Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

Cagliari Calcio

0 – 1

Full Time

AC Milan

Fri 2 Jan 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A .

Cagliari Calcio 11 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
AC Milan 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Rosario Abisso

4 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SS Lazio	11	29
2	FC Internazionale Milano	11	28
3	AS Roma	11	27
4	AC Milan	11	24
5	Como 1907	11	23
6	Frosinone Calcio	11	20
7	Juventus FC	11	18
8	Bologna FC 1909	11	17
9	Cagliari Calcio	11	16
10	SSC Napoli	11	15
11	Torino FC	11	14
12	Atalanta BC	11	14
13	Genoa CFC	11	13
14	US Lecce	11	10
15	ACF Fiorentina	11	9
16	Parma Calcio 1913	11	8
17	US Sassuolo Calcio	11	8
18	AC Monza	11	7
19	Venezia FC	11	6
20	Udinese Calcio	11	5

Head-to-Head

Cagliari Calcio 22 games · Avg 3.1 goals AC Milan

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-02 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 AC Milan 2025-01-11 AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari Calcio 2024-11-09 Cagliari Calcio 3–3 AC Milan 2024-05-11 AC Milan 5–1 Cagliari Calcio 2023-09-27 Cagliari Calcio 1–3 AC Milan

Recent Form

Cagliari Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Jan	AC Milan	H	0–1	L
27 Dec	Torino FC	A	2–1	W
21 Dec	AC Pisa 1909	H	2–2	D
13 Dec	Atalanta BC	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	AS Roma	H	1–0	W
29 Nov	Juventus FC	A	1–2	L

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Jan	Cagliari Calcio	A	1–0	W
28 Dec	Hellas Verona FC	H	3–0	W
14 Dec	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	2–2	D
08 Dec	Torino FC	A	3–2	W
29 Nov	SS Lazio	H	1–0	W
23 Nov	FC Internazionale Milano	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio		AC Milan
#9	Position	#4
16	Points	24
11	Played	11
5 / 1 / 5	W / D / L	7 / 3 / 1
10	Scored	23
15	Conceded	13
-5	GD	+10
1.45	PPG	2.18
45%	Win %	64%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

30% Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season

27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Cagliari Calcio are 9th (16 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cagliari Calcio

0-15

1/2

16-30

4/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

1/2

61-75

1/1

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

AC Milan

0-15

6/2

16-30

3/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

10/3

76+

–/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cagliari Calcio

Daniel Maldini	5 G
Alessandro Romano	1 G

AC Milan

Adrien Rabiot	5 G	4 A
Alphadjo Cisse	5 G
Diego Moreira	4 G	3 A
Christian Pulisic	4 G	1 A
Goncalo Ramos	2 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. AC Milan kicks off things out of here…
With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rafael Leao	4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	4
Ismael Bennacer	3
Christian Pulisic	2
Olivier Giroud	2
Gabriele Zappa	2
Nadir Zortea	2
Fikayo Tomori	1

Head to Head

Cagliari Calcio Form

2026-01-02 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 AC Milan L 2025-12-27 Torino FC 1–2 Cagliari Calcio W 2025-12-21 Cagliari Calcio 2–2 AC Pisa 1909 D 2025-12-13 Atalanta BC 2–1 Cagliari Calcio L 2025-12-07 Cagliari Calcio 1–0 AS Roma W 2025-11-29 Juventus FC 2–1 Cagliari Calcio L

AC Milan Form

2026-01-02 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 AC Milan W 2025-12-28 AC Milan 3–0 Hellas Verona FC W 2025-12-14 AC Milan 2–2 US Sassuolo Calcio D 2025-12-08 Torino FC 2–3 AC Milan W 2025-11-29 AC Milan 1–0 SS Lazio W 2025-11-23 FC Internazionale Milano 0–1 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.88 Cagliari Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.83 AC Milan xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cagliari Calcio20% Draw25% AC Milan55%

Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.71

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw

46%

Draw or AC Milan

80%

Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Cagliari Calcio14% Draw45% AC Milan41%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.5%

0 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

10.9%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 0

8.5%

0 – 3

6.5%

1 – 3

5.8%

1 – 0

2 – 1

4.5%

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 4

1 – 4

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap	Cagliari Calcio covers	Push	AC Milan covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	11%	84%
-0.5	16%	—	84%
+0.5	42%	—	58%
+1	42%	24%	34%
+1.5	66%	—	34%
+2	66%	18%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.