Portsmouth FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portsmouth FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Fratton Park.
- Portsmouth FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ruebyn Ricardo (England)
- Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
- Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Derby County FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Millwall FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Portsmouth FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #8 |
| 55 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 13 / 19 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 49 | Scored | 67 |
| 64 | Conceded | 59 |
| -15 | GD | +8 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 30% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Portsmouth FC are 18th (55 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' A quiet spell here at Fratton Park. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 6' A moment of madness from Jacob Widell Zetterstrom on 6 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
- 11' The 19-year-old Harrison Armstrong has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 16' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 21' Matt Clarke picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 26' Derby County FC come into this ranked 21 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 27' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Zak Swanson.
- 32' Portsmouth FC is showing some good football. However, Portsmouth FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 33' Portsmouth FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 34.
- 39' Portsmouth FC currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 49' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 54' Portsmouth FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 57' Ebou Adams is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
- 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John Mousinho will be considering his options from the bench.
- 66' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing makes way for Kayden Jackson at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
- 68' Controversy at the stadium! Christian Saydee argues furiously but the card stands.
- 69' A moment of madness from Colby Bishop on 69 minutes earns him a card. Portsmouth FC will be frustrated.
- 70' Jerry Yates adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 71' What a strike from Robert Atkinson! The score is 1-1.
- 75' GOAL! Robert Atkinson fires home to make it 2-1!
- 79' Another substitution for Portsmouth FC to replace Zak Swanson by Terry Devlin on 79 minute.
- 80' The referee has no hesitation. Robert Atkinson is booked for Portsmouth FC — card on 80.
- 83' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Marcus Harness is withdrawn and Kenzo Goudmijn gets his opportunity.
- 86' The crowd applauds Matt Ritchie as he leaves the pitch. Harvey Blair steps in for Portsmouth FC.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Portsmouth FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
45
Isaac Hayden ↓ Andre Dozzell 79'
-
30
Matt Ritchie ↓ Harvey Blair 86'
- 23
- 3
- 9
- 5
- 35
-
15
Christian Saydee ↓ Kusini Yengi 79'
-
22
Zak Swanson ↓ Terry Devlin 79'
-
8
Freddie Potts ↓ Marlon Pack 86'
- 13
Bench
-
7
Marlon Pack ↑ 86'
- 31
- 2
-
21
Andre Dozzell ↑ 79'
- 18
- 17
-
10
Kusini Yengi ↑ 79'
-
24
Terry Devlin ↑ 79'
-
29
Harvey Blair ↑ 86'
Coach
John Mousinho
Derby County FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 25
- 3
-
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Kenzo Goudmijn 83'
- 11
- 2
- 10
- 32
- 12
- 1
- 6
- 28
Bench
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↑ 83'
- 29
- 33
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↑ 66'
- 31
- 16
- 21
- 7
- 48
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joe Ward | 2 |
| Robert Atkinson | 2 |
| James Collins | 2 |
| Colby Bishop | 2 |
| Owen Moxon | 1 |
| Abu Kamara | 1 |
| Jerry Yates | 1 |
| Kane Wilson | 1 |
Head to Head
Portsmouth FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35
Portsmouth FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Portsmouth FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Portsmouth FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Derby County FC
67%
Portsmouth FC or Derby County FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Portsmouth FC
| Handicap | Portsmouth FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 20% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Portsmouth FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

