Sunday , 16 August 2026

Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 2 Nov 2024 · 12:30 UTC Bet365 Stadium 24,511 HT 45' · FT 45'
Thomas Cannon pen 9' 1–0
1–1 68' Viktor Johansson og
Ben Gibson 82' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Lewis Smith
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 4.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Derby County FC H 2–1 W
26 Oct Sheffield United FC A 0–2 L
22 Oct Bristol City FC H 2–2 D
19 Oct Norwich City FC H 1–1 D
05 Oct Swansea City AFC A 0–0 D
02 Oct Portsmouth FC H 6–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Stoke City FC A 1–2 L
26 Oct Hull City AFC H 1–1 D
22 Oct Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Millwall FC A 1–1 D
05 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Derby County FC
#26 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Stoke City FC are 26th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.83 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.54 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Stoke City FC or Draw 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC42% Draw37% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes25% 0% No75%
Avg goals/match: 1.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 40%
60%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Derby County FC
58%
Stoke City FC or Derby County FC
63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC23% Draw65% Derby County FC12%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.2%
1 – 0
19.6%
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
11.9%
2 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
3.2%
1 – 2
3.1%
3 – 0
2.2%
2 – 2
1.5%
3 – 1
1.4%
0 – 3
0.6%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 10% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 25% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 15% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
59%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.