Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A .
- Cagliari Calcio 38 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Rosario Abisso
7 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 7.1 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan | AC Milan | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Dec | Torino FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Dec | AC Pisa 1909 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Dec | Atalanta BC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | AS Roma | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Nov | Juventus FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan | Cagliari Calcio | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Dec | Hellas Verona FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Dec | Torino FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Nov | SS Lazio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cagliari Calcio | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #5 |
| 43 | Points | 70 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 11 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 8 |
| 40 | Scored | 53 |
| 53 | Conceded | 35 |
| -13 | GD | +18 |
| 1.13 | PPG | 1.84 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Cagliari Calcio gets underway.
- Another three points for AC Milan.
Lineups
Cagliari Calcio Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 4 |
| Ismael Bennacer | 3 |
| Christian Pulisic | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Gabriele Zappa | 2 |
| Nadir Zortea | 2 |
| Alessandro Deiola | 1 |
Head to Head
Cagliari Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Cagliari Calcio or Draw
48%
Draw or AC Milan
78%
Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio
| Handicap | Cagliari Calcio covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 24% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.