Monday , 21 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 1 Nov 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 10.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
29 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 0–2 L
26 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
18 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–4 L
05 Oct Hamburger SV A 0–4 L
27 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
24 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
18 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–2 D
04 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–0 W
26 Sep FC Bayern Munchen A 0–4 L
20 Sep SC Freiburg H 0–3 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SV Werder Bremen
#6 Position #8
7 Points 7
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
10 Scored 8
6 Conceded 8
+4 GD +0
1.75 PPG 1.75
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
0% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 8th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
/2
16-30
2/
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
1/1
16-30
/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/3
61-75
3/
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
SV Werder Bremen
Niclas Fullkrug 3 G
Marco Grull 2 G 3 A
Eren Dinkci 1 G
Dariusz Stalmach 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

SV Werder Bremen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.08 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen 76% + Over 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0542% Draw24% SV Werder Bremen34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
67%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
58%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0536% Draw39% SV Werder Bremen25%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
4.7%
1 – 0
4.6%
0 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 14% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 19% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 15% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20%
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.