Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 2 Nov 2024 · 12:30 UTC Bet365 Stadium 24,511 HT 45' · FT 45'
Thomas Cannon pen 9' 1–0
1–1 68' Viktor Johansson og
Ben Gibson 82' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Lewis Smith
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Derby County FC H 2–1 W
26 Oct Sheffield United FC A 0–2 L
22 Oct Bristol City FC H 2–2 D
19 Oct Norwich City FC H 1–1 D
05 Oct Swansea City AFC A 0–0 D
02 Oct Portsmouth FC H 6–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Stoke City FC A 1–2 L
26 Oct Hull City AFC H 1–1 D
22 Oct Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Millwall FC A 1–1 D
05 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Derby County FC
#7 Position #22
13 Points 5
8 Played 8
4 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
13 Scored 7
12 Conceded 14
+1 GD -7
1.63 PPG 0.63
50% Win % 13%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dajaune Brown is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 9' What composure from Thomas Cannon! The Ireland international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 14' Stoke City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 19' Wouter Burger has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 327 appearances.
  • 24' Stoke City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 29' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 39' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 44' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Stoke City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 46' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nathaniel Phillips is hanging Joe Ward on the field on 46 minute.
  • 48' Poor challenge from Marcus Harness. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 53' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 53.
  • 54' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 54.
  • 55' The whistle greets Tatsuki Seko as he departs to be replaced by Lewis Koumas.
  • 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Kenzo Goudmijn. He replaces Marcus Harness on 63 minute.
  • 68' Viktor Johansson does the damage! The net is bulging and Stoke City FC surge ahead!
  • 71' The referee shows Stoke City FC player a card on 71.
  • 76' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 77' Stoke City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 78' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Nathaniel Mendez-Laing by James Collins on 78 minute.
  • 79' Controversy at the stadium! Ebou Adams argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 82' Brilliant from the ! Ben Gibson makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 82.
  • 87' James Collins has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 88' The crowd applauds Joon-ho Bae as he leaves the pitch. Eric Bocat steps in for Stoke City FC.
  • 90' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Million Manhoef by Andre Vidigal on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.96 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC57% Draw24% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
43%
Stoke City FC or Derby County FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC42% Draw43% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.1%
3 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 23% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.