Sunday , 23 August 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Wed 20 Dec 2023 · 19:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 28,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 33' Jamal Musiala
0–2 43' Harry Kane
Maximilian Arnold 45+1' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern MunchenBundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
4 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec FC Bayern Munchen H 1–2 L
16 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 A 1–0 W
09 Dec SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
05 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–1 L
02 Dec VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–3 L
25 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
17 Dec VfB Stuttgart H 3–0 W
12 Dec Manchester United FC A 1–0 W
09 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–5 L
29 Nov FC Kobenhavn H 0–0 D
24 Nov 1. FC Koln A 1–0 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Volkswagen Arena that hosts another battle between VfL Wolfsburg and FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. VfL Wolfsburg in their 3-1-4-2 trying to find a way past FC Bayern Munchen's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 10' VfL Wolfsburg currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 11' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a Yellow card on 11.
  • 12' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Cedric Zesiger.
  • 17' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfL Wolfsburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aleksandar Pavlovic on 20.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joakim Maehle made 316 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' named a 3-1-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 33' Magnificent from Jamal Musiala! That is 73 goals in 540 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 38' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfL Wolfsburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 43' A goal from the England international Harry Kane! He fires home on 43 to make it 0-2!
  • 46' Poor challenge from Lovro Majer. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 46' Rogerio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cedric Zesiger on 46 minute.
  • 46' Maximilian Arnold makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and VfL Wolfsburg are in front.
  • 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfL Wolfsburg and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 52' Tiago Tomas is replacing Lovro Majer for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
  • 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 59' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ridle Baku.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Thomas Muller as he leaves the pitch. Matthijs de Ligt steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 68' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Kevin Paredes. He replaces Mattias Svanberg on 72 minute.
  • 77' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 82' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 84' Vaclav Cerny gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Ridle Baku and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Lovro Majer is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Bayern Munchen so far.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Tiago Tomas argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 90' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Jamal Musiala is withdrawn and Maxim Choupo-Moting gets his opportunity.
  • 1-2 the final result. VfL Wolfsburg will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern Munchen 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg28% Draw27% FC Bayern Munchen45%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
56%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
72%
VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern Munchen
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg22% Draw46% FC Bayern Munchen32%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 21% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
22%
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.