RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Guido Kleve
- Referee Sven Waschitzki
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Referee Manuel Grafe
- Referee Markus Sinn
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | 1. FC Nurnberg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Aug | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jun | FC Augsburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jun | Borussia Dortmund | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | RB Leipzig | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | TSV Havelse | A | 5–1 | W |
| 27 Jun | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jun | SV Werder Bremen | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Jun | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Jun | FC Augsburg | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #10 |
| 65 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 20 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 66 | Scored | 44 |
| 47 | Conceded | 53 |
| +19 | GD | -9 |
| 1.91 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 59% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! RB Leipzig welcome 1. FSV Mainz 05 for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena.
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 15' Robin Zentner has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 17' GOAL! Emil Forsberg scores on 17.
- 21' Yussuf Poulsen makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and RB Leipzig are in front.
- 26' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 35' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' RB Leipzig are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's shape.
- 45' Jerry St. Juste needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 48' A goal from the France international Jean-Philippe Mateta! He fires home on 48 to make it 2-1!
- 51' Magnificent from Amadou Haidara! That is 19 goals in 222 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Danny Latza on 58.
- 63' France international Dayot Upamecano has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 64' Yussuf Poulsen picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 68' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Levin Oztunali is hanging Jonathan Burkardt on the field on 68 minute.
- 69' The supporters are chanting for Hwang Heechan. He replaces Dani Olmo on 69 minute.
- 74' Dani Olmo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 77' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Benjamin Henrichs on, Kevin Kampl off on 77 minutes.
- 82' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 86' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Niklas Tauer is hanging Danny Latza on the field on 86 minute.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Issah Abbas. He replaces Karim Onisiwo on 87 minute.
- 90' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Jean-Philippe Mateta by Paul Nebel on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 9
- 10
- 1
- 16
- 23
- 5
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Benjamin Henrichs 77'
- 14
-
25
Dani Olmo ↓ Hwang Heechan 69'
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Nordi Mukiele 90'
Bench
- 17
-
39
Benjamin Henrichs ↑ 77'
-
18
Christopher Nkunku ↑ 77'
-
11
Hwang Heechan ↑ 69'
- 13
-
22
Nordi Mukiele ↑ 90'
- 4
- 7
- 20
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 9
- 27
- 18
-
6
Danny Latza C ↓ Niklas Tauer 86'
- 7
- 34
-
21
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Issah Abbas 87'
- 19
- 35
- 29
Bench
- 23
- 37
-
8
Levin Oztunali ↑ 68'
-
5
Jean-Paul Boetius ↑ 68'
-
22
Issah Abbas ↑ 87'
- 15
- 13
-
25
Niklas Tauer ↑ 86'
-
26
Paul Nebel ↑ 90'
Coach
Achim Beierlorzer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcel Halstenberg | 2 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 2 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.47
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
81%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
39%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.5%
0 – 0
3.4%
4 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 20% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

