Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 10 Sep 2022 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Lasse Koslowski
  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Referee Arno Blos
  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Referee Marcel Pelgrim
  • Referee Pascal Mueller

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 3–0 W
06 Sep FK Shakhtar Donetsk H 1–4 L
03 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–4 L
30 Aug FC Teutonia Ottensen A 8–0 W
27 Aug VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
20 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Sep RB Leipzig A 0–3 L
06 Sep FC København H 3–0 W
02 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
27 Aug Hertha BSC A 1–0 W
20 Aug SV Werder Bremen H 2–3 L
12 Aug SC Freiburg A 3–1 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig Borussia Dortmund
#3 Position #2
65 Points 73
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
66 Scored 70
47 Conceded 34
+19 GD +36
1.91 PPG 2.15
59% Win % 65%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.76 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig44% Draw25% Borussia Dortmund31%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
69%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
56%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig31% Draw42% Borussia Dortmund27%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–0 not predicted
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 0
5.4%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 19% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
21%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.