Wednesday , 30 September 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 10 Sep 2022 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Referee Daniel Schlager
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Martin Thomsen
  • Referee Markus Schuller
  • Referee Christof Gunsch

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–1 W
02 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
27 Aug FC Augsburg H 1–0 W
20 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–0 W
13 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 H 3–2 W
06 Aug Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
04 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–0 W
27 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
20 Aug FC Augsburg A 2–1 W
14 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
06 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–1 W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1. FSV Mainz 05
#14 Position #6
3 Points 7
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
7 Scored 10
10 Conceded 6
-3 GD +4
0.75 PPG 1.75
25% Win % 50%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.76 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.26 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05 77% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim35% Draw23% 1. FSV Mainz 0542%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
58%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
65%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim25% Draw37% 1. FSV Mainz 0538%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.9%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.7%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 15% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 19% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 15% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.