1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Opel Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Achmuller
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Referee Christian Dingert
- Referee Timo Gerach
- Referee Benedikt Kempkes
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan | RB Leipzig | H | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Jan | FC Bayern München | A | 2–5 | L |
| 23 Dec | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Dec | FC Augsburg | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #3 |
| 40 | Points | 65 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 |
| 44 | Scored | 66 |
| 53 | Conceded | 47 |
| -9 | GD | +19 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.91 |
| 29% | Win % | 59% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig has kicked off!
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' The 32-year-old Marcel Sabitzer has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' GOAL! Tyler Adams scores on 15.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dani Olmo made 188 appearances and scored 53 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 23' Marcel Halstenberg was booked on 23.
- 24' Goal! Moussa Niakhate scores his 12 goal in 436 matches.
- 29' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Svensson will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' RB Leipzig is taking the lead after the goal scored by Marcel Halstenberg on 30.
- 35' GOAL! Moussa Niakhate fires home to make it 2-2!
- 40' Moussa Niakhate catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 40.
- 45' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 50' Sensational shot from Leandro Barreiro Martins. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is back in the lead.
- 55' The supporters are chanting for Christopher Nkunku. He replaces Marcel Halstenberg on 55 minute.
- 60' It’s high time Bo Svensson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 61' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Emil Forsberg has done his job and it is now time for Justin Kluivert to step up.
- 66' The whistle greets Danny Latza as he departs to be replaced by Levin Oztunali.
- 67' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Robin Quaison is withdrawn and Adam Szalai gets his opportunity.
- 70' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Tyler Adams on 70 minutes.
- 75' A moment of madness from Danny da Costa on 75 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
- 77' Nordi Mukiele has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tyler Adams on 77 minute.
- 79' Niklas Tauer is replacing Dominik Kohr for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
- 84' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Stefan Bell suffering a number of foals already.
- 87' Jonathan Burkardt gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Leandro Barreiro Martins and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Willi Orban.
- 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Alexander Sorloth.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Niklas Tauer 79'
-
23
Philipp Mwene ↓ Kevin Stoger 67'
- 27
- 16
-
6
Danny Latza C ↓ Levin Oztunali 66'
-
7
Robin Quaison ↓ Adam Szalai 67'
- 21
- 19
- 35
- 22
Bench
- 37
- 42
-
8
Levin Oztunali ↑ 66'
- 5
-
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↑ 87'
-
28
Adam Szalai ↑ 67'
-
17
Kevin Stoger ↑ 67'
- 15
-
25
Niklas Tauer ↑ 79'
Coach
Bo Svensson
RB Leipzig Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 19
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Justin Kluivert 61'
- 1
- 4
- 23
- 5
- 7
-
14
Tyler Adams ↓ Nordi Mukiele 77'
-
25
Dani Olmo ↓ Hwang Heechan 77'
- 8
Bench
-
18
Christopher Nkunku ↑ 55'
-
11
Hwang Heechan ↑ 77'
-
22
Nordi Mukiele ↑ 77'
- 16
-
21
Justin Kluivert ↑ 61'
-
20
Lazar Samardzic ↑ 61'
- 41
- 33
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
| Andre Silva | 2 |
| Lukas Klostermann | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
50%
Draw or RB Leipzig
73%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–2 not predicted3 – 2Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 1
8.5%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
5.1%
0 – 3
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 4
4.1%
0 – 0
3.5%
0 – 4
3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 20% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +2 | 62% | 17% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.