1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Opel Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Achmuller
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Referee Christian Dingert
- Referee Timo Gerach
- Referee Benedikt Kempkes
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan | RB Leipzig | H | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Jan | FC Bayern München | A | 2–5 | L |
| 23 Dec | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Dec | FC Augsburg | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 10 | Points | 18 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 3 |
| 18 | Scored | 27 |
| 19 | Conceded | 13 |
| -1 | GD | +14 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 2.00 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is hosting RB Leipzig for another epic battle.
- 5' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' GOAL! Tyler Adams scores on 15.
- 20' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 23' The referee has no hesitation. Marcel Halstenberg is booked for RB Leipzig — Yellow card on 23.
- 24' A stunning finish from Moussa Niakhate — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 29' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Julian Nagelsmann will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' Marcel Halstenberg is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 35' The deadlock is broken! Moussa Niakhate gets on the scoresheet on 35 minutes.
- 40' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 45' Robin Quaison, a Sweden , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 50' GOAL! Leandro Barreiro Martins scores on 50. Assisted by Danny da Costa
- 55' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Marcel Halstenberg has done his job and it is now time for Christopher Nkunku to step up.
- 60' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Justin Kluivert. He replaces Emil Forsberg on 61 minute.
- 66' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Levin Oztunali comes on to replace Danny Latza.
- 67' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Adam Szalai is hanging Robin Quaison on the field on 67 minute.
- 70' Tyler Adams has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 70.
- 75' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Danny da Costa on 75 minutes.
- 77' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Tyler Adams is replaced by Nordi Mukiele.
- 79' Dominik Kohr makes way for Niklas Tauer at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 84' A quiet spell here at Opel Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 87' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Leandro Barreiro Martins is replaced by Jonathan Burkardt on 87 minute.
- 88' Willi Orban has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 88.
- 90' Alexander Sorloth was booked on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for 1. FSV Mainz 05 players.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Niklas Tauer 79'
-
23
Philipp Mwene ↓ Kevin Stoger 67'
- 27
- 16
-
6
Danny Latza C ↓ Levin Oztunali 66'
-
7
Robin Quaison ↓ Adam Szalai 67'
- 21
- 19
- 35
- 22
Bench
- 37
- 42
-
8
Levin Oztunali ↑ 66'
- 5
-
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↑ 87'
-
28
Adam Szalai ↑ 67'
-
17
Kevin Stoger ↑ 67'
- 15
-
25
Niklas Tauer ↑ 79'
Coach
Bo Svensson
RB Leipzig Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 19
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Justin Kluivert 61'
- 1
- 4
- 23
- 5
- 7
-
14
Tyler Adams ↓ Nordi Mukiele 77'
-
25
Dani Olmo ↓ Hwang Heechan 77'
- 8
Bench
-
18
Christopher Nkunku ↑ 55'
-
11
Hwang Heechan ↑ 77'
-
22
Nordi Mukiele ↑ 77'
- 16
-
21
Justin Kluivert ↑ 61'
-
20
Lazar Samardzic ↑ 61'
- 41
- 33
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 2 |
| Xavi Simons | 2 |
| Leandro Barreiro Martins | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.71
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.22
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 4.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
45%
Draw or RB Leipzig
75%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–2 not predicted3 – 2Actual
1 – 3
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 4
5.4%
1 – 1
4.7%
2 – 4
4.6%
0 – 3
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 1
3.5%
1 – 5
3.5%
0 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 5% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 10% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +1 | 34% | 18% | 48% |
| +1.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +2 | 52% | 18% | 30% |
| +2.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

