Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2021-22
Sat 8 Jan 2022 · 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Referee Rafael Foltyn
  • Referee Florian Lechner
  • Referee Christian Dietz
  • Referee Markus Sinn
  • Referee Gunter Perl

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–1 W
18 Dec Arminia Bielefeld H 0–2 L
15 Dec FC Augsburg A 1–1 D
11 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–1 W
07 Dec Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
03 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan RB Leipzig A 1–4 L
18 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
14 Dec Hertha BSC H 4–0 W
11 Dec FC Bayern München A 1–2 L
04 Dec VfL Wolfsburg H 3–0 W
26 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05
#9 Position #6
6 Points 7
4 Played 4
2 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
9 Scored 10
5 Conceded 6
+4 GD +4
1.50 PPG 1.75
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.36 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig58% Draw21% 1. FSV Mainz 0521%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
79%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
42%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig44% Draw38% 1. FSV Mainz 0518%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
3.7%
4 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 17% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 21% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.