AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at San Siro.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Di Bello
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Referee Lucas Mondin
- Referee Salvatore Longo
- Referee Simone Sozza
- Referee Davide Moro (Italy)
4 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 2.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Nov | US Cremonese | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | Spezia Calcio | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | FC Red Bull Salzburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | A | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov | AC Milan | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | US Salernitana 1919 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Nov | UC Sampdoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | Spezia Calcio | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 3–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | US Lecce | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #15 |
| 70 | Points | 42 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 15 / 14 |
| 53 | Scored | 41 |
| 35 | Conceded | 50 |
| +18 | GD | -9 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 53% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. ACF Fiorentina kicks off things out of here…
- 2' Magnificent from Rafael Leao! That is 79 goals in 466 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 7' The travelling ACF Fiorentina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 12' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 17' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 18' Time for substitution for ACF Fiorentina. Dodo is replaced by Lorenzo Venuti.
- 21' Brahim Diaz is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
- 26' Jonathan Ikone has been relatively quiet despite scoring 30 goals in his last 466 appearances.
- 28' Antonin Barak makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and ACF Fiorentina are in front.
- 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
- 38' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincenzo Italiano might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 48' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ACF Fiorentina that had 456 games and scored 420 goals.
- 49' The referee has no hesitation. Antonin Barak is booked for ACF Fiorentina — Yellow card on 49.
- 50' The referee has no hesitation. Riccardo Saponara is booked for ACF Fiorentina — Yellow card on 50.
- 51' Riccardo Saponara is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
- 55' Brahim Diaz makes way for Divock Origi at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 56' Sergino Dest is ready to make an impact after coming on for Malick Thiaw at the 56 minute mark.
- 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. ACF Fiorentina needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 63' ACF Fiorentina player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Luka Jovic. He replaces Arthur Cabral on 66 minute.
- 71' With 0 assists to his name this season, Sofyan Amrabat is clearly more than just a goal scorer for ACF Fiorentina.
- 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Luka Jovic on 74.
- 75' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 75 minute. Antonin Barak leaves to be changed by Aleksa Terzic.
- 80' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 85' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 86' Ante Rebic is replacing Sandro Tonali for the AC Milan side.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
10
Brahim Diaz ↓ Divock Origi 55'
- 23
- 17
- 1
- 19
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Ante Rebic 86'
-
33
Rade Krunic ↓ Aster Vranckx 75'
- 4
- 20
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↓ Sergino Dest 56'
Bench
-
27
Divock Origi ↑ 55'
- 7
- 5
-
12
Ante Rebic ↑ 86'
- 24
- 83
- 14
-
40
Aster Vranckx ↑ 75'
-
21
Sergino Dest ↑ 56'
- 90
- 32
- 96
Coach
Stefano Pioli
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
-
9
Arthur Cabral ↓ Luka Jovic 66'
- 11
- 4
- 3
- 8
-
72
Antonin Barak ↓ Aleksa Terzic 75'
- 38
- 1
-
2
Dodo ↓ Lorenzo Venuti 18'
- 98
Bench
- 16
-
7
Luka Jovic ↑ 66'
- 95
- 5
-
32
Alfred Duncan ↑ 66'
-
99
Christian Kouame ↑ 75'
-
15
Aleksa Terzic ↑ 75'
- 28
- 31
-
23
Lorenzo Venuti ↑ 18'
- 42
- 14
Coach
Vincenzo Italiano
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 3 |
| Erick Pulgar | 3 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Alfred Duncan | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
ACF Fiorentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.89
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
43%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 23% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

