Saturday , 14 November 2026

SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 2 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC Wohninvest WESERSTADION 41,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marvin Ducksch pen 3' 1–0
Jens Stage 53' 2–0
Justin Njinmah 83' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Wohninvest WESERSTADION.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Assistant 1 Norbert Grudzinski
  • Assistant 2 Jan Neitzel
6 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
26 Aug SC Freiburg A 0–1 L
18 Aug FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
12 Aug FC Viktoria Köln 1904 A 2–3 L
27 May 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
20 May 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 0–4 L
27 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
20 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–4 L
12 Aug SV 07 Elversberg A 1–0 W
27 May Borussia Dortmund A 2–2 D
21 May VfB Stuttgart H 1–4 L

Season Stats

SV Werder Bremen 1. FSV Mainz 05
#6 Position #12
15 Points 10
9 Played 9
4 / 3 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 5
17 Scored 18
15 Conceded 19
+2 GD -1
1.67 PPG 1.11
44% Win % 33%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

SV Werder Bremen are 6th (15 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SV Werder Bremen
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
–/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
5/1
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SV Werder Bremen
Niclas Fullkrug 9 G
Marco Grull 2 G 6 A
Eren Dinkci 2 G 1 A
Dariusz Stalmach 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.36 SV Werder Bremen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SV Werder Bremen54% Draw22% 1. FSV Mainz 0524%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

SV Werder Bremen or Draw
76%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
46%
SV Werder Bremen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SV Werder Bremen42% Draw38% 1. FSV Mainz 0520%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.6%
3 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
3.9%
0 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SV Werder Bremen

Handicap SV Werder Bremen covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 16% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 20% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
23% ✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.