Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
VfL Wolfsburg
1 – 3
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sat 18 May 2024 · 13:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 26,627 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Paredes 18' 1–0
1–1 24' Brajan Gruda
1–2 72' Sepp van den Berg
1–3 85' Jonathan Burkardt
Y 12' Jae-sung Lee
Y 34' Michael Silberbauer
Patrick Wimmer 52' Y
Y 54' Andreas Hanche-Olsen
Lovro Majer 71' Y
Y 89' Dominik Kohr

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
  • Assistant 2 Christian Leicher

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

14
7
4
VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-11-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-04-22 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–3 L
12 May FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
04 May SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–0 W
27 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–1 W
20 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–0 W
13 Apr RB Leipzig A 0–3 L
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W
11 May Borussia Dortmund H 3–0 W
05 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–1 D
28 Apr 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
21 Apr SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
13 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 4–1 W

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
  • 5' The 28-year-old Cedric Zesiger has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' VfL Wolfsburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 12' The referee has no hesitation. Jae-sung Lee is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — card on 12.
  • 17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 18' GOAL! Kevin Paredes scores on 18. Assisted by Jakub Kaminski
  • 23' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Tom Krauss has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 24' What a strike from Brajan Gruda! The score is 1-1.
  • 29' Kilian Fischer has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 34' The referee calls foul for Michael Silberbauer. He receives a card.
  • 39' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' Kevin Paredes makes way for Patrick Wimmer at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 52' Poor challenge from Patrick Wimmer. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 54' Andreas Hanche-Olsen was booked on 54.
  • 59' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfL Wolfsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 64' VfL Wolfsburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 69' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lovro Majer on 71.
  • 72' Sepp van den Berg doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 73' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Jae-sung Lee has done his job and it is now time for Ludovic Ajorque to step up.
  • 76' Vaclav Cerny is replacing Ridle Baku for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
  • 80' Another change for VfL Wolfsburg made on 80 minute. Patrick Wimmer leaves to be changed by Bennit Broger.
  • 85' Against the run of play, Jonathan Burkardt has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 86' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Brajan Gruda is replaced by Tom Krauss on 86 minute.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Dominik Kohr. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Jonathan Burkardt trudges off to be replaced by Josuha Guilavogui on 90 minutes.
  • 1-3 the final result. VfL Wolfsburg will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ralph Hasenhuttl

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jonas Wind 7
Maximilian Arnold 3
Jonathan Burkardt 3
Max Kruse 3
Stefan Bell 2
Wout Weghorst 2
Robin Quaison 2
Renato Steffen 2

Head to Head

2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-11-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-04-22 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-05-12 FC Bayern München 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2024-05-04 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 SV Darmstadt 98 W 2024-04-27 SC Freiburg 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-04-20 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-04-13 RB Leipzig 3–0 VfL Wolfsburg L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-05-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-05-05 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-04-28 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Köln D 2024-04-21 SC Freiburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-04-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 4–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg43% Draw28% 1. FSV Mainz 0529%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
71%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
57%
VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg33% Draw46% 1. FSV Mainz 0521%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–3 not predicted
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.