TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2022-23

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

4 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 10 Sep 2022 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Christoph Baumgartner 9' Y

Kevin Akpoguma 10' Y

Kevin Akpoguma 11' Y

R 41' Alexander Hack

R 42' Alexander Hack

Y 45' Bo Svensson

Kevin Vogt 66' Y

Y 85' Karim Onisiwo

Y 87' Stefan Bell

Y 88' Stefan Bell

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Welz
Referee Daniel Schlager
Referee Robert Kempter
Referee Martin Thomsen
Referee Markus Schuller
Referee Christof Gunsch

19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 16 games · Avg 2.9 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2022-09-10 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-02-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2021-09-11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2021-03-21 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2020-11-29 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	4–1	W
02 Sep	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–1	L
27 Aug	FC Augsburg	H	1–0	W
20 Aug	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	3–0	W
13 Aug	VfL Bochum 1848	H	3–2	W
06 Aug	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	1–3	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Sep	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	1–4	L
04 Sep	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	1–0	W
27 Aug	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–3	L
20 Aug	FC Augsburg	A	2–1	W
14 Aug	1. FC Union Berlin	H	0–0	D
06 Aug	VfL Bochum 1848	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim		1. FSV Mainz 05
#5	Position	#10
61	Points	40
34	Played	34
18 / 7 / 9	W / D / L	10 / 10 / 14
65	Scored	44
52	Conceded	53
+13	GD	-9
1.79	PPG	1.18
53%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/4

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim get us underway at PreZero Arena.
5' It’s high time Bo Svensson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
9' Controversy at the stadium! Christoph Baumgartner argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
10' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Kevin Akpoguma.
11' That is a Yellow card for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Kevin Akpoguma will be fuming at that decision.
14' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Delano Burgzorg is hanging Jonathan Burkardt on the field on 14 minute.
19' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
24' Stefan Bell has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
29' 1. FSV Mainz 05 looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Phillip Tietz scoring 2 goals.
34' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
39' The 31-year-old Robin Zentner has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
41' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Red card for Alexander Hack.
42' Alexander Hack was booked on 42.
45' That is a Yellow card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Bo Svensson will be fuming at that decision.
46' Stanley Nsoki gets the nod from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. He replaces Kevin Akpoguma and will look to change the dynamic.
51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Svensson will be considering his options from the bench.
53' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is taking the lead after the goal scored by Andrej Kramaric on 53.
58' Silvan Widmer is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim so far.
63' Anthony Caci has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
64' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 64 minute. Leandro Barreiro Martins leaves to be changed by Edimilson Fernandes.
65' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Edimilson Fernandes on, Leandro Barreiro Martins off on 65 minutes.
66' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 66.
69' Grischa Promel makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are in front.
70' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Munas Dabbur is hanging Andrej Kramaric on the field on 70 minute.
71' Munas Dabbur gets the nod from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. He replaces Andrej Kramaric and will look to change the dynamic.
75' Anthony Caci gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Aaron Martin and will look to change the dynamic.
80' Against the run of play, Munas Dabbur has scored! This game has turned on its head.
83' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Dominik Kohr makes no mistake. 3-1!
84' The whistle greets Christoph Baumgartner as he departs to be replaced by Angelo Stiller.
85' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 85.
87' Stefan Bell is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
88' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Stefan Bell.
1. FSV Mainz 05 will have plenty to reflect on. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim were simply the better side today.

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

Starting XI

33
Georginio Rutter
22
Kevin Vogt
25
Kevin Akpoguma ↓ Stanley Nsoki 46'
1
Oliver Baumann
3
Pavel Kaderabek
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ Munas Dabbur 70'
8
Dennis Geiger ↓ Sebastian Rudy 70'
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↓ Angelo Stiller 84'
6
Grischa Promel
5
Ozan Kabak
29
Robert Skov ↓ Angelino 75'

Bench

Coach Andre Breitenreiter

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

10
Angelo Fulgini ↓ Lee Jaesung 64'
31
Dominik Kohr
27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell
42
Alexander Hack
9
Karim Onisiwo
3
Aaron Martin ↓ Anthony Caci 75'
8
Leandro Barreiro Martins ↓ Edimilson Fernandes 64'
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↓ Delano Burgzorg 14'
5
Maxim Leitsch
30
Silvan Widmer

Bench

Coach Bo Svensson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Andrej Kramaric	5
Jonathan Burkardt	4
Jean-Paul Boetius	4
Ihlas Bebou	3
Pavel Kaderabek	3
Pierre Kunde	2
Dominik Kohr	2
Jean-Philippe Mateta	2

Head to Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2022-09-10 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2022-09-02 Borussia Dortmund 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2022-08-27 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 FC Augsburg W 2022-08-20 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2022-08-13 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2022-08-06 Borussia Monchengladbach 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2022-09-10 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2022-09-04 Borussia Monchengladbach 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2022-08-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2022-08-20 FC Augsburg 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2022-08-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 1. FC Union Berlin D 2022-08-06 VfL Bochum 1848 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.02 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.27 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim52% Draw24% 1. FSV Mainz 0524%

Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.29

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw

76%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

48%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim39% Draw41% 1. FSV Mainz 0520%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.4%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

7.5%

1 – 0

6.9%

3 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 2

5.9%

0 – 0

5.2%

3 – 0

0 – 1

3 – 2

4 – 1

Actual

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	16%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	21%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.