Wednesday , 7 October 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 25 Aug 2024 · 13:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 28,917 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Jamal Musiala
Lovro Majer pen 47' 1–1
Lovro Majer 55' 2–1
2–2 65' Jakub Kaminski og
2–3 82' Serge Gnabry

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
5 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug FC Bayern Munchen H 2–3 L
19 Aug TuS Koblenz A 1–0 W
18 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–3 L
12 May FC Bayern Munchen A 0–2 L
04 May SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–0 W
27 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
16 Aug SSV Ulm 1846 A 4–0 W
18 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–4 L
12 May VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
08 May Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
04 May VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FC Bayern München get us underway at Volkswagen Arena.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' Thomas Muller needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 15' VfL Wolfsburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' What a moment for Jamal Musiala! That strike on 20 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 25' VfL Wolfsburg currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' FC Bayern München seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 31' The referee calls foul for Harry Kane. He receives a card.
  • 36' FC Bayern München fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' Sacha Boey picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 47' What a strike from Lovro Majer! The score is 1-1.
  • 52' Manuel Neuer has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 55' VfL Wolfsburg is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lovro Majer on 55.
  • 60' Over 60 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 65' Magnificent from Jakub Kaminski! That is 11 goals in 25 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 65' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Sacha Boey is replaced by Thomas Muller.
  • 70' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Jamal Musiala will be fuming at that decision.
  • 71' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Mattias Svanberg gets a card.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Patrick Wimmer as he leaves the pitch. Kevin Behrens steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 75' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Kingsley Coman on, Michael Olise off on 75 minutes.
  • 78' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Lovro Majer departs to be replaced by Yannick Gerhardt.
  • 81' Eric Dier gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Min-Jae Kim and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' GOAL! Serge Gnabry fires home to make it 3-2!
  • 82' It’s a booking for VfL Wolfsburg player. Cedric Zesiger gets a card.
  • 85' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Mattias Svanberg is replaced by Jonas Wind on 85 minute.
  • 90' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • VfL Wolfsburg will have plenty to reflect on. FC Bayern München were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern Munchen 75% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg30% Draw25% FC Bayern Munchen45%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
55%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
70%
VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern Munchen
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg25% Draw42% FC Bayern Munchen33%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
6%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 20% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.