AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.
- AC Milan 3 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- Atalanta BC 3 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Pietro Dei Giudici
- Assistant 2 Christian Rossi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Juventus FC | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Como 1907 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Frosinone Calcio | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | SSC Napoli | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Bologna FC 1909 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Venezia FC | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | ACF Fiorentina | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Atalanta BC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 03 May | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | Juventus FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Apr | Hellas Verona FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Udinese Calcio | H | 0–3 | L |
| 06 Apr | SSC Napoli | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | Atalanta BC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 3 | Played | 3 |
| 2 / 1 / 0 | W / D / L | 2 / 0 / 1 |
| 5 | Scored | 4 |
| 2 | Conceded | 3 |
| +3 | GD | +1 |
| 2.33 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
Atalanta BC this season
AC Milan are 4th (7 pts). Atalanta BC are 8th (6 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
4/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 1 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G |
Atalanta BC
| Ederson | 1 G |
| Giacomo Raspadori | 1 G |
| Nikola Krstovic | 1 G |
| Lazar Samardzic | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Giuseppe Meazza that hosts another battle between AC Milan and Atalanta BC.
- 5' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Atalanta BC backline.
- 7' Brilliant from the midfielder! Ederson makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 7.
- 12' The energy levels are beginning to show. Raffaele Palladino might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 17' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rafael Leao, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 10 goals in the last 10 games.
- 22' Marco Carnesecchi, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 27' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 29' What a strike from Davide Zappacosta! The score is 0-2.
- 34' That is a card for AC Milan. Rafael Leao will be fuming at that decision.
- 39' AC Milan currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 44' Giorgio Scalvini is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Atalanta BC so far.
- 49' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 51' Giacomo Raspadori doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 56' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 61' Ruben Loftus-Cheek needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 66' Atalanta BC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 70' It’s a booking for Atalanta BC player. Isak Hien gets a card.
- 75' It’s high time Massimiliano Allegri made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 80' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 85' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 88' The deadlock is broken! Strahinja Pavlovic gets on the scoresheet on 88 minutes.
- 89' The referee calls foul for Pervis Estupinan. He receives a card.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Alexis Saelemaekers argues furiously but the card stands.
- AC Milan will have plenty to reflect on. Atalanta BC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 8
- 12
- 16
- 10
- 56
- 31
- 4
- 46
- 5
- 7
- 33
Bench
- 18
- 19
- 9
- 1
- 2
- 30
- 27
- 24
- 37
Coach
Massimiliano Allegri
Atalanta BC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 13
- 23
- 77
- 15
- 29
- 18
- 90
- 17
- 59
- 42
- 4
Bench
- 5
- 9
- 31
- 8
- 16
- 57
- 10
- 7
- 6
- 3
- 69
- 45
- 40
Coach
Raffaele Palladino
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ademola Lookman | 3 |
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Josip Ilicic | 3 |
| Duvan Zapata | 3 |
| Alejandro Gomez | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or Atalanta BC 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
62%
Draw or Atalanta BC
66%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atalanta BC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.2%
0 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
8.4%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Atalanta BC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 19% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

