Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 18 Sep 2021 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
14 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
10 Sep Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
28 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 1–1 D
21 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D
18 Aug Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Derby County FC A 1–2 L
15 Sep Barnsley FC H 1–1 D
11 Sep Huddersfield Town AFC H 2–1 W
28 Aug Fulham FC A 0–3 L
21 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 1–0 W
17 Aug Swansea City AFC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Stoke City FC
#8 Position #17
69 Points 55
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
67 Scored 51
59 Conceded 56
+8 GD -5
1.50 PPG 1.20
43% Win % 33%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host Stoke City FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 8' Graeme Shinnie has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 8.
  • 13' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael O'Neill will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 18' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael O'Neill might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 23' Nick Powell is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
  • 28' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alfie Doughty is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
  • 31' A goal from the England international Max Bird! He fires home on 31 to make it 1-0!
  • 33' The referee calls foul for Romaine Sawyers. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 34' GOAL! Curtis Davies scores on 34.
  • 38' A moment of madness from Louie Sibley on 38 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 48' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 53' A quiet spell here at Pride Park. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 58' A goal from the England international Tom Ince! He fires home on 58 to make it 2-1!
  • 59' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jacob Brown is hanging Sam Surridge on the field on 59 minute.
  • 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Ravel Morrison is replaced by Jason Knight.
  • 72' Kelle Roos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Romaine Sawyers is replaced by Alfie Doughty on 73 minute.
  • 74' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Louie Sibley departs to be replaced by Kamil Jozwiak.
  • 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Leo Ostigard on 77.
  • 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 84' Derby County FC ring the changes. Sam Baldock has done his job and it is now time for Richard Stearman to step up.
  • 89' That is a Yellow card for Stoke City FC. Tom Ince will be fuming at that decision.
  • 2-1 the final result. Stoke City FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC52% Draw26% Stoke City FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Stoke City FC
48%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC36% Draw47% Stoke City FC17%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.