Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Empoli FC vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sun 18 Feb 2024 · 14:00 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 30' Lucas Beltran
M'Baye Niang pen 56' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Assistant 1 Marco Bresmes
  • Assistant 2 Gamal Mokhtar

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb ACF Fiorentina H 1–1 D
09 Feb US Salernitana 1919 A 3–1 W
03 Feb Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
27 Jan Juventus FC A 1–1 D
21 Jan AC Monza H 3–0 W
13 Jan Hellas Verona FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Empoli FC A 1–1 D
14 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 0–2 L
11 Feb Frosinone Calcio H 5–1 W
02 Feb US Lecce A 2–3 L
28 Jan FC Internazionale Milano H 0–1 L
14 Jan Udinese Calcio H 2–2 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
28% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.29 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Empoli FC47% Draw29% ACF Fiorentina24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
76%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
53%
Empoli FC or ACF Fiorentina
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Empoli FC30% Draw52% ACF Fiorentina18%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
13.8%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 24% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.