Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Derby County FC
0 – 1
Full Time
Luton Town FC
Fri 18 Apr 2025 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 32,159 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Millenic Alli
Sondre Langas 29' Y
Y 38' Carlton Morris
Y 68' Millenic Alli
Kayden Jackson 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee James Linington
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

2
1
5
Derby County FC 8 games · Avg 2.6 goals Luton Town FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC 2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-26 Luton Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-10-19 Derby County FC 2–2 Luton Town FC 2021-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
08 Apr Burnley FC H 0–0 D
05 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
02 Apr Preston North End FC H 2–0 W
15 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–2 W
Luton Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Derby County FC A 1–0 W
12 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
08 Apr Stoke City FC A 1–1 D
05 Apr Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
15 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Pride Park Stadium that hosts another battle between Derby County FC and Luton Town FC.
  • 5' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Lasse Nordas has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' GOAL! Millenic Alli scores on 10. Assisted by Mark McGuinness
  • 15' Luton Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 16' The whistle greets Nathaniel Mendez-Laing as he departs to be replaced by Kayden Jackson.
  • 21' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 21 minutes.
  • 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 29' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sondre Langas on 29.
  • 34' The travelling Luton Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 38' Luton Town FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 53' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 58' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 58.
  • 63' Sondre Langas has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 68' The referee calls foul for Millenic Alli. He receives a card.
  • 72' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 72 minute. Lamine Dabo leaves to be changed by Teden Mengi.
  • 73' The whistle greets Isaiah Jones as he departs to be replaced by Reece Burke.
  • 78' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 81' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Jordan Clark departs to be replaced by Marvelous Nakamba.
  • 86' It’s high time John Eustace made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Kayden Jackson.
  • 90' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Thomas Barkhuizen is hanging Harrison Armstrong on the field on 90 minute.
  • Another three points for Luton Town FC.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Eustace

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Matt Bloomfield

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tom Lawrence 2
Jayden Bogle 1
Fred Onyedinma 1
Chris Martin 1
Elijah Adebayo 1
Wayne Rooney 1
Danny Hylton 1
Donervon Daniels 1

Head to Head

2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC 2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-26 Luton Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-10-19 Derby County FC 2–2 Luton Town FC 2021-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Luton Town FC

Derby County FC Form

2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC L 2025-04-12 Portsmouth FC 2–2 Derby County FC D 2025-04-08 Derby County FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-04-05 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Preston North End FC W 2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC W

Luton Town FC Form

2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC W 2025-04-12 Luton Town FC 0–1 Blackburn Rovers FC L 2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC D 2025-04-05 Luton Town FC 1–1 Leeds United FC D 2025-03-29 Hull City AFC 0–1 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-15 Luton Town FC 0–0 Middlesbrough FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Luton Town FC or Draw 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC33% Draw33% Luton Town FC34%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Luton Town FC
67%
Derby County FC or Luton Town FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC22% Draw55% Luton Town FC23%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
1 – 3
2.2%
0 – 3
2.2%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 20% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.