Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 69,263 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alvaro Morata 51' 1–0
1–1 55' Nadir Zortea

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Stefano Alassio
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Cipressa
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 13.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Cagliari Calcio H 1–1 D
29 Dec AS Roma H 1–1 D
20 Dec Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
15 Dec Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 2–1 W
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan AC Milan A 1–1 D
05 Jan AC Monza A 2–1 W
28 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 0–3 L
22 Dec Venezia FC A 1–2 L
14 Dec Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
08 Dec ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L

Season Stats

AC Milan Cagliari Calcio
#4 Position #9
24 Points 16
11 Played 11
7 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 5 / 1 / 5
23 Scored 10
13 Conceded 15
+10 GD -5
2.18 PPG 1.45
64% Win % 45%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
30% Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season

AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 9th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cagliari Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A
Cagliari Calcio
Daniel Maldini 5 G
Alessandro Romano 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan are looking to make home advantage count against Cagliari Calcio.
  • 5' Theo Hernandez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' AC Milan are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Cagliari Calcio's 4-4-1-1 shape.
  • 15' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-1-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Razvan Marin is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cagliari Calcio.
  • 35' Tijjani Reijnders has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 315 appearances.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 41' Mattia Felici was booked on 41.
  • 46' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 51' A goal from the Spain international Alvaro Morata! He fires home on 51 to make it 1-0!
  • 55' Nadir Zortea makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Cagliari Calcio are in front.
  • 60' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Cagliari Calcio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 63' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Tammy Abraham comes on to replace Yunus Musah.
  • 65' It is a substitution in Cagliari Calcio team. Nicolas Viola is replaced by Alessandro Deiola on 65 minute.
  • 70' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 75' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 78' A change in the Cagliari Calcio ranks — Jose Palomino exits the field as Mateusz Wieteska enters on 78.
  • 81' Tommaso Augello is replacing Mattia Felici for the Cagliari Calcio side.
  • 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alex Jimenez on 82 minutes.
  • 82' Razvan Marin is replacing Michel Adopo for the Cagliari Calcio side.
  • 87' It’s high time Sergio Conceicao made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 88' Bob Murphy Omoregbe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafael Leao at the 88 minute mark.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Roberto Piccoli. He receives a card.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — AC Milan 1-1 Cagliari Calcio.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.93 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan59% Draw23% Cagliari Calcio18%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
83%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
41%
AC Milan or Cagliari Calcio
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan43% Draw44% Cagliari Calcio13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
11%
1 – 0
11%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 19% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 24% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.