Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Derby County FC
0 – 1
Full Time
Luton Town FC
Fri 18 Apr 2025 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 32,159 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Millenic Alli
Sondre Langas 29' Y
Y 38' Carlton Morris
Y 68' Millenic Alli
Kayden Jackson 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee James Linington
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Hull City AFC 46 73
4 Oxford United FC 46 47
5 Leicester City FC 46 46
6 Blackburn Rovers FC 1 1
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1 1
8 Queens Park Rangers FC 0 0
9 Millwall FC 0 0
10 Middlesbrough FC 0 0
11 Swansea City AFC 0 0
12 Charlton Athletic FC 0 0
13 West Bromwich Albion FC 0 0
14 Bolton Wanderers FC 0 0
15 Birmingham City FC 0 0
16 Sheffield United FC 0 0
17 Southampton FC 0 0
18 Wrexham AFC 0 0
19 Watford FC 0 0
20 Burnley FC 0 0
21 Cardiff City FC 0 0
22 West Ham United FC 0 0
23 Derby County FC 0 0
24 Norwich City FC 0 0
25 Preston North End FC 0 0
26 Stoke City FC 0 0
27 Lincoln City FC 0 0
28 Portsmouth FC 0 0
29 Bristol City FC 0 0
30 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

2
1
5
Derby County FC 8 games · Avg 2.6 goals Luton Town FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC 2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-26 Luton Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-10-19 Derby County FC 2–2 Luton Town FC 2021-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
08 Apr Burnley FC H 0–0 D
05 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
02 Apr Preston North End FC H 2–0 W
15 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–2 W
Luton Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Derby County FC A 1–0 W
12 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
08 Apr Stoke City FC A 1–1 D
05 Apr Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
15 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Pride Park Stadium that hosts another battle between Derby County FC and Luton Town FC.
  • 5' Tahith Chong has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Millenic Alli makes it 0-1.
  • 15' Derby County FC currently sit 21 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 16' Kayden Jackson gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 21' With 0 assists to his name this season, Josh Vickers is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 26' The 19-year-old Harrison Armstrong has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 29' Sondre Langas catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 29.
  • 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcus Harness, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 38' It’s gonna be a card for Carlton Morris.
  • 43' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 48' Carlton Morris needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 38 Yellow cards this season.
  • 53' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Craig Forsyth has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 58' Mark McGuinness has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Millenic Alli.
  • 72' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Lamine Dabo by Teden Mengi on 72 minute.
  • 73' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Isaiah Jones has done his job and it is now time for Reece Burke to step up.
  • 78' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 81' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Jordan Clark has done his job and it is now time for Marvelous Nakamba to step up.
  • 86' Derby County FC are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against Luton Town FC's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Kayden Jackson is booked for Derby County FC — card on 90.
  • 90' Thomas Barkhuizen is replacing Harrison Armstrong for the Derby County FC side.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Eustace

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Matt Bloomfield

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tom Lawrence 2
Jordan Clark 1
Millenic Alli 1
Luke Berry 1
Lee Gregory 1
Graeme Shinnie 1
Matthew Pearson 1
Jason Knight 1

Head to Head

2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC 2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-26 Luton Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-10-19 Derby County FC 2–2 Luton Town FC 2021-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Luton Town FC

Derby County FC Form

2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC L 2025-04-12 Portsmouth FC 2–2 Derby County FC D 2025-04-08 Derby County FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-04-05 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Preston North End FC W 2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC W

Luton Town FC Form

2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC W 2025-04-12 Luton Town FC 0–1 Blackburn Rovers FC L 2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC D 2025-04-05 Luton Town FC 1–1 Leeds United FC D 2025-03-29 Hull City AFC 0–1 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-15 Luton Town FC 0–0 Middlesbrough FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Luton Town FC or Draw 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC33% Draw33% Luton Town FC34%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Luton Town FC
67%
Derby County FC or Luton Town FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC22% Draw55% Luton Town FC23%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
1 – 3
2.2%
0 – 3
2.2%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 20% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.