AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at San Siro.
- AC Milan 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 11 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Di Bello
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Referee Lucas Mondin
- Referee Salvatore Longo
- Referee Simone Sozza
- Referee Davide Moro (Italy)
5 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 11.8 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Nov | US Cremonese | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | Spezia Calcio | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | FC Red Bull Salzburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | A | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov | AC Milan | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | US Salernitana 1919 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Nov | UC Sampdoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | Spezia Calcio | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 3–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | US Lecce | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #15 |
| 24 | Points | 9 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 7 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 6 |
| 23 | Scored | 17 |
| 13 | Conceded | 25 |
| +10 | GD | -8 |
| 2.18 | PPG | 0.82 |
| 64% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
0%
Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
ACF Fiorentina this season
AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
ACF Fiorentina
| Mateo Pellegrino | 4 G | |
| Franco Mastantuono | 4 G | |
| Alieu Njie | 3 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina has kicked off!
- 2' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Rafael Leao makes it 1-0.
- 7' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 12' Jonathan Ikone has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 17' AC Milan have won 627 goals from 530 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 18' Lorenzo Venuti has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dodo on 18 minute.
- 21' Brahim Diaz has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 21.
- 26' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined ACF Fiorentina backline.
- 28' What a strike from Antonin Barak! The score is 1-1.
- 33' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 38' Cristiano Biraghi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 43' Ciprian Tatarusanu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 48' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 49' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Antonin Barak on 49 minutes.
- 50' The referee shows ACF Fiorentina player a Yellow card on 50.
- 51' Riccardo Saponara was booked on 51.
- 55' Brahim Diaz makes way for Divock Origi at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 56' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sergino Dest is hanging Malick Thiaw on the field on 56 minute.
- 61' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 63' ACF Fiorentina player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 66' Fresh legs for ACF Fiorentina! Luka Jovic comes on to replace Arthur Cabral.
- 71' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 74' Luka Jovic picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 75' Aleksa Terzic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Antonin Barak at the 75 minute mark.
- 80' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 85' ACF Fiorentina come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 86' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Sandro Tonali is withdrawn and Ante Rebic gets his opportunity.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Milan to claim maximum points.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
10
Brahim Diaz ↓ Divock Origi 55'
- 23
- 17
- 1
- 19
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Ante Rebic 86'
-
33
Rade Krunic ↓ Aster Vranckx 75'
- 4
- 20
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↓ Sergino Dest 56'
Bench
-
27
Divock Origi ↑ 55'
- 7
- 5
-
12
Ante Rebic ↑ 86'
- 24
- 83
- 14
-
40
Aster Vranckx ↑ 75'
-
21
Sergino Dest ↑ 56'
- 90
- 32
- 96
Coach
Stefano Pioli
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
-
9
Arthur Cabral ↓ Luka Jovic 66'
- 11
- 4
- 3
- 8
-
72
Antonin Barak ↓ Aleksa Terzic 75'
- 38
- 1
-
2
Dodo ↓ Lorenzo Venuti 18'
- 98
Bench
- 16
-
7
Luka Jovic ↑ 66'
- 95
- 5
-
32
Alfred Duncan ↑ 66'
-
99
Christian Kouame ↑ 75'
-
15
Aleksa Terzic ↑ 75'
- 28
- 31
-
23
Lorenzo Venuti ↑ 18'
- 42
- 14
Coach
Vincenzo Italiano
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Erick Pulgar | 3 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 3 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Alfred Duncan | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
ACF Fiorentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.78
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + AC Milan to win 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.98
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
85%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
34%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
82%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.6%
4 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
3.7%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -2 | 30% | 19% | 51% |
| -1.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| -1 | 49% | 20% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 8% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

