Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Stephen Martin (England)
- Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
- Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 4 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 5 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 6 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Millwall FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Watford FC | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic FC | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Burnley FC | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | West Ham United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Birmingham City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Sheffield United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Wrexham AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Southampton FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | Norwich City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | Preston North End FC | 0 | 0 |
| 26 | Stoke City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | Lincoln City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 28 | Portsmouth FC | 0 | 0 |
| 29 | Bristol City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 30 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | Derby County FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | Coventry City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Apr | Watford FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Luton Town FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Hull City AFC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #23 |
| 73 | Points | 0 |
| 46 | Played | 0 |
| 21 / 10 / 15 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 70 | Scored | 0 |
| 66 | Conceded | 0 |
| +4 | GD | +0 |
| 1.59 | PPG | – |
| 46% | Win % | – |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Hull City AFC are 3rd (73 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Hull City AFC and Derby County FC get this one started.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matt Crooks, as he is very good at scoring at The MKM Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 10' Nordin Amrabat has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 14' Steven Alzate has so much to prove this time. He replaces Regan Slater on 14 minute.
- 19' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 24' Hull City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
- 25' A moment of madness from Sondre Langas on 25 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
- 30' It looks surprising Hull City AFC does not make any changes. Jerry Yates has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 39' That is a card for Derby County FC. Harrison Armstrong will be fuming at that decision.
- 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 49' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 54' Josh Vickers needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 61' Another change for Hull City AFC made on 61 minute. John Egan leaves to be changed by Alfie Jones.
- 66' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Hull City AFC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 68' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has so much to prove this time. He replaces Liam Thompson on 68 minute.
- 73' It looks like no one’s ball. Hull City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 78' It is a cagey affair so far. Hull City AFC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 3-5-2.
- 80' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Marcus Harness is replaced by Kayden Jackson on 80 minute.
- 83' The referee calls foul for Alfie Jones. He receives a card.
- 84' What composure from Nathaniel Phillips! The England international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 88' Mason Burstow has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nordin Amrabat on 88 minute.
- 90' The crowd applauds Jerry Yates as he leaves the pitch. Thomas Barkhuizen steps in for Derby County FC.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
15
John Egan ↓ Alfie Jones 61'
- 2
- 30
-
27
Regan Slater ↓ Steven Alzate 14'
- 6
- 1
-
28
Kyle Joseph ↓ Matt Crooks 88'
- 4
- 20
-
44
Abu Kamara ↓ Joao Pedro Galvao 88'
-
37
Nordin Amrabat ↓ Mason Burstow 88'
Bench
- 16
- 45
-
19
Steven Alzate ↑ 14'
-
12
Joao Pedro Galvao ↑ 88'
-
5
Alfie Jones ↑ 61'
- 23
-
48
Mason Burstow ↑ 88'
- 32
-
24
Matt Crooks ↑ 88'
Coach
Ruben Selles
Derby County FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 25
- 3
-
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Kayden Jackson 80'
- 2
- 31
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ Thomas Barkhuizen 90'
- 32
- 12
- 16
- 6
- 28
Bench
- 17
- 33
- 8
-
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↑ 68'
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↑ 80'
- 27
- 9
- 13
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 90'
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Martyn Waghorn | 3 |
| Jarrod Bowen | 2 |
| Todd Kane | 1 |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | 1 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 1 |
| Dajaune Brown | 1 |
| Florian Jozefzoon | 1 |
| Xavier Simons | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.37
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 90% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.07
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 1.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 2.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 3.5 | 3% |
|
97% |
| ± 4.5 | 1% |
|
99% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
62%
Draw or Derby County FC
80%
Hull City AFC or Derby County FC
58%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
37%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.8%
1 – 1
10.1%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
2%
0 – 3
1.8%
2 – 1
1.7%
1 – 3
0.9%
2 – 2
0.8%
0 – 4
0.3%
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 2% | 98% |
| -1.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -1 | 2% | 13% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 26% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 9% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
50%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
69%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

