VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

VfB Stuttgart

3 – 1

Full Time

FC Bayern Munchen

Sat 4 May 2024 · 13:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Leonidas Stergiou 29' 1–0

1–1 37' Harry Kane pen

Jeong Wooyeong 83' 2–1

Silas Katompa Mvumpa 90+3' 3–1

Y 20' Eric Dier

Waldemar Anton 24' Y

Y 78' Aleksandar Pavlovic

Y 90' Thomas Tuchel

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

VfB Stuttgart 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
FC Bayern Munchen 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Welz
Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
Assistant 2 Guido Kleve

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern Munchen	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Koln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Monchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

VfB Stuttgart 16 games · Avg 4.2 goals FC Bayern Munchen

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-04 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 FC Bayern Munchen 2023-12-17 FC Bayern Munchen 3–0 VfB Stuttgart 2023-03-04 VfB Stuttgart 1–2 FC Bayern Munchen 2022-09-10 FC Bayern Munchen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart 2022-05-08 FC Bayern Munchen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	FC Bayern Munchen	H	3–1	W
27 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	2–2	D
21 Apr	SV Werder Bremen	A	1–2	L
13 Apr	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	3–0	W
06 Apr	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–0	W
31 Mar	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	3–3	D

FC Bayern Munchen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–3	L
30 Apr	Real Madrid CF	H	2–2	D
27 Apr	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	2–1	W
20 Apr	1. FC Union Berlin	A	5–1	W
17 Apr	Arsenal FC	H	1–0	W
13 Apr	1. FC Koln	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart		FC Bayern Munchen
#15	Position	#2
3	Points	10
4	Played	4
1 / 0 / 3	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 0
6	Scored	14
9	Conceded	2
-3	GD	+12
0.75	PPG	2.50
25%	Win %	75%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/2

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Bayern Munchen

0-15

–/–

16-30

3/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/1

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

Josha Vagnoman	2 G	1 A
Ermedin Demirovic	1 G
Grischa Promel	1 G
Bilal El Khannouss	1 G

FC Bayern Munchen

Michael Olise	4 G	1 A
Harry Kane	3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic	1 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	1 G
Luis Diaz	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. VfB Stuttgart host FC Bayern Munchen — let the battle begin!
5' FC Bayern Munchen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
17' Leon Goretzka gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Raphael Guerreiro and will look to change the dynamic.
20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Eric Dier on 20.
24' A moment of madness from Waldemar Anton on 24 minutes earns him a card. VfB Stuttgart will be frustrated.
29' What a strike from Leonidas Stergiou! The score is 1-0.
34' FC Bayern Munchen come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
37' The deadlock is broken! Harry Kane gets on the scoresheet on 37 minutes.
42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfB Stuttgart and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
46' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Eric Dier exits the field as Dayot Upamecano enters on 46.
51' FC Bayern Munchen has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Atakan Karazor suffering a number of foals already.
61' named a 4-2-2-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
64' Bryan Zaragoza gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Serge Gnabry and will look to change the dynamic.
69' VfB Stuttgart are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
72' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Mathys Tel exits the field as Leroy Sane enters on 72.
77' Serge Gnabry needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
78' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Aleksandar Pavlovic will be fuming at that decision.
79' Jamie Leweling makes way for Silas Katompa Mvumpa at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfB Stuttgart.
83' A stunning finish from Jeong Wooyeong — that came from absolutely nowhere!
88' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Thomas Tuchel is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — card on 90.
90' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Deniz Undav by Luca Raimund on 90 minute.
3-1 the final result. FC Bayern Munchen will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

16
Atakan Karazor
2
Waldemar Anton
33
Alexander Nubel
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Jeong Wooyeong 72'
9
Sehrou Guirassy
21
Hiroki Ito
20
Leonidas Stergiou
18
Jamie Leweling ↓ Silas Katompa Mvumpa 79'
26
Deniz Undav ↓ Luca Raimund 90'
29
Anthony Rouault ↓ Mahmoud Dahoud 72'
6
Angelo Stiller

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

FC Bayern Munchen Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

15
Eric Dier ↓ Dayot Upamecano 46'
9
Harry Kane
13
Maxim Choupo-Moting
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Bryan Zaragoza 64'
1
Manuel Neuer
6
Joshua Kimmich ↓ Noussair Mazraoui 64'
22
Raphael Guerreiro ↓ Leon Goretzka 17'
19
Alphonso Davies
39
Mathys Tel ↓ Leroy Sane 72'
3
Min-Jae Kim
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic

Bench

10
Leroy Sane ↑ 72'
40
Noussair Mazraoui ↑ 64'
26
Sven Ulreich
25
Thomas Muller
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 17'
2
Dayot Upamecano ↑ 46'
27
Konrad Laimer
17
Bryan Zaragoza ↑ 64'
34
Lovro Zvonarek

Coach Thomas Tuchel

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Harry Kane	10
Robert Lewandowski	8
Serge Gnabry	6
Kingsley Coman	3
Leon Goretzka	3
Thomas Muller	2
Michael Olise	2
Chris Fuhrich	2

Head to Head

VfB Stuttgart Form

2024-05-04 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 FC Bayern Munchen W 2024-04-27 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2024-04-21 SV Werder Bremen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart L 2024-04-13 VfB Stuttgart 3–0 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2024-04-06 Borussia Dortmund 0–1 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-03-31 VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 D

FC Bayern Munchen Form

2024-05-04 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 FC Bayern Munchen L 2024-04-30 FC Bayern Munchen 2–2 Real Madrid CF D 2024-04-27 FC Bayern Munchen 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2024-04-20 1. FC Union Berlin 1–5 FC Bayern Munchen W 2024-04-17 FC Bayern Munchen 1–0 Arsenal FC W 2024-04-13 FC Bayern Munchen 2–0 1. FC Koln W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.38 VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.98 FC Bayern Munchen xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

VfB Stuttgart25% Draw19% FC Bayern Munchen56%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 4.36

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	62%	38%
± 4.5	43%	57%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw

44%

Draw or FC Bayern Munchen

75%

VfB Stuttgart or FC Bayern Munchen

81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfB Stuttgart15% Draw33% FC Bayern Munchen52%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–1 not predicted

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.8%

1 – 3

7.5%

1 – 1

0 – 2

5.9%

0 – 3

5.6%

1 – 4

5.6%

2 – 2

5.3%

2 – 3

5.2%

0 – 4

4.1%

2 – 4

3.9%

0 – 1

3.7%

2 – 1

3.7%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap	VfB Stuttgart covers	Push	FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	9%	85%
-0.5	15%	—	85%
+0.5	32%	—	68%
+1	32%	19%	49%
+1.5	51%	—	49%
+2	51%	19%	31%
+2.5	69%	—	31%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

6% ✓

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.