Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Stoke City FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Elliot Bell (England)

3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 5.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-09 Stoke City FC 3–1 Derby County FC 2025-05-03 Derby County FC 0–0 Stoke City FC 2024-11-02 Stoke City FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-12-30 Stoke City FC 1–2 Derby County FC 2021-09-18 Derby County FC 2–1 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Aug	Derby County FC	H	3–1	W
03 May	Derby County FC	A	0–0	D
25 Apr	Sheffield United FC	H	0–2	L
21 Apr	Leeds United FC	A	0–6	L
18 Apr	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–0	W
12 Apr	Cardiff City FC	A	1–0	W

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Aug	Stoke City FC	A	1–3	L
03 May	Stoke City FC	H	0–0	D
26 Apr	Hull City AFC	A	1–0	W
21 Apr	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	3–1	W
18 Apr	Luton Town FC	H	0–1	L
12 Apr	Portsmouth FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Stoke City FC		Derby County FC
#17	Position	#8
55	Points	69
46	Played	46
15 / 10 / 21	W / D / L	20 / 9 / 17
51	Scored	67
56	Conceded	59
-5	GD	+8
1.20	PPG	1.50
33%	Win %	43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Stoke City FC kicks off things out of here…
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Stoke City FC players.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tom Ince	3
Martyn Waghorn	3
Curtis Davies	1
Harry Wilson	1
Max Bird	1
Sam Clucas	1
Colin Kazim-Richards	1
Luke Plange	1

Head to Head

Stoke City FC Form

2025-08-09 Stoke City FC 3–1 Derby County FC W 2025-05-03 Derby County FC 0–0 Stoke City FC D 2025-04-25 Stoke City FC 0–2 Sheffield United FC L 2025-04-21 Leeds United FC 6–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-04-18 Stoke City FC 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2025-04-12 Cardiff City FC 0–1 Stoke City FC W

Derby County FC Form

2025-08-09 Stoke City FC 3–1 Derby County FC L 2025-05-03 Derby County FC 0–0 Stoke City FC D 2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC W 2025-04-21 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–3 Derby County FC W 2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC L 2025-04-12 Portsmouth FC 2–2 Derby County FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.45 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC43% Draw27% Derby County FC30%

Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.77

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

70%

Draw or Derby County FC

57%

Stoke City FC or Derby County FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC29% Draw46% Derby County FC25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

2 – 1

8.4%

0 – 0

8.1%

1 – 0

8.1%

1 – 2

7.6%

0 – 1

7.3%

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

5.6%

0 – 2

5.4%

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 3

3.4%

3 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	20%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	18%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.