ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.
- ACF Fiorentina 11 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Di Bello
- Referee Juan Sacchi
- Referee Aleandro Di Paolo
- Referee Gamal Mokhtar
- Referee
- Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
5 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 11.8 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | AC Milan | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Feb | Hellas Verona FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Feb | Empoli FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | Juventus FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Feb | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Jan | SS Lazio | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Atalanta BC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | AC Monza | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | Tottenham Hotspur FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | Torino FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| ACF Fiorentina | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #4 |
| 9 | Points | 24 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 2 / 3 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 1 |
| 17 | Scored | 23 |
| 25 | Conceded | 13 |
| -8 | GD | +10 |
| 0.82 | PPG | 2.18 |
| 18% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
ACF Fiorentina this season
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
ACF Fiorentina
| Mateo Pellegrino | 4 G | |
| Franco Mastantuono | 4 G | |
| Alieu Njie | 3 G | 2 A |
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and ACF Fiorentina launch into their encounter with AC Milan.
- 5' Italy international Giacomo Bonaventura has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' The 26-year-old Pierre Kalulu has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 12' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Malick Thiaw will be fuming at that decision.
- 17' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 22' Both keepers have barely been tested. ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jonathan Ikone, as he is very good at scoring at Artemio Franchi, Firenze with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
- 29' Arthur Cabral is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
- 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ACF Fiorentina that had 466 games and scored 434 goals.
- 35' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Junior Messias.
- 36' A moment of madness from Junior Messias on 36 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 46' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 49' Nicolas Gonzalez doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 54' Zlatan Ibrahimovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 59' Poor challenge from Jonathan Ikone. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 64' ACF Fiorentina are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
- 66' The crowd applauds Olivier Giroud as he leaves the pitch. Zlatan Ibrahimovic steps in for AC Milan.
- 70' Nicolas Gonzalez picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 74' ACF Fiorentina manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luca Ranieri is hanging Cristiano Biraghi on the field on 74 minute.
- 79' A moment of madness from Vincenzo Italiano on 79 minutes earns him a Yellow card. ACF Fiorentina will be frustrated.
- 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pierre Kalulu on 80.
- 81' A tactical swap from ACF Fiorentina — Luka Jovic on, Arthur Cabral off on 81 minutes.
- 83' AC Milan make a change. Charles De Ketelaere trudges off to be replaced by Yacine Adli on 83 minutes.
- 87' Luka Jovic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 87 minutes.
- 90' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Sofyan Amrabat is replaced by Antonin Barak on 90 minute.
- The final score is 2-1.
Lineups
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
Starting XI
-
34
Sofyan Amrabat ↓ Antonin Barak 90'
-
9
Arthur Cabral ↓ Luka Jovic 81'
- 11
- 22
- 5
- 3
- 38
- 1
- 2
- 28
- 98
Bench
-
10
Gaetano Castrovilli ↑ 81'
-
16
Luca Ranieri ↑ 74'
- 77
-
7
Luka Jovic ↑ 81'
- 56
- 4
-
33
Riccardo Sottil ↑ 90'
- 8
- 32
- 99
-
72
Antonin Barak ↑ 90'
- 31
- 23
- 42
Coach
Vincenzo Italiano
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 23
- 16
-
12
Ante Rebic ↓ Divock Origi 66'
- 19
- 8
- 4
- 90
- 20
- 28
- 30
Bench
-
27
Divock Origi ↑ 66'
-
7
Yacine Adli ↑ 83'
- 5
- 1
- 24
- 25
- 83
- 2
-
14
Tiemoue Bakayoko ↑ 66'
-
11
Zlatan Ibrahimovic ↑ 66'
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 74'
- 40
- 21
- 32
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 3 |
| Erick Pulgar | 3 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Alfred Duncan | 2 |
| Franck Ribery | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
ACF Fiorentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.45
ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.19
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: ACF Fiorentina win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
ACF Fiorentina or Draw
54%
Draw or AC Milan
69%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 3
6.4%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.5%
1 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina
| Handicap | ACF Fiorentina covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 16% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

