Thursday , 2 July 2026

Leeds United FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Mon 21 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Elland Road 36,644 HT 45' · FT 45'
Joel Piroe 6' 1–0
Joel Piroe 8' 2–0
Joel Piroe 20' 3–0
Junior Firpo 26' 4–0
Joel Piroe 41' 5–0
Wilfried Gnonto 59' 6–0
Ethan Ampadu 17' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 James Mainwaring

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Stoke City FC H 6–0 W
18 Apr Oxford United FC A 1–0 W
12 Apr Preston North End FC H 2–1 W
08 Apr Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
05 Apr Luton Town FC A 1–1 D
29 Mar Swansea City AFC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Leeds United FC A 0–6 L
18 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Cardiff City FC A 1–0 W
08 Apr Luton Town FC H 1–1 D
05 Apr Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
29 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–1 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Leeds United FC and Stoke City FC has kicked off!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ben Gibson made 342 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 6' Goal! Joel Piroe scores his 83 goal in 436 matches.
  • 8' What a strike from Joel Piroe! The score is 2-0.
  • 13' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Leeds United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 17' Leeds United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 17.
  • 20' What a strike from Joel Piroe! The score is 3-0.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 380 games and scored 400 goals.
  • 26' What a strike from Junior Firpo! The score is 4-0.
  • 31' It looks like no one’s ball. Leeds United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 36' The travelling Stoke City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 41' What a strike from Joel Piroe! The score is 5-0.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Lynden Gooch. He replaces Josh Wilson-Esbrand on 46 minute.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ao Tanaka, as he is very good at scoring at Elland Road with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 59' Goal! Wilfried Gnonto scores his 18 goal in 358 matches.
  • 60' Bosun Lawal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ali Al-Hamadi on 60 minute.
  • 65' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 66' The Leeds United FC manager makes a substitution. Wilfried Gnonto departs to be replaced by Largie Ramazani.
  • 71' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Ben Pearson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Wouter Burger is replaced by Tatsuki Seko.
  • 77' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 78' Time for substitution for Leeds United FC. Jayden Bogle is replaced by Isaac Schmidt.
  • 83' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 86' Leeds United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Harry Gray is hanging Brenden Aaronson on the field on 86 minute.
  • With this win, Leeds United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.27 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC67% Draw20% Stoke City FC13%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Stoke City FC
33%
Leeds United FC or Stoke City FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC50% Draw40% Stoke City FC10%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–0 not predicted
6 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
12.1%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
8.9%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
6.3%
4 – 0
5.1%
4 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.1%
0 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 26% 74%
-2 26% 21% 53%
-1.5 47% 53%
-1 47% 23% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
46%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.