Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Unipol Domus.
- Cagliari Calcio 11 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
- Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
3 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 2.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | AC Milan | H | 3–3 | D |
| 04 Nov | SS Lazio | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Udinese Calcio | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Torino FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 06 Oct | Juventus FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Cagliari Calcio | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Nov | Real Madrid CF | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | AC Monza | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | SSC Napoli | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | Club Brugge KV | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cagliari Calcio | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #4 |
| 16 | Points | 24 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 5 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 1 |
| 10 | Scored | 23 |
| 15 | Conceded | 13 |
| -5 | GD | +10 |
| 1.45 | PPG | 2.18 |
| 45% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season
Cagliari Calcio this season
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Cagliari Calcio are 9th (16 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cagliari Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cagliari Calcio
| Daniel Maldini | 5 G |
| Alessandro Romano | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Cagliari Calcio kicks off things out of here…
- 2' Nadir Zortea does the damage! The net is bulging and Cagliari Calcio surge ahead!
- 7' Roberto Piccoli has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 12' It’s high time Davide Nicola made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' A stunning finish from Rafael Leao — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 20' The 26-year-old Gabriele Zappa has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' Cagliari Calcio are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' Fikayo Tomori has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 400 appearances.
- 35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 40' Sensational shot from Rafael Leao. AC Milan is back in the lead.
- 45' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 53' What a strike from Gabriele Zappa! The score is 2-2.
- 58' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 61' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
- 65' Ruben Loftus-Cheek has so much to prove this time. He replaces Samuel Chukwueze on 65 minute.
- 66' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Francesco Camarda is replaced by Tammy Abraham on 66 minute.
- 69' A goal from the England international Tammy Abraham! He fires home on 69 to make it 2-3!
- 73' It is a substitution in Cagliari Calcio team. Nicolas Viola is replaced by Gianluca Gaetano on 73 minute.
- 78' Leonardo Pavoletti is replacing Roberto Piccoli for the Cagliari Calcio side.
- 79' A change in the Cagliari Calcio ranks — Antoine Makoumbou exits the field as Razvan Marin enters on 79.
- 81' Noah Okafor is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafael Leao at the 81 minute mark.
- 86' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Theo Hernandez.
- The points are shared — Cagliari Calcio 3-3 AC Milan. Honours even.
Lineups
Cagliari Calcio Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 14
- 3
- 29
- 91
- 28
- 71
- 19
- 77
- 24
Bench
-
30
Leonardo Pavoletti ↑ 78'
- 21
-
9
Gianluca Lapadula ↑ 78'
- 22
-
23
Mateusz Wieteska ↑ 73'
-
18
Razvan Marin ↑ 79'
-
70
Gianluca Gaetano ↑ 73'
- 97
- 1
- 33
- 37
- 16
- 80
Coach
Davide Nicola
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
22
Emerson Royal ↓ Fikayo Tomori 81'
- 29
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Noah Okafor 81'
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Yunus Musah 81'
- 19
- 21
- 31
- 28
- 73
Bench
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 66'
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 65'
-
23
Fikayo Tomori ↑ 81'
- 2
- 57
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 81'
- 42
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 81'
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 4 |
| Ismael Bennacer | 3 |
| Christian Pulisic | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Gabriele Zappa | 2 |
| Nadir Zortea | 2 |
| Alvaro Morata | 1 |
Head to Head
Cagliari Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2
Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.3
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Cagliari Calcio or Draw
45%
Draw or AC Milan
78%
Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 2
9.3%
1 – 1
9.2%
0 – 2
8%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 1
6.5%
0 – 3
6%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 4
4.1%
0 – 4
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio
| Handicap | Cagliari Calcio covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 21% | 39% |
| +1.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +2 | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| +2.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
Clean Sheet
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

