Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
Theo Hernandez pen 45+2' 1–0
Y 12' Arthur

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Di Bello
  • Assistant 1 Pietro Dei Giudici
  • Assistant 2 Damiano Margani

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
11 Nov US Lecce A 2–2 D
07 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
29 Oct SSC Napoli A 2–2 D
25 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov AC Milan A 0–1 L
12 Nov Bologna FC 1909 H 2–1 W
05 Nov Juventus FC H 0–1 L
30 Oct SS Lazio A 0–1 L
23 Oct Empoli FC H 0–2 L
08 Oct SSC Napoli A 3–1 W

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#8 Position #18
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 18th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. ACF Fiorentina kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' It looks surprising ACF Fiorentina does not make any changes. Pietro Terracciano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 12' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Arthur.
  • 17' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past ACF Fiorentina's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 45' ACF Fiorentina receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 46' Maxime Lopez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Arthur on 46 minute.
  • 47' The deadlock is broken! Theo Hernandez gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
  • 52' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' Fikayo Tomori catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 56.
  • 61' Another change for AC Milan made on 61 minute. Christian Pulisic leaves to be changed by Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
  • 66' Alfred Duncan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 70' M'Bala Nzola is replacing Lucas Beltran for the ACF Fiorentina side.
  • 75' Arthur has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 80' It looks like no one’s ball. ACF Fiorentina is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 81' The ACF Fiorentina bench stirs into life. Riccardo Sottil is withdrawn and Jonathan Ikone gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Rolando Mandragora gets the nod from ACF Fiorentina. He replaces Alfred Duncan and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Giacomo Bonaventura is replaced by Rade Krunic on 84 minute.
  • 88' ACF Fiorentina manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Christian Kouame is hanging Davide Calabria on the field on 88 minute.
  • 1-0 the final result. ACF Fiorentina will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.65 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.48 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan39% Draw40% ACF Fiorentina21%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 65%
35%
± 1.5 32%
68%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
79%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
61%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan18% Draw70% ACF Fiorentina12%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
35.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
13.7%
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 1
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%
1 – 2
2.5%
3 – 0
1.3%
2 – 2
1%
3 – 1
0.8%
0 – 3
0.5%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 23% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 16% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
62%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
53%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.