Thursday , 2 July 2026

SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 2 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC Wohninvest WESERSTADION 41,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marvin Ducksch pen 3' 1–0
Jens Stage 53' 2–0
Justin Njinmah 83' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Wohninvest WESERSTADION.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Assistant 1 Norbert Grudzinski
  • Assistant 2 Jan Neitzel
13 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
26 Aug SC Freiburg A 0–1 L
18 Aug FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
12 Aug FC Viktoria Koln 1904 A 2–3 L
27 May 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
20 May 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 0–4 L
27 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
20 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–4 L
12 Aug SV 07 Elversberg A 1–0 W
27 May Borussia Dortmund A 2–2 D
21 May VfB Stuttgart H 1–4 L

Season Stats

SV Werder Bremen 1. FSV Mainz 05
#15 Position #10
32 Points 40
34 Played 34
8 / 8 / 18 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
37 Scored 44
60 Conceded 53
-23 GD -9
0.94 PPG 1.18
24% Win % 29%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SV Werder Bremen
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.65 SV Werder Bremen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SV Werder Bremen46% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0528%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

SV Werder Bremen or Draw
72%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
54%
SV Werder Bremen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SV Werder Bremen33% Draw45% 1. FSV Mainz 0522%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SV Werder Bremen

Handicap SV Werder Bremen covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
29%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.