Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
Sun 13 Nov 2022 · 17:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Di Bello
  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Referee Lucas Mondin
  • Referee Salvatore Longo
  • Referee Simone Sozza
  • Referee Davide Moro (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Nov ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
08 Nov US Cremonese A 0–0 D
05 Nov Spezia Calcio H 2–1 W
02 Nov FC Red Bull Salzburg H 4–0 W
30 Oct Torino FC A 1–2 L
25 Oct GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Nov AC Milan A 1–2 L
09 Nov US Salernitana 1919 H 2–1 W
06 Nov UC Sampdoria A 2–0 W
30 Oct Spezia Calcio A 2–1 W
22 Oct FC Internazionale Milano H 3–4 L
17 Oct US Lecce A 1–1 D

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#8 Position #18
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 18th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. AC Milan get us underway at San Siro.
  • 2' The Portugal Rafael Leao breaks the deadlock on 2 minutes. 1-0!
  • 7' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 12' Italy international Rolando Mandragora has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 17' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 18' ACF Fiorentina ring the changes. Dodo has done his job and it is now time for Lorenzo Venuti to step up.
  • 21' Brahim Diaz was booked on 21.
  • 26' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 28' The Czech Republic attacking midfielder Antonin Barak breaks the deadlock on 28 minutes. 1-1!
  • 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 38' ACF Fiorentina is showing some good football. However, ACF Fiorentina are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 43' AC Milan have won 600 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 48' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincenzo Italiano might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 49' Antonin Barak picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' The referee calls foul for Riccardo Saponara. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 51' ACF Fiorentina receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 51.
  • 55' Another change for AC Milan made on 55 minute. Brahim Diaz leaves to be changed by Divock Origi.
  • 56' The whistle greets Malick Thiaw as he departs to be replaced by Sergino Dest.
  • 61' Rade Krunic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
  • 63' Rolando Mandragora picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 66' ACF Fiorentina ring the changes. Arthur Cabral has done his job and it is now time for Luka Jovic to step up.
  • 71' ACF Fiorentina come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 74' Luka Jovic is having his name booked by the referee on 74.
  • 75' ACF Fiorentina manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aleksa Terzic is hanging Antonin Barak on the field on 75 minute.
  • 80' Malick Thiaw has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 406 appearances.
  • 85' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ACF Fiorentina that had 456 games and scored 420 goals.
  • 86' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Sandro Tonali is replaced by Ante Rebic on 86 minute.
  • ACF Fiorentina will have plenty to reflect on. AC Milan were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan47% Draw32% ACF Fiorentina21%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 50%
50%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
80%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
53%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan27% Draw59% ACF Fiorentina14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
21.7%
1 – 0
18.1%
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
3 – 1
2.2%
2 – 2
2.2%
1 – 3
0.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 25% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 15% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
53%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.