Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
AC Milan
1 – 0
Full Time
ACF Fiorentina
Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
Theo Hernandez pen 45+2' 1–0
Y 12' Arthur
Y 45' Fabiano Parisi
Fikayo Tomori 56' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Di Bello
  • Assistant 1 Pietro Dei Giudici
  • Assistant 2 Damiano Margani
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SS Lazio 11 29
2 FC Internazionale Milano 11 28
3 AS Roma 11 27
4 AC Milan 11 24
5 Como 1907 11 23
6 Frosinone Calcio 11 20
7 Juventus FC 11 18
8 Bologna FC 1909 11 17
9 Cagliari Calcio 11 16
10 SSC Napoli 11 15
11 Torino FC 11 14
12 Atalanta BC 11 14
13 Genoa CFC 11 13
14 US Lecce 11 10
15 ACF Fiorentina 11 9
16 Parma Calcio 1913 11 8
17 US Sassuolo Calcio 11 8
18 AC Monza 11 7
19 Venezia FC 11 6
20 Udinese Calcio 11 5

Head-to-Head

11
5
8
AC Milan 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals ACF Fiorentina
Last 5 meetings
2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2022-11-13 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina 2022-05-01 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2021-11-20 ACF Fiorentina 4–3 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
11 Nov US Lecce A 2–2 D
07 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
29 Oct SSC Napoli A 2–2 D
25 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–3 L
ACF Fiorentina
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov AC Milan A 0–1 L
12 Nov Bologna FC 1909 H 2–1 W
05 Nov Juventus FC H 0–1 L
30 Oct SS Lazio A 0–1 L
23 Oct Empoli FC H 0–2 L
08 Oct SSC Napoli A 3–1 W

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#4 Position #15
24 Points 9
11 Played 11
7 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 6
23 Scored 17
13 Conceded 25
+10 GD -8
2.18 PPG 0.82
64% Win % 18%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A
ACF Fiorentina
Mateo Pellegrino 4 G
Franco Mastantuono 4 G
Alieu Njie 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Giuseppe Meazza!
  • 5' It’s high time Vincenzo Italiano made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 12' Arthur was booked on 12.
  • 17' Nikola Milenkovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 22' ACF Fiorentina is showing some good football. However, ACF Fiorentina are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 27' Fabiano Parisi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for ACF Fiorentina tonight.
  • 32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 37' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
  • 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' It’s a booking for ACF Fiorentina player. Fabiano Parisi gets a Yellow card.
  • 46' ACF Fiorentina manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Maxime Lopez is hanging Arthur on the field on 46 minute.
  • 47' Magnificent from Theo Hernandez! That is 38 goals in 363 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 52' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Fikayo Tomori.
  • 61' Another change for AC Milan made on 61 minute. Christian Pulisic leaves to be changed by Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
  • 66' ACF Fiorentina have won 434 goals from 466 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 70' The ACF Fiorentina bench stirs into life. Lucas Beltran is withdrawn and M'Bala Nzola gets his opportunity.
  • 75' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincenzo Italiano will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 80' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 81' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 81 minute. Riccardo Sottil leaves to be changed by Jonathan Ikone.
  • 82' ACF Fiorentina ring the changes. Alfred Duncan has done his job and it is now time for Rolando Mandragora to step up.
  • 84' Another change for AC Milan made on 84 minute. Giacomo Bonaventura leaves to be changed by Rade Krunic.
  • 88' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Davide Calabria departs to be replaced by Christian Kouame.
  • AC Milan celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vincenzo Italiano

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 4
Erick Pulgar 3
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 3
Dusan Vlahovic 3
Theo Hernandez 2
Franck Kessie 2
Hakan Calhanoglu 2
Alfred Duncan 2

Head to Head

2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2022-11-13 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina 2022-05-01 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2021-11-20 ACF Fiorentina 4–3 AC Milan

AC Milan Form

2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina W 2023-11-11 US Lecce 2–2 AC Milan D 2023-11-07 AC Milan 2–1 Paris Saint-Germain FC W 2023-11-04 AC Milan 0–1 Udinese Calcio L 2023-10-29 SSC Napoli 2–2 AC Milan D 2023-10-25 Paris Saint-Germain FC 3–0 AC Milan L

ACF Fiorentina Form

2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2023-11-12 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 Bologna FC 1909 W 2023-11-05 ACF Fiorentina 0–1 Juventus FC L 2023-10-30 SS Lazio 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2023-10-23 ACF Fiorentina 0–2 Empoli FC L 2023-10-08 SSC Napoli 1–3 ACF Fiorentina W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.41 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + AC Milan to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan63% Draw20% ACF Fiorentina17%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
84%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
37%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan48% Draw38% ACF Fiorentina14%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9.2%
1 – 1
8.8%
3 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
7.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 20% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 21% 34%
-0.5 66% — 34%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.