Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Lewis Smith
- Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
- Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)
5 games this season
🟨 1.8/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | Bristol City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Oct | Norwich City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Oct | Portsmouth FC | H | 6–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | Stoke City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Hull City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Oct | Oxford United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | Millwall FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #22 |
| 13 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 13 | Scored | 7 |
| 12 | Conceded | 14 |
| +1 | GD | -7 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 50% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 1 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dajaune Brown is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
- 9' What composure from Thomas Cannon! The Ireland international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 14' Stoke City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 19' Wouter Burger has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 327 appearances.
- 24' Stoke City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 29' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
- 39' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 44' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Stoke City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 46' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nathaniel Phillips is hanging Joe Ward on the field on 46 minute.
- 48' Poor challenge from Marcus Harness. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 53' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 53.
- 54' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 54.
- 55' The whistle greets Tatsuki Seko as he departs to be replaced by Lewis Koumas.
- 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Kenzo Goudmijn. He replaces Marcus Harness on 63 minute.
- 68' Viktor Johansson does the damage! The net is bulging and Stoke City FC surge ahead!
- 71' The referee shows Stoke City FC player a card on 71.
- 76' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 4-3-3.
- 77' Stoke City FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 78' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Nathaniel Mendez-Laing by James Collins on 78 minute.
- 79' Controversy at the stadium! Ebou Adams argues furiously but the card stands.
- 82' Brilliant from the ! Ben Gibson makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 82.
- 87' James Collins has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 88' The crowd applauds Joon-ho Bae as he leaves the pitch. Eric Bocat steps in for Stoke City FC.
- 90' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Million Manhoef by Andre Vidigal on 90 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
- 3
- 6
-
12
Tatsuki Seko ↓ Lewis Koumas 55'
- 1
-
42
Million Manhoef ↓ Andre Vidigal 90'
- 22
- 26
- 24
- 9
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↓ Eric Bocat 88'
Bench
- 15
- 13
-
7
Andre Vidigal ↑ 90'
- 14
-
17
Eric Bocat ↑ 88'
- 37
- 30
- 41
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↑ 55'
Coach
Chicho Pelach
Derby County FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 8
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↓ Callum Elder 46'
-
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Kenzo Goudmijn 63'
- 11
- 19
- 35
-
23
Joe Ward ↓ Nathaniel Phillips 46'
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ Dajaune Brown 63'
- 32
- 6
- 1
Bench
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↑ 63'
- 27
- 31
-
9
James Collins ↑ 78'
- 5
-
20
Callum Elder ↑ 46'
-
12
Nathaniel Phillips ↑ 46'
- 16
-
39
Dajaune Brown ↑ 63'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Ince | 3 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 3 |
| Jacob Brown | 1 |
| Curtis Davies | 1 |
| Harry Wilson | 1 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
| Sam Clucas | 1 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.96
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
43%
Stoke City FC or Derby County FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Stoke City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.1%
3 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 23% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

