Tuesday , 6 October 2026

AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sun 24 May 2026 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Assistant 1 Fabiano Preti
  • Assistant 2 Filippo Bercigli
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 11.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May Cagliari Calcio H 1–2 L
17 May Genoa CFC A 2–1 W
10 May Atalanta BC H 2–3 L
03 May US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–2 L
26 Apr Juventus FC H 0–0 D
19 Apr Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May AC Milan A 2–1 W
17 May Torino FC H 2–1 W
09 May Udinese Calcio H 0–2 L
03 May Bologna FC 1909 A 0–0 D
27 Apr Atalanta BC H 3–2 W
17 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 0–3 L

Season Stats

AC Milan Cagliari Calcio
#5 Position #4
11 Points 12
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 1
10 Scored 5
4 Conceded 2
+6 GD +3
2.20 PPG 2.40
60% Win % 80%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
50% Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 4th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cagliari Calcio
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A
Cagliari Calcio
Daniel Maldini 3 G
Alessandro Romano 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AC Milan and Cagliari Calcio get this one started.
  • 2' Alexis Saelemaekers makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and AC Milan are in front.
  • 2' Ze Pedro Figueiredo is having his name booked by the referee on 2.
  • 7' Over 7 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 12' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 17' Youssouf Fofana has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 368 appearances.
  • 20' The deadlock is broken! Gennaro Borrelli gets on the scoresheet on 20 minutes.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Cagliari Calcio's compact 3-5-2.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' Ardon Jasari, a Switzerland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Massimiliano Allegri might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 55' Strahinja Pavlovic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 56' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 56.
  • 57' What a moment for Juan Martin Rodriguez! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 58' A moment of madness from Mike Maignan on 58 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 59' Mike Maignan is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
  • 64' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 69' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and Cagliari Calcio are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 79' It looks surprising Cagliari Calcio does not make any changes. Elia Caprile has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 84' The 26-year-old Gabriele Zappa has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 89' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 90' Poor challenge from Ibrahim Sulemana. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 1-2 the final result. AC Milan will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.11 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan37% Draw32% Cagliari Calcio31%
Actual: Cagliari Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
69%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
63%
AC Milan or Cagliari Calcio
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan25% Draw53% Cagliari Calcio22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 21% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 19% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.