Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
AC Milan
2 – 3
Full Time
Atalanta BC
Sun 10 May 2026 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Ederson
0–2 29' Davide Zappacosta
0–3 51' Giacomo Raspadori
Strahinja Pavlovic 88' 1–3
Christopher Nkunku pen 90+4' 2–3
Rafael Leao 34' Y
Y 70' Isak Hien
Pervis Estupinan 89' Y
Adrien Rabiot 89' Y
Alexis Saelemaekers 90' Y
Y 90' Nikola Krstovic
Y 90' Raoul Bellanova

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Pietro Dei Giudici
  • Assistant 2 Christian Rossi
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 14.2 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SS Lazio 11 29
2 FC Internazionale Milano 11 28
3 AS Roma 11 27
4 AC Milan 11 24
5 Como 1907 11 23
6 Frosinone Calcio 11 20
7 Juventus FC 11 18
8 Bologna FC 1909 11 17
9 Cagliari Calcio 11 16
10 SSC Napoli 11 15
11 Torino FC 11 14
12 Atalanta BC 11 14
13 Genoa CFC 11 13
14 US Lecce 11 10
15 ACF Fiorentina 11 9
16 Parma Calcio 1913 11 8
17 US Sassuolo Calcio 11 8
18 AC Monza 11 7
19 Venezia FC 11 6
20 Udinese Calcio 11 5

Head-to-Head

10
8
7
AC Milan 25 games · Avg 2.8 goals Atalanta BC
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-10 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta BC 2025-10-28 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC 2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Atalanta BC H 2–3 L
03 May US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–2 L
26 Apr Juventus FC H 0–0 D
19 Apr Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
11 Apr Udinese Calcio H 0–3 L
06 Apr SSC Napoli A 0–1 L
Atalanta BC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May AC Milan A 3–2 W
02 May Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
27 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–3 L
18 Apr AS Roma A 1–1 D
11 Apr Juventus FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr US Lecce A 3–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan Atalanta BC
#4 Position #12
24 Points 14
11 Played 11
7 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 5
23 Scored 17
13 Conceded 20
+10 GD -3
2.18 PPG 1.27
64% Win % 36%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
18% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). Atalanta BC are 12th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atalanta BC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A
Atalanta BC
Nikola Krstovic 7 G 2 A
Ederson 2 G
Giacomo Raspadori 1 G
Lazar Samardzic 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: AC Milan gets underway.
  • 5' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 7' Atalanta BC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ederson on 7.
  • 12' Atalanta BC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 17' The 26-year-old Nikola Krstovic has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 22' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 27' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Massimiliano Allegri will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 29' Davide Zappacosta adds to his 0 season tally! Atalanta BC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 34' Rafael Leao was booked on 34.
  • 39' Atalanta BC have won 724 goals from 532 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 44' Atalanta BC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 49' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 51' What composure from Giacomo Raspadori! The Italy international strokes it home. 0-3.
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 61' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Atalanta BC backline.
  • 66' AC Milan are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against Atalanta BC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 70' Isak Hien has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 70.
  • 75' It’s high time Massimiliano Allegri made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 80' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 85' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 525 games and scored 617 goals.
  • 88' GOAL! Strahinja Pavlovic fires home to make it 1-3!
  • 89' A moment of madness from Pervis Estupinan on 89 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 90' Alexis Saelemaekers was booked on 90.
  • Another three points for Atalanta BC.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Massimiliano Allegri

Atalanta BC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Raffaele Palladino

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Josip Ilicic 3
Duvan Zapata 3
Ademola Lookman 3
Rafael Leao 3
Hakan Calhanoglu 2
Theo Hernandez 2
Ederson 2
Krzysztof Piatek 2

Head to Head

2026-05-10 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta BC 2025-10-28 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC 2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC

AC Milan Form

2026-05-10 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta BC L 2026-05-03 US Sassuolo Calcio 2–0 AC Milan L 2026-04-26 AC Milan 0–0 Juventus FC D 2026-04-19 Hellas Verona FC 0–1 AC Milan W 2026-04-11 AC Milan 0–3 Udinese Calcio L 2026-04-06 SSC Napoli 1–0 AC Milan L

Atalanta BC Form

2026-05-10 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta BC W 2026-05-02 Atalanta BC 0–0 Genoa CFC D 2026-04-27 Cagliari Calcio 3–2 Atalanta BC L 2026-04-18 AS Roma 1–1 Atalanta BC D 2026-04-11 Atalanta BC 0–1 Juventus FC L 2026-04-06 US Lecce 0–3 Atalanta BC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Atalanta BC 75% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan42% Draw25% Atalanta BC33%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
67%
Draw or Atalanta BC
58%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan36% Draw40% Atalanta BC24%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 14% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 20% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 15% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.