Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
Sun 13 Nov 2022 · 17:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Di Bello
  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Referee Lucas Mondin
  • Referee Salvatore Longo
  • Referee Simone Sozza
  • Referee Davide Moro (Italy)
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Nov ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
08 Nov US Cremonese A 0–0 D
05 Nov Spezia Calcio H 2–1 W
02 Nov FC Red Bull Salzburg H 4–0 W
30 Oct Torino FC A 1–2 L
25 Oct GNK Dinamo Zagreb A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Nov AC Milan A 1–2 L
09 Nov US Salernitana 1919 H 2–1 W
06 Nov UC Sampdoria A 2–0 W
30 Oct Spezia Calcio A 2–1 W
22 Oct FC Internazionale Milano H 3–4 L
17 Oct US Lecce A 1–1 D

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#5 Position #15
70 Points 42
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
53 Scored 41
35 Conceded 50
+18 GD -9
1.84 PPG 1.11
53% Win % 24%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. ACF Fiorentina kicks off things out of here…
  • 2' Magnificent from Rafael Leao! That is 79 goals in 466 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 7' The travelling ACF Fiorentina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 12' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 17' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 18' Time for substitution for ACF Fiorentina. Dodo is replaced by Lorenzo Venuti.
  • 21' Brahim Diaz is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
  • 26' Jonathan Ikone has been relatively quiet despite scoring 30 goals in his last 466 appearances.
  • 28' Antonin Barak makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and ACF Fiorentina are in front.
  • 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
  • 38' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincenzo Italiano might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 48' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ACF Fiorentina that had 456 games and scored 420 goals.
  • 49' The referee has no hesitation. Antonin Barak is booked for ACF Fiorentina — Yellow card on 49.
  • 50' The referee has no hesitation. Riccardo Saponara is booked for ACF Fiorentina — Yellow card on 50.
  • 51' Riccardo Saponara is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
  • 55' Brahim Diaz makes way for Divock Origi at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 56' Sergino Dest is ready to make an impact after coming on for Malick Thiaw at the 56 minute mark.
  • 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. ACF Fiorentina needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 63' ACF Fiorentina player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Luka Jovic. He replaces Arthur Cabral on 66 minute.
  • 71' With 0 assists to his name this season, Sofyan Amrabat is clearly more than just a goal scorer for ACF Fiorentina.
  • 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luka Jovic on 74.
  • 75' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 75 minute. Antonin Barak leaves to be changed by Aleksa Terzic.
  • 80' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 85' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 86' Ante Rebic is replacing Sandro Tonali for the AC Milan side.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.89 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan57% Draw24% ACF Fiorentina19%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
43%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan40% Draw43% ACF Fiorentina17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 23% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
36%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.