Saturday , 14 November 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 19:45 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Di Bello
  • Referee Juan Sacchi
  • Referee Aleandro Di Paolo
  • Referee Gamal Mokhtar
  • Referee
  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar AC Milan H 2–1 W
27 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 3–0 W
19 Feb Empoli FC H 1–1 D
12 Feb Juventus FC A 0–1 L
05 Feb Bologna FC 1909 H 1–2 L
29 Jan SS Lazio A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L
26 Feb Atalanta BC H 2–0 W
18 Feb AC Monza A 1–0 W
14 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–0 W
10 Feb Torino FC H 1–0 W
05 Feb FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina AC Milan
#15 Position #4
9 Points 24
11 Played 11
2 / 3 / 6 W / D / L 7 / 3 / 1
17 Scored 23
25 Conceded 13
-8 GD +10
0.82 PPG 2.18
18% Win % 64%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
Mateo Pellegrino 4 G
Franco Mastantuono 4 G
Alieu Njie 3 G 2 A
AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and ACF Fiorentina launch into their encounter with AC Milan.
  • 5' Italy international Giacomo Bonaventura has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' The 26-year-old Pierre Kalulu has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 12' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Malick Thiaw will be fuming at that decision.
  • 17' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 22' Both keepers have barely been tested. ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jonathan Ikone, as he is very good at scoring at Artemio Franchi, Firenze with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
  • 29' Arthur Cabral is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
  • 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ACF Fiorentina that had 466 games and scored 434 goals.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Junior Messias.
  • 36' A moment of madness from Junior Messias on 36 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 49' Nicolas Gonzalez doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 54' Zlatan Ibrahimovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 59' Poor challenge from Jonathan Ikone. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 64' ACF Fiorentina are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
  • 66' The crowd applauds Olivier Giroud as he leaves the pitch. Zlatan Ibrahimovic steps in for AC Milan.
  • 70' Nicolas Gonzalez picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 74' ACF Fiorentina manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luca Ranieri is hanging Cristiano Biraghi on the field on 74 minute.
  • 79' A moment of madness from Vincenzo Italiano on 79 minutes earns him a Yellow card. ACF Fiorentina will be frustrated.
  • 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pierre Kalulu on 80.
  • 81' A tactical swap from ACF Fiorentina — Luka Jovic on, Arthur Cabral off on 81 minutes.
  • 83' AC Milan make a change. Charles De Ketelaere trudges off to be replaced by Yacine Adli on 83 minutes.
  • 87' Luka Jovic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 87 minutes.
  • 90' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Sofyan Amrabat is replaced by Antonin Barak on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.45 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.19 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina31% Draw23% AC Milan46%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
54%
Draw or AC Milan
69%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina21% Draw39% AC Milan40%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 3
6.4%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.5%
1 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 13% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 20% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 16% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.