Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 1 Oct 2022 · 13:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Referee Jan Seidel
  • Referee Sascha Thielert
  • Referee Nicolas Winter
  • Referee Lasse Koslowski
  • Referee Sven Jablonski
9 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 14.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
18 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–0 D
15 Sep PAE Olympiakos SFP A 3–0 W
11 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–0 D
08 Sep Qarabag Agdam FK H 2–1 W
03 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep Hertha BSC H 1–1 D
10 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
04 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–0 W
27 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
20 Aug FC Augsburg A 2–1 W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#3 Position #12
19 Points 10
9 Played 9
6 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 5
20 Scored 18
10 Conceded 19
+10 GD -1
2.11 PPG 1.11
67% Win % 33%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

SC Freiburg are 3rd (19 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.24 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg59% Draw22% 1. FSV Mainz 0519%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
81%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
41%
SC Freiburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg44% Draw39% 1. FSV Mainz 0517%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
1 – 0
7%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.