Wednesday , 30 September 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
ACF Fiorentina
2 – 1
Full Time
AC Milan
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 19:45 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 12' Malick Thiaw
Arthur Cabral 29' Y
Y 35' Junior Messias
Y 36' Junior Messias
Jonathan Ikone 59' Y
Nicolas Gonzalez 70' Y
Vincenzo Italiano 79' Y
Y 80' Pierre Kalulu

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Di Bello
  • Referee Juan Sacchi
  • Referee Aleandro Di Paolo
  • Referee Gamal Mokhtar
  • Referee
  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Roma 5 13
2 FC Internazionale Milano 5 13
3 SS Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Calcio 5 12
5 AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Calcio 5 10
7 Juventus FC 5 10
8 Como 1907 5 10
9 SSC Napoli 5 7
10 US Sassuolo Calcio 5 7
11 Atalanta BC 5 6
12 US Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Calcio 5 4
14 Torino FC 5 4
15 Parma Calcio 1913 5 4
16 AC Monza 5 4
17 ACF Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna FC 1909 5 2
19 Genoa CFC 5 1
20 Venezia FC 5 0

Head-to-Head

8
5
11
ACF Fiorentina 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2022-11-13 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina 2022-05-01 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2021-11-20 ACF Fiorentina 4–3 AC Milan 2021-03-21 ACF Fiorentina 2–3 AC Milan

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar AC Milan H 2–1 W
27 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 3–0 W
19 Feb Empoli FC H 1–1 D
12 Feb Juventus FC A 0–1 L
05 Feb Bologna FC 1909 H 1–2 L
29 Jan SS Lazio A 1–1 D
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L
26 Feb Atalanta BC H 2–0 W
18 Feb AC Monza A 1–0 W
14 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–0 W
10 Feb Torino FC H 1–0 W
05 Feb FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina AC Milan
#17 Position #5
4 Points 11
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
6 Scored 10
12 Conceded 4
-6 GD +6
0.80 PPG 2.20
20% Win % 60%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G
AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. ACF Fiorentina is hosting AC Milan for another epic battle.
  • 5' ACF Fiorentina currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 12' The referee calls foul for Malick Thiaw. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 17' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sandro Tonali suffering a number of foals already.
  • 27' ACF Fiorentina is showing some good football. However, ACF Fiorentina are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 29' That is a Yellow card for ACF Fiorentina. Arthur Cabral will be fuming at that decision.
  • 34' It is a cagey affair so far. ACF Fiorentina in their trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact .
  • 35' Junior Messias was booked on 35.
  • 36' Junior Messias was booked on 36.
  • 41' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 46' Pierre Kalulu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 49' Nicolas Gonzalez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
  • 54' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 59' Jonathan Ikone catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 59.
  • 64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yacine Adli made 523 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 66' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Olivier Giroud departs to be replaced by Zlatan Ibrahimovic.
  • 70' Controversy at the stadium! Nicolas Gonzalez argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 74' The crowd applauds Cristiano Biraghi as he leaves the pitch. Luca Ranieri steps in for ACF Fiorentina.
  • 79' A moment of madness from Vincenzo Italiano on 79 minutes earns him a Yellow card. ACF Fiorentina will be frustrated.
  • 80' Pierre Kalulu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 80.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Arthur Cabral as he leaves the pitch. Luka Jovic steps in for ACF Fiorentina.
  • 83' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Charles De Ketelaere exits the field as Yacine Adli enters on 83.
  • 87' Luka Jovic does the damage! The net is bulging and ACF Fiorentina surge ahead!
  • 90' Time for substitution for ACF Fiorentina. Sofyan Amrabat is replaced by Antonin Barak.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AC Milan.

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vincenzo Italiano

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 3
Dusan Vlahovic 3
Erick Pulgar 3
Franck Kessie 2
Hakan Calhanoglu 2
Alfred Duncan 2
Franck Ribery 2

Head to Head

2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2022-11-13 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina 2022-05-01 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2021-11-20 ACF Fiorentina 4–3 AC Milan 2021-03-21 ACF Fiorentina 2–3 AC Milan

ACF Fiorentina Form

2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan W 2023-02-27 Hellas Verona FC 0–3 ACF Fiorentina W 2023-02-19 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 Empoli FC D 2023-02-12 Juventus FC 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2023-02-05 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 Bologna FC 1909 L 2023-01-29 SS Lazio 1–1 ACF Fiorentina D

AC Milan Form

2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan L 2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC W 2023-02-18 AC Monza 0–1 AC Milan W 2023-02-14 AC Milan 1–0 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 2023-02-10 AC Milan 1–0 Torino FC W 2023-02-05 FC Internazionale Milano 1–0 AC Milan L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.31 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina26% Draw22% AC Milan52%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
48%
Draw or AC Milan
74%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina16% Draw39% AC Milan45%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.3%
1 – 1
9.1%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 1
6.8%
0 – 3
6.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.5%
1 – 4
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
0 – 4
3.6%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 10% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 38% — 62%
+1 38% 21% 41%
+1.5 59% — 41%
+2 59% 19% 22%
+2.5 78% — 22%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.