Tuesday , 8 September 2026

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
2 3
Full Time
Sun 10 May 2026 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Ederson
0–2 29' Davide Zappacosta
0–3 51' Giacomo Raspadori
Strahinja Pavlovic 88' 1–3
Christopher Nkunku pen 90+4' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Atalanta BCSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Pietro Dei Giudici
  • Assistant 2 Christian Rossi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Atalanta BC H 2–3 L
03 May US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–2 L
26 Apr Juventus FC H 0–0 D
19 Apr Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
11 Apr Udinese Calcio H 0–3 L
06 Apr SSC Napoli A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May AC Milan A 3–2 W
02 May Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
27 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–3 L
18 Apr AS Roma A 1–1 D
11 Apr Juventus FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr US Lecce A 3–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan Atalanta BC
#4 Position #8
7 Points 6
3 Played 3
2 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 1
5 Scored 4
2 Conceded 3
+3 GD +1
2.33 PPG 2.00
67% Win % 67%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
33% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

AC Milan are 4th (7 pts). Atalanta BC are 8th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
4/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atalanta BC
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Giuseppe Meazza that hosts another battle between AC Milan and Atalanta BC.
  • 5' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Atalanta BC backline.
  • 7' Brilliant from the midfielder! Ederson makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 7.
  • 12' The energy levels are beginning to show. Raffaele Palladino might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 17' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rafael Leao, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 10 goals in the last 10 games.
  • 22' Marco Carnesecchi, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 27' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 29' What a strike from Davide Zappacosta! The score is 0-2.
  • 34' That is a card for AC Milan. Rafael Leao will be fuming at that decision.
  • 39' AC Milan currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 44' Giorgio Scalvini is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Atalanta BC so far.
  • 49' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 51' Giacomo Raspadori doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 56' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 61' Ruben Loftus-Cheek needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 66' Atalanta BC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 70' It’s a booking for Atalanta BC player. Isak Hien gets a card.
  • 75' It’s high time Massimiliano Allegri made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 80' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 85' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 88' The deadlock is broken! Strahinja Pavlovic gets on the scoresheet on 88 minutes.
  • 89' The referee calls foul for Pervis Estupinan. He receives a card.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Alexis Saelemaekers argues furiously but the card stands.
  • AC Milan will have plenty to reflect on. Atalanta BC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Atalanta BC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan34% Draw29% Atalanta BC37%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
62%
Draw or Atalanta BC
66%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan26% Draw48% Atalanta BC26%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.2%
0 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
8.4%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
27%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.