1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2020-21

1. FSV Mainz 05

3 – 2

Full Time

RB Leipzig

Sat 23 Jan 2021 · 14:30 UTC Opel Arena HT 45+3' · FT 45+6'

Y 23' Marcel Halstenberg

Moussa Niakhate 40' Y

Y 70' Tyler Adams

Danny da Costa 75' Y

Y 88' Willi Orban

Y 90' Alexander Sorloth

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Opel Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
RB Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Marco Achmuller
Referee Felix Zwayer
Referee Christian Dingert
Referee Timo Gerach
Referee Benedikt Kempkes

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals RB Leipzig

Last 5 meetings

2021-01-23 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 RB Leipzig 2020-09-20 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2020-05-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–5 RB Leipzig 2019-11-02 RB Leipzig 8–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2019-05-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–3 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	RB Leipzig	H	3–2	W
19 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	0–2	L
16 Jan	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–1	D
09 Jan	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	0–2	L
03 Jan	FC Bayern München	A	2–5	L
23 Dec	VfL Bochum 1848	H	2–2	D

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	2–3	L
20 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	H	1–0	W
16 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–2	D
09 Jan	Borussia Dortmund	H	1–3	L
02 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–0	W
22 Dec	FC Augsburg	A	3–0	W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		RB Leipzig
#16	Position	#9
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: 1. FSV Mainz 05 gets underway.
5' A quiet spell here at Opel Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
10' Danny Latza has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 436 appearances.
15' Tyler Adams puts RB Leipzig on the lead.
20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
23' RB Leipzig player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
24' Moussa Niakhate has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 24 minutes.
29' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
30' Against the run of play, Marcel Halstenberg has scored! This game has turned on its head.
35' A goal from the Senegal international Moussa Niakhate! He fires home on 35 to make it 2-2!
40' The referee calls foul for Moussa Niakhate. He receives a Yellow card.
45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
50' GOAL! Leandro Barreiro Martins fires home to make it 3-2!
55' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Marcel Halstenberg is replaced by Christopher Nkunku on 55 minute.
60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
61' The crowd applauds Emil Forsberg as he leaves the pitch. Justin Kluivert steps in for RB Leipzig.
66' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Danny Latza is replaced by Levin Oztunali on 66 minute.
67' The supporters are chanting for Adam Szalai. He replaces Robin Quaison on 67 minute.
70' RB Leipzig receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 70.
75' Danny da Costa picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
77' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Tyler Adams is replaced by Nordi Mukiele.
79' Niklas Tauer is replacing Dominik Kohr for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
84' RB Leipzig have won 719 goals from 513 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
87' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Leandro Barreiro Martins is replaced by Jonathan Burkardt on 87 minute.
88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Willi Orban.
90' Alexander Sorloth has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-2.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

4
Jerry St. Juste
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Niklas Tauer 79'
23
Philipp Mwene ↓ Kevin Stoger 67'
27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell
6
Danny Latza C ↓ Levin Oztunali 66'
7
Robin Quaison ↓ Adam Szalai 67'
21
Karim Onisiwo
19
Moussa Niakhate
35
Leandro Barreiro Martins ↓ Jonathan Burkardt 87'
22
Danny da Costa

Bench

37
Finn Dahmen
42
Alexander Hack
8
Levin Oztunali ↑ 66'
5
Jean-Paul Boetius
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↑ 87'
28
Adam Szalai ↑ 67'
17
Kevin Stoger ↑ 67'
15
Luca Kilian
25
Niklas Tauer ↑ 79'

Coach Bo Svensson

RB Leipzig Lineups

Starting XI

3
Angelino
19
Alexander Sorloth
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Justin Kluivert 61'
1
Peter Gulacsi
4
Willi Orban
23
Marcel Halstenberg ↓ Christopher Nkunku 55'
5
Dayot Upamecano
7
Marcel Sabitzer C
14
Tyler Adams ↓ Nordi Mukiele 77'
25
Dani Olmo ↓ Hwang Heechan 77'
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Lazar Samardzic 61'

Bench

Coach Julian Nagelsmann

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Timo Werner	9
Yussuf Poulsen	5
Moussa Niakhate	4
Christopher Nkunku	3
Marcus Ingvartsen	3
Xavi Simons	2
Leandro Barreiro Martins	2
Jean-Philippe Mateta	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2021-01-23 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 RB Leipzig W 2021-01-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg L 2021-01-16 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2021-01-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Eintracht Frankfurt L 2021-01-03 FC Bayern München 5–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2020-12-23 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Bochum 1848 D

RB Leipzig Form

2021-01-23 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 RB Leipzig L 2021-01-20 RB Leipzig 1–0 1. FC Union Berlin W 2021-01-16 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 RB Leipzig D 2021-01-09 RB Leipzig 1–3 Borussia Dortmund L 2021-01-02 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 RB Leipzig W 2020-12-22 FC Augsburg 0–3 RB Leipzig W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.75 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.48 RB Leipzig xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0525% Draw29% RB Leipzig46%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.23

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

54%

Draw or RB Leipzig

75%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0514% Draw50% RB Leipzig36%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

14.9%

0 – 0

13%

1 – 1

12.8%

0 – 2

11.3%

1 – 2

8.6%

1 – 0

6.9%

0 – 3

5.5%

2 – 1

4.3%

1 – 3

4.3%

2 – 2

3.3%

2 – 0

2.9%

0 – 4

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	RB Leipzig covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	95%
-1.5	5%	—	95%
-1	5%	12%	82%
-0.5	18%	—	82%
+0.5	47%	—	53%
+1	47%	25%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	16%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

48% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.