Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Unipol Domus.
- Cagliari Calcio 38 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
- Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
4 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | AC Milan | H | 3–3 | D |
| 04 Nov | SS Lazio | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Udinese Calcio | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Torino FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 06 Oct | Juventus FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Cagliari Calcio | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Nov | Real Madrid CF | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | AC Monza | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | SSC Napoli | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | Club Brugge KV | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cagliari Calcio | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #5 |
| 43 | Points | 70 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 11 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 8 |
| 40 | Scored | 53 |
| 53 | Conceded | 35 |
| -13 | GD | +18 |
| 1.13 | PPG | 1.84 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Unipol Domus!
- 2' GOAL! Nadir Zortea fires home to make it 1-0!
- 7' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cagliari Calcio must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 12' It’s high time Paulo Fonseca made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' What an equalizer from Rafael Leao!
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Davide Nicola will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' Cagliari Calcio started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Unipol Domus. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' A stunning finish from Rafael Leao — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 50' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cagliari Calcio side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 53' Brilliant from the ! Gabriele Zappa makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 53.
- 58' AC Milan have won 600 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 61' The referee calls foul for Youssouf Fofana. He receives a card.
- 65' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ruben Loftus-Cheek is hanging Samuel Chukwueze on the field on 65 minute.
- 66' AC Milan make a change. Francesco Camarda trudges off to be replaced by Tammy Abraham on 66 minutes.
- 69' The England Tammy Abraham breaks the deadlock on 69 minutes. 2-3!
- 73' Another change for Cagliari Calcio made on 73 minute. Nicolas Viola leaves to be changed by Gianluca Gaetano.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Leonardo Pavoletti. He replaces Roberto Piccoli on 78 minute.
- 79' It is a substitution in Cagliari Calcio team. Antoine Makoumbou is replaced by Razvan Marin on 79 minute.
- 81' Noah Okafor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rafael Leao on 81 minute.
- 86' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cagliari Calcio and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Theo Hernandez.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Cagliari Calcio Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 14
- 3
- 29
- 91
- 28
- 71
- 19
- 77
- 24
Bench
-
30
Leonardo Pavoletti ↑ 78'
- 21
-
9
Gianluca Lapadula ↑ 78'
- 22
-
23
Mateusz Wieteska ↑ 73'
-
18
Razvan Marin ↑ 79'
-
70
Gianluca Gaetano ↑ 73'
- 97
- 1
- 33
- 37
- 16
- 80
Coach
Davide Nicola
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
22
Emerson Royal ↓ Fikayo Tomori 81'
- 29
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Noah Okafor 81'
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Yunus Musah 81'
- 19
- 21
- 31
- 28
- 73
Bench
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 66'
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 65'
-
23
Fikayo Tomori ↑ 81'
- 2
- 57
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 81'
- 42
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 81'
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 4 |
| Ismael Bennacer | 3 |
| Christian Pulisic | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Gabriele Zappa | 2 |
| Nadir Zortea | 2 |
| Lucas Paqueta | 1 |
Head to Head
Cagliari Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26
Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.19
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Cagliari Calcio or Draw
48%
Draw or AC Milan
76%
Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 4
3.7%
1 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio
| Handicap | Cagliari Calcio covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 21% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +2 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +2.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
Clean Sheet
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

