Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 17:00 UTC Unipol Domus 16,271 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nadir Zortea 2' 1–0
1–1 15' Rafael Leao
1–2 40' Rafael Leao
Gabriele Zappa 53' 2–2
2–3 69' Tammy Abraham
Gabriele Zappa 89+4' 3–3

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Unipol Domus.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov AC Milan H 3–3 D
04 Nov SS Lazio A 1–2 L
29 Oct Bologna FC 1909 H 0–2 L
25 Oct Udinese Calcio A 0–2 L
20 Oct Torino FC H 3–2 W
06 Oct Juventus FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Cagliari Calcio A 3–3 D
05 Nov Real Madrid CF A 3–1 W
02 Nov AC Monza A 1–0 W
29 Oct SSC Napoli H 0–2 L
22 Oct Club Brugge KV H 3–1 W
19 Oct Udinese Calcio H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio AC Milan
#4 Position #5
12 Points 11
5 Played 5
4 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
5 Scored 10
2 Conceded 4
+3 GD +6
2.40 PPG 2.20
80% Win % 60%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Cagliari Calcio are 4th (12 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cagliari Calcio
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cagliari Calcio
Daniel Maldini 3 G
Alessandro Romano 1 G
AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Cagliari Calcio and AC Milan has kicked off!
  • 2' The deadlock is broken! Nadir Zortea gets on the scoresheet on 2 minutes.
  • 7' It looks like no one’s ball. Cagliari Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 12' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Goal! Rafael Leao scores his 79 goal in 469 matches.
  • 20' Gabriele Zappa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 12 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Italy international Nicolas Viola has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' Tommaso Augello has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' Cagliari Calcio are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
  • 40' Sensational shot from Rafael Leao. AC Milan is back in the lead.
  • 45' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
  • 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mike Maignan made 469 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 53' A stunning finish from Gabriele Zappa — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 58' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
  • 65' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Samuel Chukwueze is replaced by Ruben Loftus-Cheek on 65 minute.
  • 66' AC Milan ring the changes. Francesco Camarda has done his job and it is now time for Tammy Abraham to step up.
  • 69' What composure from Tammy Abraham! The England international strokes it home. 2-3.
  • 73' A tactical swap from Cagliari Calcio — Gianluca Gaetano on, Nicolas Viola off on 73 minutes.
  • 78' The whistle greets Roberto Piccoli as he departs to be replaced by Leonardo Pavoletti.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Antoine Makoumbou as he leaves the pitch. Razvan Marin steps in for Cagliari Calcio.
  • 81' Rafael Leao makes way for Noah Okafor at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 86' With 1 assists to his name this season, Noah Okafor is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Theo Hernandez on 90 minutes.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.12 Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cagliari Calcio26% Draw27% AC Milan47%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw
53%
Draw or AC Milan
74%
Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cagliari Calcio19% Draw45% AC Milan36%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.9%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap Cagliari Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 22% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.