ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2022-23

ACF Fiorentina

2 – 1

Full Time

AC Milan

Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 19:45 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 12' Malick Thiaw

Arthur Cabral 29' Y

Y 35' Junior Messias

Y 36' Junior Messias

Jonathan Ikone 59' Y

Nicolas Gonzalez 70' Y

Vincenzo Italiano 79' Y

Y 80' Pierre Kalulu

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Marco Di Bello
Referee Juan Sacchi
Referee Aleandro Di Paolo
Referee Gamal Mokhtar
Referee
Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)

4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 2.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

ACF Fiorentina 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals AC Milan

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2022-11-13 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina 2022-05-01 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2021-11-20 ACF Fiorentina 4–3 AC Milan 2021-03-21 ACF Fiorentina 2–3 AC Milan

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	AC Milan	H	2–1	W
27 Feb	Hellas Verona FC	A	3–0	W
19 Feb	Empoli FC	H	1–1	D
12 Feb	Juventus FC	A	0–1	L
05 Feb	Bologna FC 1909	H	1–2	L
29 Jan	SS Lazio	A	1–1	D

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	ACF Fiorentina	A	1–2	L
26 Feb	Atalanta BC	H	2–0	W
18 Feb	AC Monza	A	1–0	W
14 Feb	Tottenham Hotspur FC	H	1–0	W
10 Feb	Torino FC	H	1–0	W
05 Feb	FC Internazionale Milano	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina		AC Milan
#15	Position	#5
42	Points	70
38	Played	38
9 / 15 / 14	W / D / L	20 / 10 / 8
41	Scored	53
50	Conceded	35
-9	GD	+18
1.11	PPG	1.84
24%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: AC Milan gets underway.
5' Junior Messias is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for ACF Fiorentina tonight.
10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
12' Controversy at the stadium! Malick Thiaw argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
17' Both keepers have barely been tested. ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
22' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
27' Divock Origi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
29' The referee has no hesitation. Arthur Cabral is booked for ACF Fiorentina — Yellow card on 29.
34' Morocco international Sofyan Amrabat has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
35' Junior Messias picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
36' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Junior Messias will be fuming at that decision.
41' ACF Fiorentina currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
46' AC Milan come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
49' What a strike from Nicolas Gonzalez! The score is 1-0.
54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
59' Jonathan Ikone is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
66' Zlatan Ibrahimovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Olivier Giroud at the 66 minute mark.
70' It’s a booking for ACF Fiorentina player. Nicolas Gonzalez gets a Yellow card.
74' Luca Ranieri gets the nod from ACF Fiorentina. He replaces Cristiano Biraghi and will look to change the dynamic.
79' Poor challenge from Vincenzo Italiano. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
80' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Pierre Kalulu gets a Yellow card.
81' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Arthur Cabral departs to be replaced by Luka Jovic.
83' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Charles De Ketelaere departs to be replaced by Yacine Adli.
87' Magnificent from Luka Jovic! That is 56 goals in 515 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
90' Sofyan Amrabat makes way for Antonin Barak at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from ACF Fiorentina.
The referee brings this contest to a close. ACF Fiorentina take all three points.

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

Starting XI

34
Sofyan Amrabat ↓ Antonin Barak 90'
9
Arthur Cabral ↓ Luka Jovic 81'
11
Jonathan Ikone
22
Nicolas Gonzalez ↓ Riccardo Sottil 90'
5
Giacomo Bonaventura ↓ Gaetano Castrovilli 81'
3
Cristiano Biraghi ↓ Luca Ranieri 74'
38
Rolando Mandragora
1
Pietro Terracciano
2
Dodo
28
Lucas Martinez
98
Igor Julio

Bench

Coach Vincenzo Italiano

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

9
Olivier Giroud ↓ Zlatan Ibrahimovic 66'
23
Fikayo Tomori
16
Mike Maignan
12
Ante Rebic ↓ Divock Origi 66'
19
Theo Hernandez
8
Sandro Tonali
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Tiemoue Bakayoko 66'
90
Charles De Ketelaere ↓ Yacine Adli 83'
20
Pierre Kalulu
28
Malick Thiaw
30
Junior Messias ↓ Alexis Saelemaekers 74'

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rafael Leao	4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	3
Dusan Vlahovic	3
Erick Pulgar	3
Franck Kessie	2
Hakan Calhanoglu	2
Alfred Duncan	2
Franck Ribery	2

Head to Head

ACF Fiorentina Form

2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan W 2023-02-27 Hellas Verona FC 0–3 ACF Fiorentina W 2023-02-19 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 Empoli FC D 2023-02-12 Juventus FC 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2023-02-05 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 Bologna FC 1909 L 2023-01-29 SS Lazio 1–1 ACF Fiorentina D

AC Milan Form

2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan L 2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC W 2023-02-18 AC Monza 0–1 AC Milan W 2023-02-14 AC Milan 1–0 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 2023-02-10 AC Milan 1–0 Torino FC W 2023-02-05 FC Internazionale Milano 1–0 AC Milan L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.24 ACF Fiorentina xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 AC Milan xG

I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

ACF Fiorentina36% Draw28% AC Milan36%

Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.69

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw

63%

Draw or AC Milan

64%

ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

ACF Fiorentina24% Draw47% AC Milan29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

0 – 1

8.8%

0 – 0

8.8%

1 – 2

8.5%

1 – 0

7.4%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

2 – 2

5.3%

2 – 0

5.1%

1 – 3

4.1%

0 – 3

3.3%

3 – 1

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap	ACF Fiorentina covers	Push	AC Milan covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	17%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	21%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.