Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
AC Milan
2 – 3
Full Time
Atalanta BC
Sun 10 May 2026 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Ederson
0–2 29' Davide Zappacosta
0–3 51' Giacomo Raspadori
Strahinja Pavlovic 88' 1–3
Christopher Nkunku pen 90+4' 2–3
Rafael Leao 34' Y
Y 70' Isak Hien
Pervis Estupinan 89' Y
Adrien Rabiot 89' Y
Alexis Saelemaekers 90' Y
Y 90' Nikola Krstovic
Y 90' Raoul Bellanova

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Pietro Dei Giudici
  • Assistant 2 Christian Rossi
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 1.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

9
8
7
AC Milan 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Atalanta BC
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-10 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta BC 2025-10-28 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC 2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Atalanta BC H 2–3 L
03 May US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–2 L
26 Apr Juventus FC H 0–0 D
19 Apr Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
11 Apr Udinese Calcio H 0–3 L
06 Apr SSC Napoli A 0–1 L
Atalanta BC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May AC Milan A 3–2 W
02 May Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
27 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–3 L
18 Apr AS Roma A 1–1 D
11 Apr Juventus FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr US Lecce A 3–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan Atalanta BC
#5 Position #7
70 Points 59
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 15 / 14 / 9
53 Scored 51
35 Conceded 36
+18 GD +15
1.84 PPG 1.55
53% Win % 39%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Atalanta BC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Nikola Krstovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 7' Goal! Ederson scores his 15 goal in 250 matches.
  • 12' It looks surprising Atalanta BC does not make any changes. Strahinja Pavlovic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 17' Atalanta BC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 22' The travelling Atalanta BC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 27' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 29' GOAL! Davide Zappacosta scores on 29.
  • 34' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 44' Alexis Saelemaekers has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 40 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 49' It looks like no one’s ball. Atalanta BC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 51' What a strike from Giacomo Raspadori! The score is 0-3.
  • 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Davide Bartesaghi, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 66' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 70' The referee shows Atalanta BC player a card on 70.
  • 75' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Adrien Rabiot made 520 appearances and scored 41 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 80' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 85' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 88' GOAL! Strahinja Pavlovic scores on 88. Assisted by Samuele Ricci
  • 89' The referee calls foul for Pervis Estupinan. He receives a card.
  • 90' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The final score is 2-3.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Massimiliano Allegri

Atalanta BC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Raffaele Palladino

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 3
Josip Ilicic 3
Duvan Zapata 3
Ademola Lookman 3
Franck Kessie 2
Hakan Calhanoglu 2
Theo Hernandez 2
Ederson 2

Head to Head

2026-05-10 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta BC 2025-10-28 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC 2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC

AC Milan Form

2026-05-10 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta BC L 2026-05-03 US Sassuolo Calcio 2–0 AC Milan L 2026-04-26 AC Milan 0–0 Juventus FC D 2026-04-19 Hellas Verona FC 0–1 AC Milan W 2026-04-11 AC Milan 0–3 Udinese Calcio L 2026-04-06 SSC Napoli 1–0 AC Milan L

Atalanta BC Form

2026-05-10 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta BC W 2026-05-02 Atalanta BC 0–0 Genoa CFC D 2026-04-27 Cagliari Calcio 3–2 Atalanta BC L 2026-04-18 AS Roma 1–1 Atalanta BC D 2026-04-11 Atalanta BC 0–1 Juventus FC L 2026-04-06 US Lecce 0–3 Atalanta BC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Atalanta BC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan30% Draw28% Atalanta BC42%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
58%
Draw or Atalanta BC
70%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan23% Draw46% Atalanta BC31%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 17% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 21% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.