Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Derby County FC
0 – 1
Full Time
Luton Town FC
Fri 18 Apr 2025 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 32,159 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Millenic Alli
Sondre Langas 29' Y
Y 38' Carlton Morris
Y 68' Millenic Alli
Kayden Jackson 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee James Linington
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

2
1
5
Derby County FC 8 games · Avg 2.6 goals Luton Town FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC 2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-26 Luton Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-10-19 Derby County FC 2–2 Luton Town FC 2021-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
08 Apr Burnley FC H 0–0 D
05 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
02 Apr Preston North End FC H 2–0 W
15 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–2 W
Luton Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Derby County FC A 1–0 W
12 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
08 Apr Stoke City FC A 1–1 D
05 Apr Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
15 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Luton Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' GOAL! Millenic Alli scores on 10. Assisted by Mark McGuinness
  • 15' Lasse Nordas has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 64 appearances.
  • 16' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing departs to be replaced by Kayden Jackson.
  • 21' Thelo Aasgaard is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Luton Town FC tonight.
  • 26' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 29' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sondre Langas on 29.
  • 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kal Naismith suffering a number of foals already.
  • 38' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Carlton Morris on 38 minutes.
  • 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 48' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Luton Town FC backline.
  • 53' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 58' Nathaniel Phillips is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 63' Sondre Langas has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 68' The referee has no hesitation. Millenic Alli is booked for Luton Town FC — card on 68.
  • 72' Teden Mengi gets the nod from Luton Town FC. He replaces Lamine Dabo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' The whistle greets Isaiah Jones as he departs to be replaced by Reece Burke.
  • 78' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Jordan Clark as he leaves the pitch. Marvelous Nakamba steps in for Luton Town FC.
  • 86' Josh Vickers has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Kayden Jackson gets a card.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Thomas Barkhuizen. He replaces Harrison Armstrong on 90 minute.
  • Luton Town FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Eustace

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Matt Bloomfield

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tom Lawrence 2
Graeme Shinnie 1
Matthew Pearson 1
Jason Knight 1
Jayden Bogle 1
Fred Onyedinma 1
Chris Martin 1
Elijah Adebayo 1

Head to Head

2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC 2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-26 Luton Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-10-19 Derby County FC 2–2 Luton Town FC 2021-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Luton Town FC

Derby County FC Form

2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC L 2025-04-12 Portsmouth FC 2–2 Derby County FC D 2025-04-08 Derby County FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-04-05 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Preston North End FC W 2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC W

Luton Town FC Form

2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC W 2025-04-12 Luton Town FC 0–1 Blackburn Rovers FC L 2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC D 2025-04-05 Luton Town FC 1–1 Leeds United FC D 2025-03-29 Hull City AFC 0–1 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-15 Luton Town FC 0–0 Middlesbrough FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Luton Town FC or Draw 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC33% Draw33% Luton Town FC34%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Luton Town FC
67%
Derby County FC or Luton Town FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC22% Draw55% Luton Town FC23%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
1 – 3
2.2%
0 – 3
2.2%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 20% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.