Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sat 11 May 2024 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
Ismael Bennacer 35' 1–0
Christian Pulisic 59' 2–0
2–1 63' Nahitan Nandez
Tijjani Reijnders 74' 3–1
Rafael Leao 83' 4–1
Christian Pulisic 86' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Cagliari CalcioSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Simone Sozza
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Giallatini
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Cagliari Calcio H 5–1 W
05 May Genoa CFC H 3–3 D
27 Apr Juventus FC A 0–0 D
22 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 1–2 L
18 Apr AS Roma A 1–2 L
14 Apr US Sassuolo Calcio A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May AC Milan A 1–5 L
05 May US Lecce H 1–1 D
29 Apr Genoa CFC A 0–3 L
19 Apr Juventus FC H 2–2 D
14 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–2 D
07 Apr Atalanta BC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

AC Milan Cagliari Calcio
#8 Position #17
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 17th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.63 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58 Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan61% Draw25% Cagliari Calcio14%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
86%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
39%
AC Milan or Cagliari Calcio
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan41% Draw49% Cagliari Calcio10%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
17.1%
2 – 0
14.1%
0 – 0
13.1%
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3.1%
1 – 2
2.8%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 19% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 27% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
56%
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.