Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 17:00 UTC Unipol Domus 16,271 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nadir Zortea 2' 1–0
1–1 15' Rafael Leao
1–2 40' Rafael Leao
Gabriele Zappa 53' 2–2
2–3 69' Tammy Abraham
Gabriele Zappa 89+4' 3–3

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs AC MilanSerie A at Unipol Domus.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov AC Milan H 3–3 D
04 Nov SS Lazio A 1–2 L
29 Oct Bologna FC 1909 H 0–2 L
25 Oct Udinese Calcio A 0–2 L
20 Oct Torino FC H 3–2 W
06 Oct Juventus FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Cagliari Calcio A 3–3 D
05 Nov Real Madrid CF A 3–1 W
02 Nov AC Monza A 1–0 W
29 Oct SSC Napoli H 0–2 L
22 Oct Club Brugge KV H 3–1 W
19 Oct Udinese Calcio H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio AC Milan
#14 Position #5
43 Points 70
38 Played 38
11 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
40 Scored 53
53 Conceded 35
-13 GD +18
1.13 PPG 1.84
29% Win % 53%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Unipol Domus!
  • 2' GOAL! Nadir Zortea fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 7' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cagliari Calcio must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 12' It’s high time Paulo Fonseca made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' What an equalizer from Rafael Leao!
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Davide Nicola will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' Cagliari Calcio started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' A quiet spell here at Unipol Domus. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' A stunning finish from Rafael Leao — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 50' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cagliari Calcio side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 53' Brilliant from the ! Gabriele Zappa makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 53.
  • 58' AC Milan have won 600 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 61' The referee calls foul for Youssouf Fofana. He receives a card.
  • 65' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ruben Loftus-Cheek is hanging Samuel Chukwueze on the field on 65 minute.
  • 66' AC Milan make a change. Francesco Camarda trudges off to be replaced by Tammy Abraham on 66 minutes.
  • 69' The England Tammy Abraham breaks the deadlock on 69 minutes. 2-3!
  • 73' Another change for Cagliari Calcio made on 73 minute. Nicolas Viola leaves to be changed by Gianluca Gaetano.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Leonardo Pavoletti. He replaces Roberto Piccoli on 78 minute.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Cagliari Calcio team. Antoine Makoumbou is replaced by Razvan Marin on 79 minute.
  • 81' Noah Okafor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rafael Leao on 81 minute.
  • 86' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cagliari Calcio and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Theo Hernandez.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.19 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cagliari Calcio24% Draw24% AC Milan52%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw
48%
Draw or AC Milan
76%
Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cagliari Calcio18% Draw40% AC Milan42%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 4
3.7%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap Cagliari Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 21% 36%
+1.5 64% 36%
+2 64% 17% 19%
+2.5 81% 19%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
12%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.