AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at San Siro.
- AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Di Bello
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Referee Lucas Mondin
- Referee Salvatore Longo
- Referee Simone Sozza
- Referee Davide Moro (Italy)
3 games this season
🟨 3.7/game
⚽ 12.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Nov | US Cremonese | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | Spezia Calcio | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | FC Red Bull Salzburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | A | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov | AC Milan | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | US Salernitana 1919 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Nov | UC Sampdoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | Spezia Calcio | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 3–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | US Lecce | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #17 |
| 11 | Points | 4 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 3 / 2 / 0 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| 10 | Scored | 6 |
| 4 | Conceded | 12 |
| +6 | GD | -6 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 0.80 |
| 60% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
0%
Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
ACF Fiorentina this season
AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
ACF Fiorentina
| Franco Mastantuono | 3 G |
| Mateo Pellegrino | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina get this one started.
- 2' AC Milan is taking the lead after the goal scored by Rafael Leao on 2.
- 7' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 12' The 28-year-old Jonathan Ikone has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 17' Luka Jovic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 56 goals in his last 517 appearances.
- 18' The whistle greets Dodo as he departs to be replaced by Lorenzo Venuti.
- 21' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Brahim Diaz will be fuming at that decision.
- 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 28' Antonin Barak is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the midfielder.
- 33' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 38' Alfred Duncan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 43' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 48' The travelling ACF Fiorentina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 49' The referee has no hesitation. Antonin Barak is booked for ACF Fiorentina — Yellow card on 49.
- 50' Riccardo Saponara was booked on 50.
- 51' That is a Yellow card for ACF Fiorentina. Riccardo Saponara will be fuming at that decision.
- 55' AC Milan ring the changes. Brahim Diaz has done his job and it is now time for Divock Origi to step up.
- 56' The crowd applauds Malick Thiaw as he leaves the pitch. Sergino Dest steps in for AC Milan.
- 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 63' The referee shows ACF Fiorentina player a Yellow card on 63.
- 66' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Arthur Cabral is replaced by Luka Jovic on 66 minute.
- 71' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
- 74' A moment of madness from Luka Jovic on 74 minutes earns him a Yellow card. ACF Fiorentina will be frustrated.
- 75' The whistle greets Antonin Barak as he departs to be replaced by Aleksa Terzic.
- 80' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 85' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
- 86' Sandro Tonali makes way for Ante Rebic at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
10
Brahim Diaz ↓ Divock Origi 55'
- 23
- 17
- 1
- 19
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Ante Rebic 86'
-
33
Rade Krunic ↓ Aster Vranckx 75'
- 4
- 20
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↓ Sergino Dest 56'
Bench
-
27
Divock Origi ↑ 55'
- 7
- 5
-
12
Ante Rebic ↑ 86'
- 24
- 83
- 14
-
40
Aster Vranckx ↑ 75'
-
21
Sergino Dest ↑ 56'
- 90
- 32
- 96
Coach
Stefano Pioli
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
-
9
Arthur Cabral ↓ Luka Jovic 66'
- 11
- 4
- 3
- 8
-
72
Antonin Barak ↓ Aleksa Terzic 75'
- 38
- 1
-
2
Dodo ↓ Lorenzo Venuti 18'
- 98
Bench
- 16
-
7
Luka Jovic ↑ 66'
- 95
- 5
-
32
Alfred Duncan ↑ 66'
-
99
Christian Kouame ↑ 75'
-
15
Aleksa Terzic ↑ 75'
- 28
- 31
-
23
Lorenzo Venuti ↑ 18'
- 42
- 14
Coach
Vincenzo Italiano
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 3 |
| Erick Pulgar | 3 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Alfred Duncan | 2 |
| Franck Ribery | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
ACF Fiorentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.93
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + AC Milan to win 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
88%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
29%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
83%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.1%
3 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.9%
1 – 1
6.5%
4 – 0
6.1%
1 – 0
6%
4 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.8%
5 – 0
3.6%
5 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -2 | 36% | 20% | 43% |
| -1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| -1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| -0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

