Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Stoke City FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 2 Nov 2024 · 12:30 UTC Bet365 Stadium 24,511 HT 45' · FT 45'
Thomas Cannon pen 9' 1–0
1–1 68' Viktor Johansson og
Ben Gibson 82' 2–1
Y 48' Marcus Harness
Y 54' Nathaniel Phillips
Andrew Moran 71' Y
Enda Stevens 77' Y
Y 79' Ebou Adams

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Lewis Smith
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

4
4
4
Stoke City FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-11-02 Stoke City FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-12-30 Stoke City FC 1–2 Derby County FC 2021-09-18 Derby County FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2021-03-20 Stoke City FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2020-12-12 Derby County FC 0–0 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Derby County FC H 2–1 W
26 Oct Sheffield United FC A 0–2 L
22 Oct Bristol City FC H 2–2 D
19 Oct Norwich City FC H 1–1 D
05 Oct Swansea City AFC A 0–0 D
02 Oct Portsmouth FC H 6–1 W
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Stoke City FC A 1–2 L
26 Oct Hull City AFC H 1–1 D
22 Oct Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Millwall FC A 1–1 D
05 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Derby County FC
#17 Position #8
55 Points 69
46 Played 46
15 / 10 / 21 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
51 Scored 67
56 Conceded 59
-5 GD +8
1.20 PPG 1.50
33% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Stoke City FC launch into their encounter with Derby County FC.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 9' Thomas Cannon does the damage! The net is bulging and Stoke City FC surge ahead!
  • 14' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 19' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 19.
  • 24' The 25-year-old Wouter Burger has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 29' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 34' Junior Tchamadeu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 16 Yellow cards this season.
  • 39' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 44' Ebou Adams is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Stoke City FC tonight.
  • 46' Derby County FC ring the changes. Joe Ward has done his job and it is now time for Nathaniel Phillips to step up.
  • 48' It’s gonna be a card for Marcus Harness.
  • 53' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 54' Nathaniel Phillips picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 55' Stoke City FC make a change. Tatsuki Seko trudges off to be replaced by Lewis Koumas on 55 minutes.
  • 60' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 63' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Marcus Harness departs to be replaced by Kenzo Goudmijn.
  • 68' Viktor Johansson doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 71' Andrew Moran has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
  • 76' Derby County FC come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 77' Controversy at the stadium! Enda Stevens argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 78' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Nathaniel Mendez-Laing exits the field as James Collins enters on 78.
  • 79' Ebou Adams picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 82' A goal from the England international Ben Gibson! He fires home on 82 to make it 3-0!
  • 87' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ashley Phillips suffering a number of foals already.
  • 88' Stoke City FC make a change. Joon-ho Bae trudges off to be replaced by Eric Bocat on 88 minutes.
  • 90' Million Manhoef makes way for Andre Vidigal at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stoke City FC.
  • Another three points for Stoke City FC.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Chicho Pelach

Derby County FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tom Ince 3
Martyn Waghorn 3
Curtis Davies 1
Harry Wilson 1
Max Bird 1
Sam Clucas 1
Colin Kazim-Richards 1
Luke Plange 1

Head to Head

2024-11-02 Stoke City FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-12-30 Stoke City FC 1–2 Derby County FC 2021-09-18 Derby County FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2021-03-20 Stoke City FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2020-12-12 Derby County FC 0–0 Stoke City FC

Stoke City FC Form

2024-11-02 Stoke City FC 2–1 Derby County FC W 2024-10-26 Sheffield United FC 2–0 Stoke City FC L 2024-10-22 Stoke City FC 2–2 Bristol City FC D 2024-10-19 Stoke City FC 1–1 Norwich City FC D 2024-10-05 Swansea City AFC 0–0 Stoke City FC D 2024-10-02 Stoke City FC 6–1 Portsmouth FC W

Derby County FC Form

2024-11-02 Stoke City FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC D 2024-10-22 Oxford United FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2024-10-05 Derby County FC 2–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2024-10-01 Sunderland AFC 2–0 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC45% Draw27% Derby County FC28%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
55%
Stoke City FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC30% Draw47% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.