Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 69,263 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alvaro Morata 51' 1–0
1–1 55' Nadir Zortea

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Cagliari CalcioSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Stefano Alassio
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Cipressa

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Cagliari Calcio H 1–1 D
29 Dec AS Roma H 1–1 D
20 Dec Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
15 Dec Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 2–1 W
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan AC Milan A 1–1 D
05 Jan AC Monza A 2–1 W
28 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 0–3 L
22 Dec Venezia FC A 1–2 L
14 Dec Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
08 Dec ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L

Season Stats

AC Milan Cagliari Calcio
#8 Position #17
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 17th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan are looking to make home advantage count against Cagliari Calcio.
  • 5' Youssouf Fofana has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-1-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yunus Musah is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cagliari Calcio.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Cagliari Calcio's compact 4-4-1-1.
  • 25' Cagliari Calcio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' AC Milan currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Davide Calabria suffering a number of foals already.
  • 41' The referee calls foul for Mattia Felici. He receives a card.
  • 46' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 51' Brilliant from the ! Alvaro Morata makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 51.
  • 55' Nadir Zortea makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Cagliari Calcio are in front.
  • 60' The travelling Cagliari Calcio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Yunus Musah as he leaves the pitch. Tammy Abraham steps in for AC Milan.
  • 65' Alessandro Deiola gets the nod from Cagliari Calcio. He replaces Nicolas Viola and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' Michel Adopo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
  • 75' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 78' It is a substitution in Cagliari Calcio team. Jose Palomino is replaced by Mateusz Wieteska on 78 minute.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Cagliari CalcioTommaso Augello on, Mattia Felici off on 81 minutes.
  • 82' Alex Jimenez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
  • 82' The whistle greets Michel Adopo as he departs to be replaced by Razvan Marin.
  • 87' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 88' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Bob Murphy Omoregbe comes on to replace Rafael Leao.
  • 90' Roberto Piccoli picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.87 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55 Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + AC Milan or Draw 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan45% Draw35% Cagliari Calcio20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 42%
58%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
80%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
55%
AC Milan or Cagliari Calcio
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan24% Draw64% Cagliari Calcio12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.9%
1 – 0
19.5%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
11.6%
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
3.2%
1 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
2.4%
3 – 1
1.6%
2 – 2
1.6%
1 – 3
0.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 25% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 15% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
58%
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.