AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.
- AC Milan 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Cagliari Calcio 11 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Simone Sozza
- Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
- Assistant 2 Alessandro Giallatini
6 games this season
🟨 3.8/game
⚽ 10.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Cagliari Calcio | H | 5–1 | W |
| 05 May | Genoa CFC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Apr | Juventus FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | AS Roma | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | AC Milan | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 May | US Lecce | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Apr | Genoa CFC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | Juventus FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Apr | Atalanta BC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | Cagliari Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #9 |
| 24 | Points | 16 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 7 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 5 / 1 / 5 |
| 23 | Scored | 10 |
| 13 | Conceded | 15 |
| +10 | GD | -5 |
| 2.18 | PPG | 1.45 |
| 64% | Win % | 45% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
30%
Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season
Cagliari Calcio this season
AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 9th (16 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cagliari Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Cagliari Calcio
| Daniel Maldini | 5 G |
| Alessandro Romano | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Giuseppe Meazza. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ismael Bennacer, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 15' Adam Obert is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Yerry Mina needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 28' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ismael Bennacer on 28.
- 33' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matteo Gabbia on 33.
- 35' Ismael Bennacer doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 45' Matteo Prati has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 46' AC Milan ring the changes. Matteo Gabbia has done his job and it is now time for Fikayo Tomori to step up.
- 51' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 59' Christian Pulisic makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and AC Milan are in front.
- 63' Nahitan Nandez makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Cagliari Calcio are in front.
- 68' Theo Hernandez gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Alessandro Florenzi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 69' The referee has no hesitation. Yerry Mina is booked for Cagliari Calcio — card on 69.
- 74' GOAL! Tijjani Reijnders fires home to make it 3-1!
- 75' Gianluca Lapadula gets the nod from Cagliari Calcio. He replaces Nahitan Nandez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 76' The Cagliari Calcio bench stirs into life. Alberto Dossena is withdrawn and Paulo Dentello gets his opportunity.
- 81' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 81.
- 82' A tactical swap from Cagliari Calcio — Kingstone Mutandwa on, Eldor Shomurodov off on 82 minutes.
- 83' The Portugal Rafael Leao breaks the deadlock on 83 minutes. 4-1!
- 84' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Ismael Bennacer is replaced by Tommaso Pobega.
- 86' The deadlock is broken! Christian Pulisic gets on the scoresheet on 86 minutes.
- 88' A change in the Cagliari Calcio ranks — Yerry Mina exits the field as Mateusz Wieteska enters on 88.
- 5-1 the final result. Cagliari Calcio will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↓ Noah Okafor 46'
- 11
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↓ Rafael Leao 46'
- 42
- 57
- 4
-
46
Matteo Gabbia ↓ Fikayo Tomori 46'
- 20
- 28
- 80
Bench
-
23
Fikayo Tomori ↑ 46'
- 7
-
10
Rafael Leao ↑ 46'
- 15
-
19
Theo Hernandez ↑ 68'
- 2
- 30
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 46'
- 38
-
32
Tommaso Pobega ↑ 84'
- 69
- 85
- 96
Coach
Stefano Pioli
Cagliari Calcio Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
26
Yerry Mina ↓ Mateusz Wieteska 88'
- 22
- 14
- 61
- 8
- 28
- 4
- 33
- 77
- 25
- 16
Bench
- 1
- 17
- 30
- 18
- 32
- 10
-
9
Gianluca Lapadula ↑ 75'
-
23
Mateusz Wieteska ↑ 88'
- 5
- 99
-
19
Gaetano Oristanio ↑ 75'
-
37
Paulo Dentello ↑ 76'
-
34
Kingstone Mutandwa ↑ 82'
Coach
Claudio Ranieri
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 4 |
| Ismael Bennacer | 3 |
| Nadir Zortea | 2 |
| Christian Pulisic | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Gabriele Zappa | 2 |
| Brahim Diaz | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
88%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
30%
AC Milan or Cagliari Calcio
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
8.7%
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7.2%
4 – 0
5.8%
4 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
4%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.6%
5 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Cagliari Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -2 | 32% | 21% | 47% |
| -1.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| -1 | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| -0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

