Thursday , 2 July 2026

US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sun 3 May 2026 · 13:00 UTC Stadio Mapei - Citta del Tricolore HT 45' · FT 45'
Domenico Berardi 5' 1–0
Armand Lauriente 47' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Mapei - Citta del Tricolore.

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Assistant 1 Giorgio Peretti
  • Assistant 2 Filippo Bercigli
6 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May AC Milan H 2–0 W
26 Apr ACF Fiorentina A 0–0 D
17 Apr Como 1907 H 2–1 W
12 Apr Genoa CFC A 1–2 L
04 Apr Cagliari Calcio H 2–1 W
21 Mar Juventus FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–2 L
26 Apr Juventus FC H 0–0 D
19 Apr Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
11 Apr Udinese Calcio H 0–3 L
06 Apr SSC Napoli A 0–1 L
21 Mar Torino FC H 3–2 W

Season Stats

US Sassuolo Calcio AC Milan
#11 Position #5
49 Points 70
38 Played 38
14 / 7 / 17 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
46 Scored 53
50 Conceded 35
-4 GD +18
1.29 PPG 1.84
37% Win % 53%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Sassuolo Calcio are 11th (49 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. US Sassuolo Calcio is hosting AC Milan for another epic battle.
  • 5' Domenico Berardi puts US Sassuolo Calcio on the lead.
  • 9' That looks like a foul for a card for Fikayo Tomori.
  • 14' It’s high time Massimiliano Allegri made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 19' Christopher Nkunku has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 24' The referee calls foul for Fikayo Tomori. He receives a card.
  • 29' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 34' US Sassuolo Calcio seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 38' Nemanja Matic was booked on 38.
  • 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 47' GOAL! Armand Lauriente scores on 47. Assisted by Kristian Thorstvedt
  • 52' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 52.
  • 57' The referee calls foul for Ulisses Garcia. He receives a card.
  • 62' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Strahinja Pavlovic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 71' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 76' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 77' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 77.
  • 82' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 87' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 89' It’s gonna be a card for Cristian Volpato.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Alieu Fadera. He receives a card.
  • Another three points for US Sassuolo Calcio.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 US Sassuolo Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Sassuolo Calcio48% Draw26% AC Milan26%
Actual: US Sassuolo Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

US Sassuolo Calcio or Draw
74%
Draw or AC Milan
52%
US Sassuolo Calcio or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Sassuolo Calcio31% Draw47% AC Milan22%
Actual: US Sassuolo Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio

Handicap US Sassuolo Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

US Sassuolo Calcio keeps clean sheet
31%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.