AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2024-25

AC Milan

1 – 1

Full Time

Cagliari Calcio

Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 69,263 HT 45' · FT 45'

Alvaro Morata 51' 1–0

1–1 55' Nadir Zortea

Y 41' Mattia Felici

Alex Jimenez 82' Y

Y 90' Roberto Piccoli

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Cagliari Calcio 5 games · 12 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
Assistant 1 Stefano Alassio
Assistant 2 Alessandro Cipressa

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	13
2	FC Internazionale Milano	5	13
3	SS Lazio	5	13
4	Cagliari Calcio	5	12
5	AC Milan	5	11
6	Frosinone Calcio	5	10
7	Juventus FC	5	10
8	Como 1907	5	10
9	SSC Napoli	5	7
10	US Sassuolo Calcio	5	7
11	Atalanta BC	5	6
12	US Lecce	5	6
13	Udinese Calcio	5	4
14	Torino FC	5	4
15	Parma Calcio 1913	5	4
16	AC Monza	5	4
17	ACF Fiorentina	5	4
18	Bologna FC 1909	5	2
19	Genoa CFC	5	1
20	Venezia FC	5	0

Head-to-Head

AC Milan 22 games · Avg 3.1 goals Cagliari Calcio

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-11 AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari Calcio 2024-11-09 Cagliari Calcio 3–3 AC Milan 2024-05-11 AC Milan 5–1 Cagliari Calcio 2023-09-27 Cagliari Calcio 1–3 AC Milan 2022-03-19 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Cagliari Calcio	H	1–1	D
29 Dec	AS Roma	H	1–1	D
20 Dec	Hellas Verona FC	A	1–0	W
15 Dec	Genoa CFC	H	0–0	D
11 Dec	FK Crvena Zvezda	H	2–1	W
06 Dec	Atalanta BC	A	1–2	L

Cagliari Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	AC Milan	A	1–1	D
05 Jan	AC Monza	A	2–1	W
28 Dec	FC Internazionale Milano	H	0–3	L
22 Dec	Venezia FC	A	1–2	L
14 Dec	Atalanta BC	H	0–1	L
08 Dec	ACF Fiorentina	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

AC Milan		Cagliari Calcio
#5	Position	#4
11	Points	12
5	Played	5
3 / 2 / 0	W / D / L	4 / 0 / 1
10	Scored	5
4	Conceded	2
+6	GD	+3
2.20	PPG	2.40
60%	Win %	80%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

50% Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 4th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

8/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Cagliari Calcio

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan

Diego Moreira	3 G
Adrien Rabiot	2 G	2 A
Alphadjo Cisse	2 G
Goncalo Ramos	1 G	1 A

Cagliari Calcio

Daniel Maldini	3 G
Alessandro Romano	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' AC Milan have kicked off against Cagliari Calcio. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' The travelling Cagliari Calcio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Adam Obert, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
15' Christian Pulisic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cagliari Calcio so far.
20' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Cagliari Calcio's compact 4-4-1-1.
25' AC Milan have won 603 goals from 517 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
30' Mike Maignan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 469 appearances.
35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
41' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mattia Felici on 41 minutes.
46' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 517 games and scored 603 goals.
51' What a strike from Alvaro Morata! The score is 1-0.
55' Goal! Nadir Zortea scores his 10 goal in 527 matches.
60' Rafael Leao needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
63' Tammy Abraham is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yunus Musah at the 63 minute mark.
65' The Cagliari Calcio manager makes a substitution. Nicolas Viola departs to be replaced by Alessandro Deiola.
70' Tijjani Reijnders has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
75' Cagliari Calcio are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
78' Cagliari Calcio ring the changes. Jose Palomino has done his job and it is now time for Mateusz Wieteska to step up.
81' The Cagliari Calcio manager makes a substitution. Mattia Felici departs to be replaced by Tommaso Augello.
82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alex Jimenez on 82 minutes.
82' Time for substitution for Cagliari Calcio. Michel Adopo is replaced by Razvan Marin.
87' Cagliari Calcio seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
88' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Rafael Leao is replaced by Bob Murphy Omoregbe.
90' The referee calls foul for Roberto Piccoli. He receives a card.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

14
Tijjani Reijnders
7
Alvaro Morata
23
Fikayo Tomori
29
Youssouf Fofana
16
Mike Maignan
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Bob Murphy Omoregbe 88'
11
Christian Pulisic
19
Theo Hernandez
2
Davide Calabria ↓ Alex Jimenez 63'
28
Malick Thiaw
80
Yunus Musah ↓ Tammy Abraham 63'

Bench

Coach Sergio Conceicao

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

6
Sebastiano Luperto
10
Nicolas Viola ↓ Alessandro Deiola 65'
25
Elia Caprile
29
Antoine Makoumbou
91
Roberto Piccoli
28
Gabriele Zappa
97
Mattia Felici ↓ Tommaso Augello 81'
19
Nadir Zortea
33
Adam Obert
8
Michel Adopo ↓ Razvan Marin 82'
24
Jose Palomino ↓ Mateusz Wieteska 78'

Bench

Coach Davide Nicola

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rafael Leao	4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	4
Ismael Bennacer	3
Christian Pulisic	2
Olivier Giroud	2
Gabriele Zappa	2
Nadir Zortea	2
Samu Castillejo	1

Head to Head

AC Milan Form

2025-01-11 AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari Calcio D 2024-12-29 AC Milan 1–1 AS Roma D 2024-12-20 Hellas Verona FC 0–1 AC Milan W 2024-12-15 AC Milan 0–0 Genoa CFC D 2024-12-11 AC Milan 2–1 FK Crvena Zvezda W 2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan L

Cagliari Calcio Form

2025-01-11 AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari Calcio D 2025-01-05 AC Monza 1–2 Cagliari Calcio W 2024-12-28 Cagliari Calcio 0–3 FC Internazionale Milano L 2024-12-22 Venezia FC 2–1 Cagliari Calcio L 2024-12-14 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 Atalanta BC L 2024-12-08 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Cagliari Calcio L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.19 AC Milan xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.81 Cagliari Calcio xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

AC Milan47% Draw30% Cagliari Calcio23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 2

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	84%	16%
± 1.5	60%	40%
± 2.5	32%	68%
± 3.5	15%	85%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw

77%

Draw or Cagliari Calcio

53%

AC Milan or Cagliari Calcio

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

AC Milan29% Draw54% Cagliari Calcio17%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15.9%

1 – 0

14.8%

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

9.6%

2 – 0

9.1%

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

5.1%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

3.6%

2 – 2

3.2%

3 – 1

3.1%

1 – 3

1.4%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap	AC Milan covers	Push	Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	13%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	24%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	16%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

45% ✓

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.