CF Estrela da Amadora vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CF Estrela da Amadora vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Jose Gomes.
- CF Estrela da Amadora 34 games · 30 pts (2025/26)
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov | CD Nacional | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 1–5 | L |
| 27 Oct | Vitória SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | Gil Vicente FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Moreirense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov | CF Estrela da Amadora | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Nov | CD Santa Clara | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Casa Pia AC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | FC Famalicão | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Sporting Clube de Braga | H | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Sep | GD Estoril Praia | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| CF Estrela da Amadora | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #14 |
| 30 | Points | 34 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 6 / 12 / 16 | W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 18 |
| 38 | Scored | 37 |
| 56 | Conceded | 45 |
| -18 | GD | -8 |
| 0.88 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 18% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
CF Estrela da Amadora are 15th (30 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for CF Estrela da Amadora to score. At the same time, CD Nacional does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 12' That looks like a foul for a card for Luis Esteves.
- 17' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CF Estrela da Amadora side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 22' CD Nacional looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Paulinho Boia scoring 1 goals.
- 27' It looks surprising CF Estrela da Amadora does not make any changes. Ruben Lima has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CD Nacional that had 266 games and scored 106 goals.
- 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 42' Over 42 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 46' Bruno Brigido makes way for Francisco Meixedo at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from CF Estrela da Amadora.
- 51' The 28-year-old Luis Esteves has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' Adrian Butzke is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CF Estrela da Amadora tonight.
- 62' Ferro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 62.
- 62' The CF Estrela da Amadora manager makes a substitution. Leonel Bucca departs to be replaced by Alan Ruiz.
- 66' CD Nacional manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dudu is hanging Nigel Thomas on the field on 66 minute.
- 69' The supporters are chanting for Paulo Moreira. He replaces Igor on 69 minute.
- 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CF Estrela da Amadora needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 76' Time for substitution for CD Nacional. Isaac Aguiar is replaced by Tiago Reis.
- 77' What composure from Paulo Moreira! The Portugal international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 82' Matheus Dias has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 86' A goal from the Portugal international Kikas! He fires home on 86 to make it 2-0!
- 88' A change in the CD Nacional ranks — Ruben Macedo exits the field as Adrian Butzke enters on 88.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — CF Estrela da Amadora 2-0 CD Nacional.
Lineups
CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
97
Jovane Cabral ↓ Andre Luiz 69'
- 28
-
9
Rodrigo Pinho ↓ Kikas 62'
- 30
- 13
- 4
- 25
-
26
Leonel Bucca ↓ Alan Ruiz 62'
-
6
Igor ↓ Paulo Moreira 69'
- 77
- 22
Bench
- 17
-
98
Kikas ↑ 62'
-
10
Alan Ruiz ↑ 62'
- 3
-
1
Francisco Meixedo ↑ 46'
-
7
Andre Luiz ↑ 69'
- 42
- 2
-
19
Paulo Moreira ↑ 69'
Coach
Joao Godinho
CD Nacional Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 37
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↓ Adrian Butzke 88'
-
17
Daniel Penha ↓ Chiheb Labidi 66'
- 10
- 22
- 38
-
11
Nigel Thomas ↓ Dudu 66'
- 88
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↓ Tiago Reis 76'
- 4
-
5
Jose Gomes ↓ Arvin Appiah 88'
Bench
- 34
-
99
Dudu ↑ 66'
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↑ 88'
-
72
Tiago Reis ↑ 76'
- 1
-
9
Adrian Butzke ↑ 88'
- 25
- 27
-
15
Chiheb Labidi ↑ 66'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kikas | 1 |
| Paulo Moreira | 1 |
| Paulinho Boia | 1 |
| Chuchu | 1 |
| Jovane Cabral | 1 |
Head to Head
CF Estrela da Amadora Form
2024-11-10
CF Estrela da Amadora
2–0
CD Nacional
W
2024-11-01
Sporting Clube de Portugal
5–1
CF Estrela da Amadora
L
2024-10-27
CF Estrela da Amadora
2–2
Vitória SC
D
2024-10-05
Gil Vicente FC
3–0
CF Estrela da Amadora
L
2024-09-28
CF Estrela da Amadora
2–1
Moreirense FC
W
2024-09-21
CD Santa Clara
1–0
CF Estrela da Amadora
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.54
CF Estrela da Amadora xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CF Estrela da Amadora win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
CF Estrela da Amadora or Draw
81%
Draw or CD Nacional
46%
CF Estrela da Amadora or CD Nacional
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
12%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.2%
Asian Handicap — CF Estrela da Amadora
| Handicap | CF Estrela da Amadora covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 25% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.