Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Pride Park.
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | Stoke City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Sep | Birmingham City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Aug | Hull City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | Derby County FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | Barnsley FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | Fulham FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Swansea City AFC | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #17 |
| 69 | Points | 55 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 20 / 9 / 17 | W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 21 |
| 67 | Scored | 51 |
| 59 | Conceded | 56 |
| +8 | GD | -5 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 43% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host Stoke City FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 8' Graeme Shinnie has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 8.
- 13' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael O'Neill will be considering his options from the bench.
- 18' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael O'Neill might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 23' Nick Powell is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
- 28' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alfie Doughty is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
- 31' A goal from the England international Max Bird! He fires home on 31 to make it 1-0!
- 33' The referee calls foul for Romaine Sawyers. He receives a Yellow card.
- 34' GOAL! Curtis Davies scores on 34.
- 38' A moment of madness from Louie Sibley on 38 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
- 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 48' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 53' A quiet spell here at Pride Park. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 58' A goal from the England international Tom Ince! He fires home on 58 to make it 2-1!
- 59' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jacob Brown is hanging Sam Surridge on the field on 59 minute.
- 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 67' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Ravel Morrison is replaced by Jason Knight.
- 72' Kelle Roos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 73' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Romaine Sawyers is replaced by Alfie Doughty on 73 minute.
- 74' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Louie Sibley departs to be replaced by Kamil Jozwiak.
- 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Leo Ostigard on 77.
- 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 84' Derby County FC ring the changes. Sam Baldock has done his job and it is now time for Richard Stearman to step up.
- 89' That is a Yellow card for Stoke City FC. Tom Ince will be fuming at that decision.
- 2-1 the final result. Stoke City FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Sam Baldock ↓ Richard Stearman 84'
- 6
- 21
- 33
- 8
- 10
- 2
- 4
- 26
-
11
Ravel Morrison ↓ Jason Knight 67'
-
17
Louie Sibley ↓ Kamil Jozwiak 74'
Bench
-
16
Richard Stearman ↑ 84'
- 31
-
7
Kamil Jozwiak ↑ 74'
-
38
Jason Knight ↑ 67'
- 34
- 36
- 43
Coach
Wayne Rooney
Stoke City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 7
- 23
- 36
- 8
-
28
Romaine Sawyers ↓ Alfie Doughty 73'
-
22
Sam Surridge ↓ Jacob Brown 59'
- 14
- 19
- 12
-
27
Abdallah Sima ↓ Nick Powell 59'
Bench
- 1
-
18
Jacob Brown ↑ 59'
- 6
- 15
-
11
Alfie Doughty ↑ 73'
-
25
Nick Powell ↑ 59'
- 21
Coach
Michael O'Neill
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Ince | 3 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 3 |
| Curtis Davies | 1 |
| Harry Wilson | 1 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
| Sam Clucas | 1 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 1 |
| Luke Plange | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2021-09-18
Derby County FC
2–1
Stoke City FC
W
2021-09-14
West Bromwich Albion FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2021-09-10
Birmingham City FC
2–0
Derby County FC
L
2021-08-28
Derby County FC
1–1
Nottingham Forest FC
D
2021-08-21
Derby County FC
0–0
Middlesbrough FC
D
2021-08-18
Hull City AFC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Stoke City FC
48%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

