Wednesday , 7 October 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sun 5 Feb 2023 · 16:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Referee Thorben Siewer
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Max Burda
  • Referee Mike Pickel
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb FC Bayern Munchen H 2–4 L
31 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
28 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L
24 Jan Hertha BSC A 5–0 W
21 Jan SC Freiburg H 6–0 W
12 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 4–2 W
01 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
28 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
24 Jan 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D
20 Jan RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Nov FC Schalke 04 A 2–0 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' VfL Wolfsburg have kicked off against FC Bayern Munchen. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' VfL Wolfsburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 9' GOAL! Kingsley Coman fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 14' What composure from Kingsley Coman! The France international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 19' The deadlock is broken! Thomas Muller gets on the scoresheet on 19 minutes.
  • 24' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfL Wolfsburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 29' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' Jakub Kaminski is ready to make an impact after coming on for Maxence Lacroix at the 30 minute mark.
  • 34' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a Yellow card on 34.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Leroy Sane.
  • 38' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Paulo Otavio.
  • 43' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 44' GOAL! Jakub Kaminski fires home to make it 1-3!
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Leon Goretzka on 45.
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joshua Kimmich on 54.
  • 55' Serge Gnabry is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kingsley Coman at the 55 minute mark.
  • 60' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Thomas Muller is replaced by Mathys Tel on 60 minute.
  • 65' FC Bayern Munchen have won 1079 goals from 546 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 67' Omar Marmoush gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Patrick Wimmer and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mathys Tel suffering a number of foals already.
  • 73' Jamal Musiala has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 73 minutes.
  • 74' VfL Wolfsburg ring the changes. Jonas Wind has done his job and it is now time for Lukas Nmecha to step up.
  • 78' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Jamal Musiala exits the field as Paul Wanner enters on 78.
  • 81' Mattias Svanberg is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 86' The 32-year-old Joao Cancelo has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Paul Wanner on 90 minutes.
  • 2-4 the final result. VfL Wolfsburg will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg29% Draw24% FC Bayern Munchen47%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
54%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
71%
VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern Munchen
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg24% Draw40% FC Bayern Munchen36%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
4%
0 – 3
3.7%
1 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 15% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 20% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 14% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.