Sunday , 16 August 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 10 Sep 2022 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Referee Daniel Schlager
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Martin Thomsen
  • Referee Markus Schuller
  • Referee Christof Gunsch

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–1 W
02 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
27 Aug FC Augsburg H 1–0 W
20 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–0 W
13 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 H 3–2 W
06 Aug Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
04 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–0 W
27 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
20 Aug FC Augsburg A 2–1 W
14 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
06 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–1 W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1. FSV Mainz 05
#11 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.96 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim41% Draw34% 1. FSV Mainz 0525%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 49%
51%
± 2.5 23%
77%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
76%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
59%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim25% Draw60% 1. FSV Mainz 0515%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
21.8%
1 – 0
17%
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 1
11.7%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
2.6%
2 – 2
2.3%
3 – 1
2%
1 – 3
1%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 24% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 17% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
51%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.