Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
AC Milan
1 – 1
Full Time
Cagliari Calcio
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 69,263 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alvaro Morata 51' 1–0
1–1 55' Nadir Zortea
Y 41' Mattia Felici
Alex Jimenez 82' Y
Y 90' Roberto Piccoli

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Stefano Alassio
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Cipressa
6 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 4.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

11
4
7
AC Milan 22 games · Avg 3.1 goals Cagliari Calcio
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-11 AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari Calcio 2024-11-09 Cagliari Calcio 3–3 AC Milan 2024-05-11 AC Milan 5–1 Cagliari Calcio 2023-09-27 Cagliari Calcio 1–3 AC Milan 2022-03-19 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Cagliari Calcio H 1–1 D
29 Dec AS Roma H 1–1 D
20 Dec Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
15 Dec Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 2–1 W
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
Cagliari Calcio
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan AC Milan A 1–1 D
05 Jan AC Monza A 2–1 W
28 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 0–3 L
22 Dec Venezia FC A 1–2 L
14 Dec Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
08 Dec ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L

Season Stats

AC Milan Cagliari Calcio
#5 Position #14
70 Points 43
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 10 / 17
53 Scored 40
35 Conceded 53
+18 GD -13
1.84 PPG 1.13
53% Win % 29%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan are looking to make home advantage count against Cagliari Calcio.
  • 5' The 30-year-old Mike Maignan has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' AC Milan are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Cagliari Calcio's 4-4-1-1 shape.
  • 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nadir Zortea suffering a number of foals already.
  • 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mattia Felici on 41.
  • 46' Youssouf Fofana has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 363 appearances.
  • 51' Against the run of play, Alvaro Morata has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 55' What composure from Nadir Zortea! The Italy international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 60' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 63' Tammy Abraham has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yunus Musah on 63 minute.
  • 65' It is a substitution in Cagliari Calcio team. Nicolas Viola is replaced by Alessandro Deiola on 65 minute.
  • 70' Cagliari Calcio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 75' Cagliari Calcio come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 78' The whistle greets Jose Palomino as he departs to be replaced by Mateusz Wieteska.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Cagliari Calcio. Mattia Felici is replaced by Tommaso Augello.
  • 82' Alex Jimenez is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
  • 82' The Cagliari Calcio manager makes a substitution. Michel Adopo departs to be replaced by Razvan Marin.
  • 87' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 88' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Rafael Leao by Bob Murphy Omoregbe on 88 minute.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Roberto Piccoli is booked for Cagliari Calcio — card on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergio Conceicao

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Davide Nicola

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 4
Ismael Bennacer 3
Christian Pulisic 2
Olivier Giroud 2
Gabriele Zappa 2
Nadir Zortea 2
Ruben Loftus-Cheek 1

Head to Head

2025-01-11 AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari Calcio 2024-11-09 Cagliari Calcio 3–3 AC Milan 2024-05-11 AC Milan 5–1 Cagliari Calcio 2023-09-27 Cagliari Calcio 1–3 AC Milan 2022-03-19 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 AC Milan

AC Milan Form

2025-01-11 AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari Calcio D 2024-12-29 AC Milan 1–1 AS Roma D 2024-12-20 Hellas Verona FC 0–1 AC Milan W 2024-12-15 AC Milan 0–0 Genoa CFC D 2024-12-11 AC Milan 2–1 FK Crvena Zvezda W 2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan L

Cagliari Calcio Form

2025-01-11 AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari Calcio D 2025-01-05 AC Monza 1–2 Cagliari Calcio W 2024-12-28 Cagliari Calcio 0–3 FC Internazionale Milano L 2024-12-22 Venezia FC 2–1 Cagliari Calcio L 2024-12-14 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 Atalanta BC L 2024-12-08 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Cagliari Calcio L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan56% Draw25% Cagliari Calcio19%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
44%
AC Milan or Cagliari Calcio
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan40% Draw45% Cagliari Calcio15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
2.8%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 24% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.