Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Unipol Domus.
- Cagliari Calcio 5 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
- Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | AC Milan | H | 3–3 | D |
| 04 Nov | SS Lazio | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Udinese Calcio | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Torino FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 06 Oct | Juventus FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Cagliari Calcio | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Nov | Real Madrid CF | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | AC Monza | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | SSC Napoli | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | Club Brugge KV | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cagliari Calcio | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 12 | Points | 11 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 4 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 0 |
| 5 | Scored | 10 |
| 2 | Conceded | 4 |
| +3 | GD | +6 |
| 2.40 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 80% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season
Cagliari Calcio this season
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Cagliari Calcio are 4th (12 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cagliari Calcio
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cagliari Calcio
| Daniel Maldini | 3 G |
| Alessandro Romano | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Cagliari Calcio and AC Milan has kicked off!
- 2' The deadlock is broken! Nadir Zortea gets on the scoresheet on 2 minutes.
- 7' It looks like no one’s ball. Cagliari Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 12' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' Goal! Rafael Leao scores his 79 goal in 469 matches.
- 20' Gabriele Zappa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 12 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' Italy international Nicolas Viola has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 30' Tommaso Augello has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 35' Cagliari Calcio are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
- 40' Sensational shot from Rafael Leao. AC Milan is back in the lead.
- 45' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mike Maignan made 469 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 53' A stunning finish from Gabriele Zappa — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 58' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 61' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
- 65' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Samuel Chukwueze is replaced by Ruben Loftus-Cheek on 65 minute.
- 66' AC Milan ring the changes. Francesco Camarda has done his job and it is now time for Tammy Abraham to step up.
- 69' What composure from Tammy Abraham! The England international strokes it home. 2-3.
- 73' A tactical swap from Cagliari Calcio — Gianluca Gaetano on, Nicolas Viola off on 73 minutes.
- 78' The whistle greets Roberto Piccoli as he departs to be replaced by Leonardo Pavoletti.
- 79' The crowd applauds Antoine Makoumbou as he leaves the pitch. Razvan Marin steps in for Cagliari Calcio.
- 81' Rafael Leao makes way for Noah Okafor at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 86' With 1 assists to his name this season, Noah Okafor is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Theo Hernandez on 90 minutes.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Cagliari Calcio Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 14
- 3
- 29
- 91
- 28
- 71
- 19
- 77
- 24
Bench
-
30
Leonardo Pavoletti ↑ 78'
- 21
-
9
Gianluca Lapadula ↑ 78'
- 22
-
23
Mateusz Wieteska ↑ 73'
-
18
Razvan Marin ↑ 79'
-
70
Gianluca Gaetano ↑ 73'
- 97
- 1
- 33
- 37
- 16
- 80
Coach
Davide Nicola
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
22
Emerson Royal ↓ Fikayo Tomori 81'
- 29
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Noah Okafor 81'
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Yunus Musah 81'
- 19
- 21
- 31
- 28
- 73
Bench
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 66'
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 65'
-
23
Fikayo Tomori ↑ 81'
- 2
- 57
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 81'
- 42
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 81'
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 4 |
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Ismael Bennacer | 3 |
| Christian Pulisic | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Gabriele Zappa | 2 |
| Nadir Zortea | 2 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 1 |
Head to Head
Cagliari Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.12
Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Cagliari Calcio or Draw
53%
Draw or AC Milan
74%
Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.9%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio
| Handicap | Cagliari Calcio covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

