AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.
- AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Cagliari Calcio 5 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
- Assistant 1 Fabiano Preti
- Assistant 2 Filippo Bercigli
5 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 11.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May | Cagliari Calcio | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 May | Genoa CFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 May | Atalanta BC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 03 May | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | Juventus FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Apr | Hellas Verona FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May | AC Milan | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 May | Torino FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 May | Udinese Calcio | H | 0–2 | L |
| 03 May | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Apr | Atalanta BC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | Cagliari Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #4 |
| 11 | Points | 12 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 3 / 2 / 0 | W / D / L | 4 / 0 / 1 |
| 10 | Scored | 5 |
| 4 | Conceded | 2 |
| +6 | GD | +3 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 2.40 |
| 60% | Win % | 80% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season
Cagliari Calcio this season
AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 4th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cagliari Calcio
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Cagliari Calcio
| Daniel Maldini | 3 G |
| Alessandro Romano | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AC Milan and Cagliari Calcio get this one started.
- 2' Alexis Saelemaekers makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and AC Milan are in front.
- 2' Ze Pedro Figueiredo is having his name booked by the referee on 2.
- 7' Over 7 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 12' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 17' Youssouf Fofana has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 368 appearances.
- 20' The deadlock is broken! Gennaro Borrelli gets on the scoresheet on 20 minutes.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Cagliari Calcio's compact 3-5-2.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' Ardon Jasari, a Switzerland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Massimiliano Allegri might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 55' Strahinja Pavlovic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 56' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 56.
- 57' What a moment for Juan Martin Rodriguez! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
- 58' A moment of madness from Mike Maignan on 58 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 59' Mike Maignan is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
- 64' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 69' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and Cagliari Calcio are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 79' It looks surprising Cagliari Calcio does not make any changes. Elia Caprile has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 84' The 26-year-old Gabriele Zappa has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 89' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 90' Poor challenge from Ibrahim Sulemana. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 1-2 the final result. AC Milan will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 23
- 12
- 18
- 19
- 16
- 56
- 31
- 46
- 30
- 7
- 33
Bench
- 8
- 10
- 11
- 9
- 14
- 2
- 4
- 5
- 27
- 96
- 24
- 45
- 37
- 34
- 25
Coach
Massimiliano Allegri
Cagliari Calcio Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 26
- 1
- 14
- 10
- 28
- 94
- 33
- 32
- 8
- 29
- 15
Bench
- 19
- 4
- 22
- 17
- 24
- 12
- 25
- 2
- 18
- 20
- 31
- 37
- 38
- 36
Coach
Fabio Pisacane
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 4 |
| Ismael Bennacer | 3 |
| Christian Pulisic | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Gabriele Zappa | 2 |
| Nadir Zortea | 2 |
| Ragnar Klavan | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Cagliari Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.11
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Cagliari Calcio win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
69%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
63%
AC Milan or Cagliari Calcio
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Cagliari Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 21% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 19% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

