AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2023-24

AC Milan

5 – 1

Full Time

Cagliari Calcio

Sat 11 May 2024 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Ismael Bennacer 35' 1–0

Christian Pulisic 59' 2–0

2–1 63' Nahitan Nandez

Tijjani Reijnders 74' 3–1

Rafael Leao 83' 4–1

Christian Pulisic 86' 5–1

Ismael Bennacer 28' Y

Matteo Gabbia 33' Y

Y 69' Yerry Mina

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Cagliari Calcio 38 games · 43 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Simone Sozza
Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
Assistant 2 Alessandro Giallatini

10 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 4.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

AC Milan 22 games · Avg 3.1 goals Cagliari Calcio

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-11 AC Milan 5–1 Cagliari Calcio 2023-09-27 Cagliari Calcio 1–3 AC Milan 2022-03-19 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 AC Milan 2021-08-29 AC Milan 4–1 Cagliari Calcio 2021-05-16 AC Milan 0–0 Cagliari Calcio

Recent Form

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	Cagliari Calcio	H	5–1	W
05 May	Genoa CFC	H	3–3	D
27 Apr	Juventus FC	A	0–0	D
22 Apr	FC Internazionale Milano	H	1–2	L
18 Apr	AS Roma	A	1–2	L
14 Apr	US Sassuolo Calcio	A	3–3	D

Cagliari Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	AC Milan	A	1–5	L
05 May	US Lecce	H	1–1	D
29 Apr	Genoa CFC	A	0–3	L
19 Apr	Juventus FC	H	2–2	D
14 Apr	FC Internazionale Milano	A	2–2	D
07 Apr	Atalanta BC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

AC Milan		Cagliari Calcio
#5	Position	#14
70	Points	43
38	Played	38
20 / 10 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 10 / 17
53	Scored	40
35	Conceded	53
+18	GD	-13
1.84	PPG	1.13
53%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! AC Milan welcome Cagliari Calcio for this crunch clash at Giuseppe Meazza.
5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and Cagliari Calcio are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
10' Cagliari Calcio are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
20' AC Milan have won 600 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
25' It’s high time Stefano Pioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
28' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 28.
33' The referee calls foul for Matteo Gabbia. He receives a card.
35' A stunning finish from Ismael Bennacer — that came from absolutely nowhere!
40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cagliari Calcio that had 418 games and scored 284 goals.
45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
46' Another change for AC Milan made on 46 minute. Matteo Gabbia leaves to be changed by Fikayo Tomori.
51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
59' Christian Pulisic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 59 minutes.
63' GOAL! Nahitan Nandez scores on 63. Assisted by Gabriele Zappa
68' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Theo Hernandez on, Alessandro Florenzi off on 68 minutes.
69' The referee calls foul for Yerry Mina. He receives a card.
74' A goal from the Netherlands international Tijjani Reijnders! He fires home on 74 to make it 3-1!
75' Nahitan Nandez makes way for Gianluca Lapadula at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cagliari Calcio.
76' Paulo Dentello has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alberto Dossena on 76 minute.
81' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
82' It is a substitution in Cagliari Calcio team. Eldor Shomurodov is replaced by Kingstone Mutandwa on 82 minute.
83' Magnificent from Rafael Leao! That is 79 goals in 466 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
84' Another change for AC Milan made on 84 minute. Ismael Bennacer leaves to be changed by Tommaso Pobega.
86' Christian Pulisic makes no mistake. The score reads 5-1 and AC Milan are in front.
88' Yerry Mina makes way for Mateusz Wieteska at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cagliari Calcio.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — AC Milan 5-1 Cagliari Calcio.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

14
Tijjani Reijnders
9
Olivier Giroud ↓ Noah Okafor 46'
11
Christian Pulisic
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↓ Rafael Leao 46'
42
Alessandro Florenzi ↓ Theo Hernandez 68'
57
Marco Sportiello
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Tommaso Pobega 84'
46
Matteo Gabbia ↓ Fikayo Tomori 46'
20
Pierre Kalulu
28
Malick Thiaw
80
Yunus Musah

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

26
Yerry Mina ↓ Mateusz Wieteska 88'
22
Simone Scuffet
14
Alessandro Deiola ↓ Gaetano Oristanio 75'
61
Eldor Shomurodov ↓ Kingstone Mutandwa 82'
8
Nahitan Nandez ↓ Gianluca Lapadula 75'
28
Gabriele Zappa
4
Alberto Dossena ↓ Paulo Dentello 76'
33
Adam Obert
77
Zito Luvumbo
25
Ibrahim Sulemana
16
Matteo Prati

Bench

Coach Claudio Ranieri

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rafael Leao	4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	4
Ismael Bennacer	3
Christian Pulisic	2
Olivier Giroud	2
Gabriele Zappa	2
Nadir Zortea	2
Ragnar Klavan	1

Head to Head

AC Milan Form

2024-05-11 AC Milan 5–1 Cagliari Calcio W 2024-05-05 AC Milan 3–3 Genoa CFC D 2024-04-27 Juventus FC 0–0 AC Milan D 2024-04-22 AC Milan 1–2 FC Internazionale Milano L 2024-04-18 AS Roma 2–1 AC Milan L 2024-04-14 US Sassuolo Calcio 3–3 AC Milan D

Cagliari Calcio Form

2024-05-11 AC Milan 5–1 Cagliari Calcio L 2024-05-05 Cagliari Calcio 1–1 US Lecce D 2024-04-29 Genoa CFC 3–0 Cagliari Calcio L 2024-04-19 Cagliari Calcio 2–2 Juventus FC D 2024-04-14 FC Internazionale Milano 2–2 Cagliari Calcio D 2024-04-07 Cagliari Calcio 2–1 Atalanta BC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.55 AC Milan xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 Cagliari Calcio xG

I would bet for: AC Milan to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AC Milan67% Draw19% Cagliari Calcio14%

Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 3.51

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw

86%

Draw or Cagliari Calcio

33%

AC Milan or Cagliari Calcio

81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

AC Milan52% Draw36% Cagliari Calcio12%

Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

9.1%

1 – 1

8.1%

3 – 0

3 – 1

7.6%

1 – 0

7.4%

4 – 0

5.1%

4 – 1

4.9%

2 – 2

4.3%

0 – 0

4.3%

3 – 2

3.7%

1 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap	AC Milan covers	Push	Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5	29%	—	71%
-2	29%	20%	51%
-1.5	49%	—	51%
-1	49%	21%	30%
-0.5	70%	—	30%
+0.5	88%	—	12%
+1	88%	8%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.