Wednesday , 7 October 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Wed 20 Dec 2023 · 19:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 28,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 33' Jamal Musiala
0–2 43' Harry Kane
Maximilian Arnold 45+1' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec FC Bayern Munchen H 1–2 L
16 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 A 1–0 W
09 Dec SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
05 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–1 L
02 Dec VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–3 L
25 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
17 Dec VfB Stuttgart H 3–0 W
12 Dec Manchester United FC A 1–0 W
09 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–5 L
29 Nov FC København H 0–0 D
24 Nov 1. FC Koln A 1–0 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Volkswagen Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfL Wolfsburg and FC Bayern Munchen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 11' VfL Wolfsburg receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 11.
  • 12' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Cedric Zesiger on 12 minutes.
  • 17' Portugal international Raphael Guerreiro has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' Aleksandar Pavlovic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 20.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfL Wolfsburg and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 33' GOAL! Jamal Musiala fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 38' FC Bayern Munchen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 43' GOAL! Harry Kane fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 46' Lovro Majer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 46.
  • 46' Another substitution for VfL Wolfsburg to replace Cedric Zesiger by Rogerio on 46 minute.
  • 46' Magnificent from Maximilian Arnold! That is 29 goals in 478 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 51' Matthijs de Ligt has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 52' VfL Wolfsburg ring the changes. Lovro Majer has done his job and it is now time for Tiago Tomas to step up.
  • 57' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 59' The referee calls foul for Ridle Baku. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 63' The whistle greets Thomas Muller as he departs to be replaced by Matthijs de Ligt.
  • 68' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 72' A change in the VfL Wolfsburg ranks — Mattias Svanberg exits the field as Kevin Paredes enters on 72.
  • 77' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 82' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 84' Vaclav Cerny has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ridle Baku on 84 minute.
  • 89' VfL Wolfsburg is showing some good football. However, VfL Wolfsburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 90' Tiago Tomas is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' Maxim Choupo-Moting is replacing Jamal Musiala for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • Full Time. FC Bayern Munchen beats VfL Wolfsburg

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern Munchen 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg28% Draw27% FC Bayern Munchen45%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
56%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
72%
VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern Munchen
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg22% Draw46% FC Bayern Munchen32%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 21% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.