Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Hull City AFC
0 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC The MKM Stadium 24,451 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 84' Nathaniel Phillips
Y 25' Sondre Langas
Y 39' Harrison Armstrong
Alfie Jones 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
  • Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

2
1
7
Hull City AFC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC 2022-02-08 Derby County FC 3–1 Hull City AFC 2021-08-18 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2020-01-18 Derby County FC 1–0 Hull City AFC

Recent Form

Hull City AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Derby County FC H 0–1 L
21 Apr Preston North End FC H 2–1 W
18 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
14 Apr Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
08 Apr Watford FC A 0–1 L
05 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–0 W
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
21 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–1 W
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
08 Apr Burnley FC H 0–0 D
05 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Hull City AFC Derby County FC
#6 Position #8
73 Points 69
46 Played 46
21 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
70 Scored 67
66 Conceded 59
+4 GD +8
1.59 PPG 1.50
46% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Hull City AFC launch into their encounter with Derby County FC.
  • 5' Matt Clarke has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 14' Steven Alzate is replacing Regan Slater for the Hull City AFC side.
  • 19' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 24' England international Jerry Yates has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' The referee calls foul for Sondre Langas. He receives a card.
  • 30' Ebou Adams is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 39' A meaty challenge results in booking for Harrison Armstrong on 39.
  • 44' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 49' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 54' It’s high time John Eustace made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 59' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 61' Hull City AFC make a change. John Egan trudges off to be replaced by Alfie Jones on 61 minutes.
  • 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing. He replaces Liam Thompson on 68 minute.
  • 73' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Charlie Hughes made 380 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 78' Hull City AFC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 80' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Kayden Jackson on, Marcus Harness off on 80 minutes.
  • 83' Alfie Jones has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
  • 84' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nathaniel Phillips on 84.
  • 88' Hull City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mason Burstow is hanging Nordin Amrabat on the field on 88 minute.
  • 90' Derby County FC ring the changes. Jerry Yates has done his job and it is now time for Thomas Barkhuizen to step up.
  • 0-1 the final result. Hull City AFC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Hull City AFC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ruben Selles

Derby County FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Eustace

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Martyn Waghorn 3
Jarrod Bowen 2
Matt Clarke 1
Sam Baldock 1
Craig Forsyth 1
Tom Lawrence 1
Festy Ebosele 1
Florian Jozefzoon 1

Head to Head

2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC 2022-02-08 Derby County FC 3–1 Hull City AFC 2021-08-18 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2020-01-18 Derby County FC 1–0 Hull City AFC

Hull City AFC Form

2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC L 2025-04-21 Hull City AFC 2–1 Preston North End FC W 2025-04-18 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Hull City AFC L 2025-04-14 Hull City AFC 1–1 Coventry City FC D 2025-04-08 Watford FC 1–0 Hull City AFC L 2025-04-05 Sheffield Wednesday FC 0–1 Hull City AFC W

Derby County FC Form

2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC W 2025-04-21 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–3 Derby County FC W 2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC L 2025-04-12 Portsmouth FC 2–2 Derby County FC D 2025-04-08 Derby County FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-04-05 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.23 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Derby County FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC31% Draw28% Derby County FC41%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
59%
Draw or Derby County FC
69%
Hull City AFC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC23% Draw47% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 17% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 21% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.