Saturday , 14 November 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
VfL Wolfsburg
1 – 3
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sat 18 May 2024 · 13:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 26,627 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Paredes 18' 1–0
1–1 24' Brajan Gruda
1–2 72' Sepp van den Berg
1–3 85' Jonathan Burkardt
Y 12' Jae-sung Lee
Y 34' Michael Silberbauer
Patrick Wimmer 52' Y
Y 54' Andreas Hanche-Olsen
Lovro Majer 71' Y
Y 89' Dominik Kohr

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
  • Assistant 2 Christian Leicher

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 9 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 21
3 SC Freiburg 9 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 16
6 SV Werder Bremen 9 15
7 SV 07 Elversberg 9 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 12
9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 12
12 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 10
13 SC Paderborn 07 9 10
14 FC Augsburg 9 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 9
16 1. FC Union Berlin 9 7
17 FC Schalke 04 9 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 4

Head-to-Head

14
7
4
VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-11-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-04-22 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–3 L
12 May FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
04 May SV Darmstadt 98 H 3–0 W
27 Apr SC Freiburg A 2–1 W
20 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–0 W
13 Apr RB Leipzig A 0–3 L
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W
11 May Borussia Dortmund H 3–0 W
05 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–1 D
28 Apr 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
21 Apr SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
13 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 4–1 W

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' VfL Wolfsburg have kicked off against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 12' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jae-sung Lee.
  • 17' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 18' VfL Wolfsburg is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kevin Paredes on 18.
  • 23' VfL Wolfsburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
  • 24' Brajan Gruda is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 29' VfL Wolfsburg is showing some good football. However, VfL Wolfsburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 34' Michael Silberbauer is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 446 games and scored 424 goals.
  • 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfL Wolfsburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Kevin Paredes is replaced by Patrick Wimmer on 46 minute.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Patrick Wimmer on 52.
  • 54' Andreas Hanche-Olsen has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 54.
  • 59' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jonathan Burkardt, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 64' VfL Wolfsburg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 69' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfL Wolfsburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 71' VfL Wolfsburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 72' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Sepp van den Berg on 72.
  • 73' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Ludovic Ajorque comes on to replace Jae-sung Lee.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Ridle Baku as he leaves the pitch. Vaclav Cerny steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 80' Bennit Broger is ready to make an impact after coming on for Patrick Wimmer at the 80 minute mark.
  • 85' The Germany Jonathan Burkardt breaks the deadlock on 85 minutes. 1-3!
  • 86' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Tom Krauss comes on to replace Brajan Gruda.
  • 89' Controversy at the stadium! Dominik Kohr argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Jonathan Burkardt is replaced by Josuha Guilavogui on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for 1. FSV Mainz 05 players.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ralph Hasenhuttl

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jonas Wind 7
Maximilian Arnold 3
Jonathan Burkardt 3
Max Kruse 3
Paul Nebel 2
Maximilian Philipp 2
Sebastiaan Bornauw 2
Stefan Bell 2

Head to Head

2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-11-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-04-22 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-05-12 FC Bayern München 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2024-05-04 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 SV Darmstadt 98 W 2024-04-27 SC Freiburg 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-04-20 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-04-13 RB Leipzig 3–0 VfL Wolfsburg L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-05-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-05-05 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-04-28 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Köln D 2024-04-21 SC Freiburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-04-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 4–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg43% Draw28% 1. FSV Mainz 0529%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
71%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
57%
VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg33% Draw46% 1. FSV Mainz 0521%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–3 not predicted
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.