo Passeri
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Costanzo

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar AC Milan H 1–2 L
10 Mar AS Roma H 2–2 D
02 Mar Torino FC A 0–0 D
26 Feb SS Lazio H 2–1 W
18 Feb Empoli FC A 1–1 D
14 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W
17 Mar Hellas Verona FC A 3–1 W
14 Mar SK Slavia Praha A 3–1 W
10 Mar Empoli FC H 1–0 W
07 Mar SK Slavia Praha H 4–2 W
01 Mar SS Lazio A 1–0 W

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina AC Milan
#18 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 18th (0 pts). AC Milan are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! ACF Fiorentina welcome AC Milan for this crunch clash at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Malick Thiaw suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 13' The referee has no hesitation. Cristiano Biraghi is booked for ACF Fiorentina — card on 13.
  • 18' ACF Fiorentina is showing some good football. However, ACF Fiorentina are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 21' Malick Thiaw catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 21.
  • 24' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lucas Martinez Quarta.
  • 29' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Jonathan Ikone has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' With 1 assists to his name this season, Rafael Leao is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Stefano Pioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 44' ACF Fiorentina started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
  • 46' Matteo Gabbia gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Malick Thiaw and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 47' What composure from Ruben Loftus-Cheek! The England international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 50' Alfred Duncan has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 50 minutes.
  • 53' What a moment for Rafael Leao! That strike on 53 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 58' Samuel Chukwueze, a Nigeria right winger, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 62' A tactical swap from AC MilanNoah Okafor on, Rafael Leao off on 62 minutes.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Tijjani Reijnders as he leaves the pitch. Yunus Musah steps in for AC Milan.
  • 68' The 35-year-old Alessandro Florenzi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 69' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Dodo is replaced by Michael Kayode on 69 minute.
  • 73' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Christian Pulisic is hanging Samuel Chukwueze on the field on 73 minute.
  • 78' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 80' A change in the ACF Fiorentina ranks — Lucas Beltran exits the field as M'Bala Nzola enters on 80.
  • 82' Luka Jovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Olivier Giroud at the 82 minute mark.
  • 87' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Fikayo Tomori on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.55 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + AC Milan or Draw 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina22% Draw35% AC Milan43%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
57%
Draw or AC Milan
78%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina12% Draw62% AC Milan26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.2%
0 – 1
19.7%
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 2
9.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
3.2%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 3
2.9%
1 – 3
1.8%
2 – 2
1.7%
0 – 4
0.7%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 14% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 26% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
40%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
58%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.