Thursday , 2 July 2026

West Bromwich Albion FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Mon 21 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC The Hawthorns 25,750 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Ebou Adams
0–2 30' Jerry Yates
Adam Armstrong 70' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

West Bromwich Albion FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at The Hawthorns.

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Derby County FC H 1–3 L
18 Apr Coventry City FC A 0–2 L
12 Apr Watford FC H 2–1 W
08 Apr Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
05 Apr Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
29 Mar Norwich City FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–1 W
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
08 Apr Burnley FC H 0–0 D
05 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
02 Apr Preston North End FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

West Bromwich Albion FC Derby County FC
#21 Position #8
51 Points 69
46 Played 46
13 / 14 / 19 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
48 Scored 67
58 Conceded 59
-10 GD +8
1.11 PPG 1.50
28% Win % 43%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

West Bromwich Albion FC are 21st (51 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for West Bromwich Albion FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Mason Holgate has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 319 appearances.
  • 7' Ebou Adams puts Derby County FC on the lead.
  • 10' A moment of madness from Marcus Harness on 10 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 15' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' West Bromwich Albion FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' GOAL! Jerry Yates fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alex Mowatt is clearly more than just a goal scorer for West Bromwich Albion FC.
  • 53' Poor challenge from Tom Fellows. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daryl Dike made 283 appearances and scored 42 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 62' A change in the West Bromwich Albion FC ranks — Darnell Furlong exits the field as Adam Armstrong enters on 62.
  • 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
  • 70' Magnificent from Adam Armstrong! That is 87 goals in 382 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 75' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matt Clarke, as he is very good at scoring at The Hawthorns with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 79' The West Bromwich Albion FC manager makes a substitution. Ousmane Diakite departs to be replaced by Alex Mowatt.
  • 80' Derby County FC make a change. Marcus Harness trudges off to be replaced by Kayden Jackson on 80 minutes.
  • 85' A quiet spell here at The Hawthorns. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 86' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is hanging Jerry Yates on the field on 86 minute.
  • 88' Magnificent from Nathaniel Mendez-Laing! That is 29 goals in 372 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nathaniel Phillips.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 West Bromwich Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: West Bromwich Albion FC or Derby County FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
West Bromwich Albion FC28% Draw28% Derby County FC44%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

West Bromwich Albion FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
72%
West Bromwich Albion FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
West Bromwich Albion FC21% Draw47% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
9.7%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — West Bromwich Albion FC

Handicap West Bromwich Albion FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 22% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

West Bromwich Albion FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.