Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2021-22
Sun 15 Aug 2021 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Referee Lasse Koslowski
  • Referee Markus Wollenweber
  • Referee Philipp Huwe
  • Referee Martin Thomsen
16 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
08 Aug SV 07 Elversberg A 10–9 W
22 May VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
16 May Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
09 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–1 D
03 May Hertha BSC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–1 L
07 Aug SV Sandhausen 1916 A 4–0 W
22 May 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
16 May VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
13 May Borussia Dortmund H 1–4 L
08 May Borussia Dortmund A 2–3 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 RB Leipzig
#10 Position #3
40 Points 65
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
44 Scored 66
53 Conceded 47
-9 GD +19
1.18 PPG 1.91
29% Win % 59%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at MEWA Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 7' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Kevin Kampl on 7 minutes.
  • 8' RB Leipzig player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 13' Magnificent from Moussa Niakhate! That is 12 goals in 436 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 18' RB Leipzig is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 23' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with RB Leipzig winning 50% of all matches.
  • 28' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 33' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's shape.
  • 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jesse Marsch will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 48' Controversy at the stadium! Paul Nebel argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 49' Controversy at the stadium! Paul Nebel argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 54' Supporters expect more eagerness from Christopher Nkunku, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 59' Sweden international Emil Forsberg has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 64' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Christopher Nkunku has done his job and it is now time for Dominik Szoboszlai to step up.
  • 69' RB Leipzig fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 74' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 79' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 80' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Marcel Sabitzer.
  • 82' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Nordi Mukiele has done his job and it is now time for Brian Brobbey to step up.
  • 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bo Svensson on 85.
  • 86' Niklas Tauer makes way for Stephan Furstner at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 89' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Romario Rosch comes on to replace Paul Nebel.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Lee Jaesung as he leaves the pitch. Luca Kilian steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.2 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.07 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0531% Draw23% RB Leipzig46%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
54%
Draw or RB Leipzig
69%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0518% Draw41% RB Leipzig41%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.4%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 44% 56%
+1 44% 22% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 17% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.