Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
VfL Wolfsburg
1 – 3
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sat 18 May 2024 · 13:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 26,627 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Paredes 18' 1–0
1–1 24' Brajan Gruda
1–2 72' Sepp van den Berg
1–3 85' Jonathan Burkardt
Y 12' Jae-sung Lee
Y 34' Michael Silberbauer
Patrick Wimmer 52' Y
Y 54' Andreas Hanche-Olsen
Lovro Majer 71' Y
Y 89' Dominik Kohr

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
  • Assistant 2 Christian Leicher

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
3 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26
4 FC Schalke 04 0 0
5 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
6 SV 07 Elversberg 0 0
7 FC Bayern München 0 0
8 Borussia Dortmund 0 0
9 RB Leipzig 0 0
10 VfB Stuttgart 0 0
11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 0
13 SC Freiburg 0 0
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
15 FC Augsburg 0 0
16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 0
17 1. FC Union Berlin 0 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
19 Hamburger SV 0 0
20 1. FC Köln 0 0
21 SV Werder Bremen 0 0

Head-to-Head

14
7
4
VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-11-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-04-22 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–3 L
12 May FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
04 May SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–0 W
27 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–1 W
20 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–0 W
13 Apr RB Leipzig A 0–3 L
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W
11 May Borussia Dortmund H 3–0 W
05 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–1 D
28 Apr 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
21 Apr SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
13 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 4–1 W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#1 Position #16
29 Points 0
34 Played 0
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
45 Scored 0
69 Conceded 0
-24 GD +0
0.85 PPG –
21% Win % –

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Volkswagen Arena as VfL Wolfsburg face off against 1. FSV Mainz 05 in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Belgium international Koen Casteels has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Henriksen might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 12' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Jae-sung Lee gets a card.
  • 17' Silvan Widmer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 18' Kevin Paredes adds to his 0 season tally! VfL Wolfsburg lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 23' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 24' Against the run of play, Brajan Gruda has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 29' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 34' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Michael Silberbauer.
  • 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
  • 44' With 0 assists to his name this season, Andreas Hanche-Olsen is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 46' VfL Wolfsburg ring the changes. Kevin Paredes has done his job and it is now time for Patrick Wimmer to step up.
  • 51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 52' That looks like a foul for a card for Patrick Wimmer.
  • 54' Andreas Hanche-Olsen was booked on 54.
  • 59' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfL Wolfsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 71' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a card on 71.
  • 72' Magnificent from Sepp van den Berg! That is 7 goals in 232 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 73' Ludovic Ajorque has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jae-sung Lee on 73 minute.
  • 76' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Ridle Baku is replaced by Vaclav Cerny.
  • 80' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Patrick Wimmer departs to be replaced by Bennit Broger.
  • 85' Jonathan Burkardt does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
  • 86' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tom Krauss is hanging Brajan Gruda on the field on 86 minute.
  • 89' Dominik Kohr picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Josuha Guilavogui has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonathan Burkardt on 90 minute.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. 1. FSV Mainz 05 take all three points.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ralph Hasenhuttl

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jonas Wind 7
Maximilian Arnold 3
Jonathan Burkardt 3
Max Kruse 3
Maximilian Philipp 2
Sebastiaan Bornauw 2
Stefan Bell 2
Wout Weghorst 2

Head to Head

2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-11-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-04-22 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-05-12 FC Bayern München 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2024-05-04 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 SV Darmstadt 98 W 2024-04-27 SC Freiburg 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-04-20 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-04-13 RB Leipzig 3–0 VfL Wolfsburg L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-05-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-05-05 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-04-28 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Köln D 2024-04-21 SC Freiburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-04-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 4–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.94 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 78% + VfL Wolfsburg or Draw 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg39% Draw35% 1. FSV Mainz 0526%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes31% 0% No69%
Avg goals/match: 1.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 48%
52%
± 2.5 22%
78%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
74%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
61%
VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg24% Draw60% 1. FSV Mainz 0516%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.5%
1 – 0
17.3%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
2.6%
2 – 2
2.2%
3 – 1
1.9%
1 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 24% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 16% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
52% ✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.