Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
Sun 13 Nov 2022 · 17:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Di Bello
  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Referee Lucas Mondin
  • Referee Salvatore Longo
  • Referee Simone Sozza
  • Referee Davide Moro (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Nov ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
08 Nov US Cremonese A 0–0 D
05 Nov Spezia Calcio H 2–1 W
02 Nov FC Red Bull Salzburg H 4–0 W
30 Oct Torino FC A 1–2 L
25 Oct GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Nov AC Milan A 1–2 L
09 Nov US Salernitana 1919 H 2–1 W
06 Nov UC Sampdoria A 2–0 W
30 Oct Spezia Calcio A 2–1 W
22 Oct FC Internazionale Milano H 3–4 L
17 Oct US Lecce A 1–1 D

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#5 Position #17
11 Points 4
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
10 Scored 6
4 Conceded 12
+6 GD -6
2.20 PPG 0.80
60% Win % 20%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A
ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina get this one started.
  • 2' AC Milan is taking the lead after the goal scored by Rafael Leao on 2.
  • 7' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 12' The 28-year-old Jonathan Ikone has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 17' Luka Jovic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 56 goals in his last 517 appearances.
  • 18' The whistle greets Dodo as he departs to be replaced by Lorenzo Venuti.
  • 21' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Brahim Diaz will be fuming at that decision.
  • 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 28' Antonin Barak is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the midfielder.
  • 33' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 38' Alfred Duncan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 43' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 48' The travelling ACF Fiorentina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 49' The referee has no hesitation. Antonin Barak is booked for ACF Fiorentina — Yellow card on 49.
  • 50' Riccardo Saponara was booked on 50.
  • 51' That is a Yellow card for ACF Fiorentina. Riccardo Saponara will be fuming at that decision.
  • 55' AC Milan ring the changes. Brahim Diaz has done his job and it is now time for Divock Origi to step up.
  • 56' The crowd applauds Malick Thiaw as he leaves the pitch. Sergino Dest steps in for AC Milan.
  • 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 63' The referee shows ACF Fiorentina player a Yellow card on 63.
  • 66' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Arthur Cabral is replaced by Luka Jovic on 66 minute.
  • 71' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
  • 74' A moment of madness from Luka Jovic on 74 minutes earns him a Yellow card. ACF Fiorentina will be frustrated.
  • 75' The whistle greets Antonin Barak as he departs to be replaced by Aleksa Terzic.
  • 80' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 85' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 86' Sandro Tonali makes way for Ante Rebic at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.93 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + AC Milan to win 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan71% Draw17% ACF Fiorentina12%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
88%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
29%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
83%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan57% Draw33% ACF Fiorentina10%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.1%
3 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.9%
1 – 1
6.5%
4 – 0
6.1%
1 – 0
6%
4 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.8%
5 – 0
3.6%
5 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 36% — 64%
-2 36% 20% 43%
-1.5 57% — 43%
-1 57% 19% 24%
-0.5 76% — 24%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.