TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Welz
- Referee Daniel Schlager
- Referee Robert Kempter
- Referee Martin Thomsen
- Referee Markus Schuller
- Referee Christof Gunsch
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 4–1 | W |
| 02 Sep | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | FC Augsburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Aug | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 3–2 | W |
| 06 Aug | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–4 | L |
| 04 Sep | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Aug | FC Augsburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Aug | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #12 |
| 12 | Points | 10 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 4 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 5 |
| 16 | Scored | 18 |
| 17 | Conceded | 19 |
| -1 | GD | -1 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 44% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Adam Daghim | 2 G | 2 A |
| Bambase Conte | 2 G | 2 A |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tim Lemperle | 2 G | |
| Ozan Kabak | 1 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim kicks off things out of here…
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 425 goals from 447 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 9' Christoph Baumgartner picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 10' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Kevin Akpoguma.
- 11' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Akpoguma on 11.
- 14' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Jonathan Burkardt has done his job and it is now time for Delano Burgzorg to step up.
- 19' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 24' Germany international Maxim Leitsch has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 29' Dominik Kohr is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim so far.
- 34' Leandro Barreiro Martins has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 4 goals to his name this season.
- 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 41' Poor challenge from Alexander Hack. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Red card.
- 42' Alexander Hack has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 42.
- 45' Poor challenge from Bo Svensson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 46' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Kevin Akpoguma exits the field as Stanley Nsoki enters on 46.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Edimilson Fernandes made 466 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 53' Andrej Kramaric adds to his 3 season tally! TSG 1899 Hoffenheim lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 58' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 447 games and scored 425 goals.
- 63' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Edimilson Fernandes. He replaces Leandro Barreiro Martins on 64 minute.
- 65' Edimilson Fernandes has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leandro Barreiro Martins on 65 minute.
- 66' Kevin Vogt was booked on 66.
- 69' Grischa Promel doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 70' It is a substitution in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim team. Andrej Kramaric is replaced by Munas Dabbur on 70 minute.
- 71' A tactical swap from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Munas Dabbur on, Andrej Kramaric off on 71 minutes.
- 75' Aaron Martin makes way for Anthony Caci at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 80' Munas Dabbur doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 83' Magnificent from Dominik Kohr! That is 13 goals in 555 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 84' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Christoph Baumgartner has done his job and it is now time for Angelo Stiller to step up.
- 85' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Karim Onisiwo.
- 87' Poor challenge from Stefan Bell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 88' A moment of madness from Stefan Bell on 88 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
- Another three points for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 22
-
25
Kevin Akpoguma ↓ Stanley Nsoki 46'
- 1
- 3
-
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ Munas Dabbur 70'
-
8
Dennis Geiger ↓ Sebastian Rudy 70'
- 14
- 6
- 5
-
29
Robert Skov ↓ Angelino 75'
Bench
-
11
Angelino ↑ 75'
-
34
Stanley Nsoki ↑ 46'
- 7
-
16
Sebastian Rudy ↑ 70'
-
10
Munas Dabbur ↑ 70'
- 18
- 37
-
13
Angelo Stiller ↑ 84'
- 35
Coach
André Breitenreiter
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Angelo Fulgini ↓ Lee Jaesung 64'
- 31
- 27
- 16
- 42
- 9
-
3
Aaron Martin ↓ Anthony Caci 75'
- 8
- 29
- 5
- 30
Bench
-
7
Lee Jaesung ↑ 64'
-
19
Anthony Caci ↑ 75'
- 1
- 21
- 4
-
20
Edimilson Fernandes ↑ 64'
-
37
Delano Burgzorg ↑ 14'
- 17
- 36
Coach
Bo Svensson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 5 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 4 |
| Jean-Paul Boetius | 4 |
| Ihlas Bebou | 3 |
| Pavel Kaderabek | 3 |
| Dominik Kohr | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
| Phillip Tietz | 2 |
Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2022-09-10
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2022-09-02
Borussia Dortmund
1–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2022-08-27
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–0
FC Augsburg
W
2022-08-20
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2022-08-13
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2022-08-06
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2022-09-10
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2022-09-04
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2022-08-27
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2022-08-20
FC Augsburg
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2022-08-14
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–0
1. FC Union Berlin
D
2022-08-06
VfL Bochum 1848
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
71%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
52%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 0
3.9%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
4 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Handicap | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 14% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 19% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

