Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Lewis Smith
- Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
- Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)
5 games this season
🟨 3.4/game
⚽ 9.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | Bristol City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Oct | Norwich City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Oct | Portsmouth FC | H | 6–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | Stoke City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Hull City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Oct | Oxford United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | Millwall FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #23 |
| 29 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 9 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 9 |
| 24 | Scored | 14 |
| 18 | Conceded | 30 |
| +6 | GD | -16 |
| 1.93 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 60% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Jack McGlynn | 5 G | 2 A |
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 4 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 9' Against the run of play, Thomas Cannon has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 14' Kayden Jackson, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 19' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 24' Andrew Moran is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
- 29' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 34' Stoke City FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 4-3-3 shape.
- 39' Derby County FC come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 44' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Ben Gibson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 46' Nathaniel Phillips has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joe Ward on 46 minute.
- 48' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Marcus Harness gets a card.
- 53' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nathaniel Phillips on 54.
- 55' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Tatsuki Seko is replaced by Lewis Koumas on 55 minute.
- 60' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 63' Derby County FC make a change. Marcus Harness trudges off to be replaced by Kenzo Goudmijn on 63 minutes.
- 68' Viktor Johansson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 71' Poor challenge from Andrew Moran. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 76' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 4-3-3.
- 77' Stoke City FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 78' The crowd applauds Nathaniel Mendez-Laing as he leaves the pitch. James Collins steps in for Derby County FC.
- 79' It’s gonna be a card for Ebou Adams.
- 82' The deadlock is broken! Ben Gibson gets on the scoresheet on 82 minutes.
- 87' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 88' The whistle greets Joon-ho Bae as he departs to be replaced by Eric Bocat.
- 90' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 90 minute. Million Manhoef leaves to be changed by Andre Vidigal.
- 2-1 the final result. Derby County FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
- 3
- 6
-
12
Tatsuki Seko ↓ Lewis Koumas 55'
- 1
-
42
Million Manhoef ↓ Andre Vidigal 90'
- 22
- 26
- 24
- 9
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↓ Eric Bocat 88'
Bench
- 15
- 13
-
7
Andre Vidigal ↑ 90'
- 14
-
17
Eric Bocat ↑ 88'
- 37
- 30
- 41
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↑ 55'
Coach
Chicho Pelach
Derby County FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 8
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↓ Callum Elder 46'
-
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Kenzo Goudmijn 63'
- 11
- 19
- 35
-
23
Joe Ward ↓ Nathaniel Phillips 46'
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ Dajaune Brown 63'
- 32
- 6
- 1
Bench
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↑ 63'
- 27
- 31
-
9
James Collins ↑ 78'
- 5
-
20
Callum Elder ↑ 46'
-
12
Nathaniel Phillips ↑ 46'
- 16
-
39
Dajaune Brown ↑ 63'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Ince | 3 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 3 |
| Jacob Brown | 1 |
| Curtis Davies | 1 |
| Harry Wilson | 1 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
| Sam Clucas | 1 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.08
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Derby County FC
40%
Stoke City FC or Derby County FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.9%
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 19% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 23% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

