Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
AC Milan
1 – 0
Full Time
ACF Fiorentina
Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
Theo Hernandez pen 45+2' 1–0
Y 12' Arthur
Y 45' Fabiano Parisi
Fikayo Tomori 56' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Di Bello
  • Assistant 1 Pietro Dei Giudici
  • Assistant 2 Damiano Margani
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 2.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

11
5
8
AC Milan 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals ACF Fiorentina
Last 5 meetings
2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2022-11-13 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina 2022-05-01 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2021-11-20 ACF Fiorentina 4–3 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
11 Nov US Lecce A 2–2 D
07 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
29 Oct SSC Napoli A 2–2 D
25 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–3 L
ACF Fiorentina
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov AC Milan A 0–1 L
12 Nov Bologna FC 1909 H 2–1 W
05 Nov Juventus FC H 0–1 L
30 Oct SS Lazio A 0–1 L
23 Oct Empoli FC H 0–2 L
08 Oct SSC Napoli A 3–1 W

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#5 Position #15
70 Points 42
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
53 Scored 41
35 Conceded 50
+18 GD -9
1.84 PPG 1.11
53% Win % 24%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' AC Milan have kicked off against ACF Fiorentina. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 12' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Arthur.
  • 17' Yunus Musah has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 22' A quiet spell here at Giuseppe Meazza. ACF Fiorentina seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 27' ACF Fiorentina seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 32' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 37' The energy levels are beginning to show. Stefano Pioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 42' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 45' Fabiano Parisi was booked on 45.
  • 46' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 46 minute. Arthur leaves to be changed by Maxime Lopez.
  • 47' Theo Hernandez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 52' Jonathan Ikone needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 56' The referee has no hesitation. Fikayo Tomori is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 56.
  • 61' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Christian Pulisic departs to be replaced by Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
  • 66' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 70' M'Bala Nzola is replacing Lucas Beltran for the ACF Fiorentina side.
  • 75' The 26-year-old Tommaso Pobega has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 80' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 81' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Riccardo Sottil departs to be replaced by Jonathan Ikone.
  • 82' A change in the ACF Fiorentina ranks — Alfred Duncan exits the field as Rolando Mandragora enters on 82.
  • 84' Rade Krunic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Giacomo Bonaventura at the 84 minute mark.
  • 88' The ACF Fiorentina bench stirs into life. Davide Calabria is withdrawn and Christian Kouame gets his opportunity.
  • AC Milan celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vincenzo Italiano

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 4
Erick Pulgar 3
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 3
Dusan Vlahovic 3
Alfred Duncan 2
Franck Ribery 2
Theo Hernandez 2
Franck Kessie 2

Head to Head

2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2022-11-13 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina 2022-05-01 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2021-11-20 ACF Fiorentina 4–3 AC Milan

AC Milan Form

2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina W 2023-11-11 US Lecce 2–2 AC Milan D 2023-11-07 AC Milan 2–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2023-11-04 AC Milan 0–1 Udinese Calcio L 2023-10-29 SSC Napoli 2–2 AC Milan D 2023-10-25 Paris Saint-Germain FC 3–0 AC Milan L

ACF Fiorentina Form

2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2023-11-12 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 Bologna FC 1909 W 2023-11-05 ACF Fiorentina 0–1 Juventus FC L 2023-10-30 SS Lazio 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2023-10-23 ACF Fiorentina 0–2 Empoli FC L 2023-10-08 SSC Napoli 1–3 ACF Fiorentina W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan53% Draw27% ACF Fiorentina20%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
79%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
47%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan35% Draw49% ACF Fiorentina16%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.