Sunday , 16 August 2026

Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Derby County FC H 3–1 W
03 May Derby County FC A 0–0 D
25 Apr Sheffield United FC H 0–2 L
21 Apr Leeds United FC A 0–6 L
18 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Cardiff City FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Stoke City FC A 1–3 L
03 May Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
21 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–1 W
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Derby County FC
#26 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Stoke City FC are 26th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.82 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + Stoke City FC or Draw 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC40% Draw35% Derby County FC25%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 45%
55%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Derby County FC
60%
Stoke City FC or Derby County FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC21% Draw63% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.1%
1 – 0
16.9%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
1.9%
2 – 2
1.9%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
1%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 23% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 18% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
51%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.