Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2021-22
Sun 1 May 2022 · 13:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Paolo Valeri
  • Referee Massimiliano Irrati
  • Referee Sergio Ranghetti
  • Referee Mauro Vivenzi
  • Referee Livio Marinelli
  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
24 Apr SS Lazio A 2–1 W
15 Apr Genoa CFC H 2–0 W
10 Apr Torino FC A 0–0 D
04 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 0–0 D
19 Mar Cagliari Calcio A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May AC Milan A 0–1 L
27 Apr Udinese Calcio H 0–4 L
24 Apr US Salernitana 1919 A 1–2 L
16 Apr Venezia FC H 1–0 W
10 Apr SSC Napoli A 3–2 W
03 Apr Empoli FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#5 Position #17
11 Points 4
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
10 Scored 6
4 Conceded 12
+6 GD -6
2.20 PPG 0.80
60% Win % 20%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A
ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.73 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 73% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan73% Draw17% ACF Fiorentina10%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
90%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
27%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
83%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan57% Draw34% ACF Fiorentina9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.4%
3 – 0
10%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
7%
4 – 0
6.8%
4 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
4.3%
5 – 0
3.7%
2 – 2
3.2%
5 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 36% — 64%
-2 36% 21% 43%
-1.5 57% — 43%
-1 57% 20% 23%
-0.5 77% — 23%
+0.5 93% — 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.