Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 27 Aug 2022 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Achmuller
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Thomas Gorniak

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
20 Aug FC Augsburg A 2–1 W
14 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
06 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–1 W
31 Jul FC Erzgebirge Aue A 3–0 W
14 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–0 W
20 Aug TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 0–3 L
13 Aug FC Augsburg H 1–2 L
06 Aug Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
30 Jul SV 07 Elversberg A 3–4 L
14 May SC Freiburg H 2–1 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#10 Position #6
40 Points 59
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 17 / 8 / 9
44 Scored 68
53 Conceded 47
-9 GD +21
1.18 PPG 1.74
29% Win % 50%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.11 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw25% Bayer 04 Leverkusen48%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
53%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
73%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0518% Draw43% Bayer 04 Leverkusen39%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 22% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
16%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.