VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2022-23

VfL Wolfsburg

2 – 4

Full Time

FC Bayern Munchen

Sun 5 Feb 2023 · 16:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 34' Joshua Kimmich

Y 34' Leroy Sane

Y 35' Leroy Sane

Paulo Otavio 38' Y

Y 45' Leon Goretzka

R 54' Joshua Kimmich

Y 90' Paul Wanner

Y 90' Mathys Tel

Sebastiaan Bornauw 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
FC Bayern Munchen 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Harm Osmers
Referee Felix Zwayer
Referee Thorben Siewer
Referee Robert Kempter
Referee Max Burda
Referee Mike Pickel

6 games this season 🟨 0.2/game ⚽ 3.2 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	0	0
2	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
3	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
4	FC Bayern Munchen	0	0
5	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
6	RB Leipzig	0	0
7	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
8	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
9	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
10	SC Freiburg	0	0
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
12	FC Augsburg	0	0
13	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
14	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
15	Borussia Monchengladbach	0	0
16	Hamburger SV	0	0
17	1. FC Koln	0	0
18	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 16 games · Avg 4.1 goals FC Bayern Munchen

Last 5 meetings

2023-02-05 VfL Wolfsburg 2–4 FC Bayern Munchen 2022-08-14 FC Bayern Munchen 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-05-14 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 FC Bayern Munchen 2021-12-17 FC Bayern Munchen 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg 2021-04-17 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 FC Bayern Munchen

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	FC Bayern Munchen	H	2–4	L
31 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–2	L
28 Jan	SV Werder Bremen	A	1–2	L
24 Jan	Hertha BSC	A	5–0	W
21 Jan	SC Freiburg	H	6–0	W
12 Nov	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	2–1	W

FC Bayern Munchen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	A	4–2	W
01 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	4–0	W
28 Jan	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–1	D
24 Jan	1. FC Koln	H	1–1	D
20 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	1–1	D
12 Nov	FC Schalke 04	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Volkswagen Arena will turn into a battlefield for VfL Wolfsburg and FC Bayern München.
5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
9' Kingsley Coman has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 9 minutes.
14' A goal from the France international Kingsley Coman! He fires home on 14 to make it 0-2!
19' Thomas Muller adds to his 5 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
24' Croatia international Josip Stanisic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
30' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Jakub Kaminski comes on to replace Maxence Lacroix.
34' It’s a booking for FC Bayern Munchen player. Joshua Kimmich gets a Yellow card.
35' Leroy Sane was booked on 35.
38' The referee has no hesitation. Paulo Otavio is booked for VfL Wolfsburg — Yellow card on 38.
43' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
44' Assisted by Paulo Otavio with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jakub Kaminski makes no mistake. 1-3!
45' The referee has no hesitation. Leon Goretzka is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — Yellow card on 45.
50' A quiet spell here at Volkswagen Arena. VfL Wolfsburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
54' That is a Red card for FC Bayern Munchen. Joshua Kimmich will be fuming at that decision.
55' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Kingsley Coman by Serge Gnabry on 55 minute.
60' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Thomas Muller has done his job and it is now time for Mathys Tel to step up.
65' FC Bayern München come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
67' The supporters are chanting for Omar Marmoush. He replaces Patrick Wimmer on 67 minute.
72' VfL Wolfsburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
73' Goal! Jamal Musiala scores his 73 goal in 540 matches.
74' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Jonas Wind departs to be replaced by Lukas Nmecha.
78' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Paul Wanner is hanging Jamal Musiala on the field on 78 minute.
81' What composure from Mattias Svanberg! The Sweden international strokes it home. 2-4.
86' VfL Wolfsburg are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern München's shape.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Paul Wanner is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — Yellow card on 90.
FC Bayern München celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

Starting XI

4
Maxence Lacroix ↓ Jakub Kaminski 30'
1
Koen Casteels
27
Maximilian Arnold ↓ Yannick Gerhardt 74'
20
Ridle Baku
6
Paulo Otavio ↓ Kevin Paredes 67'
32
Mattias Svanberg
3
Sebastiaan Bornauw
23
Jonas Wind ↓ Lukas Nmecha 74'
22
Felix Kalu Nmecha
39
Patrick Wimmer ↓ Omar Marmoush 67'
5
Mickey van de Ven

Bench

Coach Niko Kovać

FC Bayern Munchen Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

23
Daley Blind ↑ 78'
20
Bouna Sarr
7
Serge Gnabry ↑ 55'
26
Sven Ulreich
44
Josip Stanisic ↑ 60'
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 60'
14
Paul Wanner ↑ 78'
35
Johannes Schenk

Coach Julian Nagelsmann

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robert Lewandowski	10
Jamal Musiala	6
Thomas Muller	5
Leon Goretzka	3
Serge Gnabry	3
Kingsley Coman	3
James Rodriguez	2
Wout Weghorst	2

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2023-02-05 VfL Wolfsburg 2–4 FC Bayern Munchen L 2023-01-31 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg L 2023-01-28 SV Werder Bremen 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg L 2023-01-24 Hertha BSC 0–5 VfL Wolfsburg W 2023-01-21 VfL Wolfsburg 6–0 SC Freiburg W 2022-11-12 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg W

FC Bayern Munchen Form

2023-02-05 VfL Wolfsburg 2–4 FC Bayern Munchen W 2023-02-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern Munchen W 2023-01-28 FC Bayern Munchen 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt D 2023-01-24 FC Bayern Munchen 1–1 1. FC Koln D 2023-01-20 RB Leipzig 1–1 FC Bayern Munchen D 2022-11-12 FC Schalke 04 0–2 FC Bayern Munchen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.58 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.04 FC Bayern Munchen xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg29% Draw24% FC Bayern Munchen47%

Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.62

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

54%

Draw or FC Bayern Munchen

71%

VfL Wolfsburg or FC Bayern Munchen

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg24% Draw40% FC Bayern Munchen36%

Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted

2 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

9.5%

1 – 2

8.5%

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 1

6.6%

1 – 3

5.7%

0 – 2

5.6%

0 – 1

2 – 3

4.5%

0 – 0

0 – 3

3.7%

1 – 0

3.7%

3 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	15%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	20%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	14%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.