Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2021-22
Sat 8 Jan 2022 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Referee Rafael Foltyn
  • Referee Florian Lechner
  • Referee Christian Dietz
  • Referee Markus Sinn
  • Referee Gunter Perl
16 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–1 W
18 Dec Arminia Bielefeld H 0–2 L
15 Dec FC Augsburg A 1–1 D
11 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–1 W
07 Dec Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
03 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan RB Leipzig A 1–4 L
18 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
14 Dec Hertha BSC H 4–0 W
11 Dec FC Bayern München A 1–2 L
04 Dec VfL Wolfsburg H 3–0 W
26 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05
#3 Position #10
65 Points 40
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
66 Scored 44
47 Conceded 53
+19 GD -9
1.91 PPG 1.18
59% Win % 29%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.42 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + RB Leipzig to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig63% Draw20% 1. FSV Mainz 0517%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
83%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
37%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig48% Draw38% 1. FSV Mainz 0514%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 1
8.7%
3 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5%
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 19% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 21% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 9% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
34%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.