Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Linington
- Assistant 1 Graham Kane
- Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham United FC | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea City AFC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough FC | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic FC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Birmingham City FC | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Stoke City FC | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Bristol City FC | 6 | 10 |
| 11 | Norwich City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 12 | Millwall FC | 6 | 9 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 6 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 5 | 8 |
| 15 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Lincoln City FC | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 6 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham AFC | 7 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 7 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 7 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Luton Town FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Apr | Stoke City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Leeds United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
| Bobby Clark | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Derby County FC to score. At the same time, Luton Town FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' Millenic Alli puts Luton Town FC on the lead.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 16' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing departs to be replaced by Kayden Jackson.
- 21' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 26' Jerry Yates has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 29' That is a card for Derby County FC. Sondre Langas will be fuming at that decision.
- 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 38' Carlton Morris catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
- 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 48' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ebou Adams suffering a number of foals already.
- 53' Supporters expect more eagerness from Thomas Kaminski, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 58' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Luton Town FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 63' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 68' That looks like a foul for a card for Millenic Alli.
- 72' Lamine Dabo makes way for Teden Mengi at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
- 73' The crowd applauds Isaiah Jones as he leaves the pitch. Reece Burke steps in for Luton Town FC.
- 78' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 81' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Jordan Clark has done his job and it is now time for Marvelous Nakamba to step up.
- 86' Carlton Morris is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Luton Town FC so far.
- 90' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' The whistle greets Harrison Armstrong as he departs to be replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen.
- With this win, Luton Town FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 25
- 3
- 18
- 11
- 2
- 31
- 10
- 32
- 12
-
6
Sondre Langas ↓ Kenzo Goudmijn 81'
- 28
Bench
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↑ 81'
- 33
- 8
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↑ 16'
- 16
- 13
- 21
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 90'
- 48
Coach
John Eustace
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 3
- 12
-
9
Carlton Morris ↓ Lasse Nordas 81'
- 18
- 24
-
25
Isaiah Jones ↓ Reece Burke 73'
- 6
- 8
- 28
-
22
Lamine Dabo ↓ Teden Mengi 72'
-
21
Millenic Alli ↓ Tahith Chong 90'
Bench
- 20
-
13
Marvelous Nakamba ↑ 81'
- 23
-
16
Reece Burke ↑ 73'
-
14
Tahith Chong ↑ 90'
-
15
Teden Mengi ↑ 72'
-
44
Lasse Nordas ↑ 81'
- 46
- 37
Coach
Matt Bloomfield
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 2 |
| Lee Gregory | 1 |
| Graeme Shinnie | 1 |
| Matthew Pearson | 1 |
| Jason Knight | 1 |
| Jayden Bogle | 1 |
| Fred Onyedinma | 1 |
| Chris Martin | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Luton Town FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 68% + Luton Town FC or Draw 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Luton Town FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Luton Town FC
67%
Derby County FC or Luton Town FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Luton Town FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
1 – 3
2.2%
0 – 3
2.2%
3 – 1
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Luton Town FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 20% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 20% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.