Sunday , 9 August 2026

Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Hull City AFC
0 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC The MKM Stadium 24,451 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 84' Nathaniel Phillips
Y 25' Sondre Langas
Y 39' Harrison Armstrong
Alfie Jones 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
  • Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Hull City AFC 46 73
4 Oxford United FC 46 47
5 Leicester City FC 46 46
6 Millwall FC 0 0
7 Southampton FC 0 0
8 Middlesbrough FC 0 0
9 Wrexham AFC 0 0
10 Derby County FC 0 0
11 Norwich City FC 0 0
12 Birmingham City FC 0 0
13 Swansea City AFC 0 0
14 Bristol City FC 0 0
15 Sheffield United FC 0 0
16 Preston North End FC 0 0
17 Queens Park Rangers FC 0 0
18 Watford FC 0 0
19 Stoke City FC 0 0
20 Portsmouth FC 0 0
21 Charlton Athletic FC 0 0
22 Blackburn Rovers FC 0 0
23 West Bromwich Albion FC 0 0
24 Burnley FC 0 0
25 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 0 0
26 Cardiff City FC 0 0
27 West Ham United FC 0 0
28 Bolton Wanderers FC 0 0
29 Lincoln City FC 0 0
30 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

2
1
7
Hull City AFC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC 2022-02-08 Derby County FC 3–1 Hull City AFC 2021-08-18 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2020-01-18 Derby County FC 1–0 Hull City AFC

Recent Form

Hull City AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Derby County FC H 0–1 L
21 Apr Preston North End FC H 2–1 W
18 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
14 Apr Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
08 Apr Watford FC A 0–1 L
05 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–0 W
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
21 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–1 W
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
08 Apr Burnley FC H 0–0 D
05 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Hull City AFC Derby County FC
#3 Position #10
73 Points 0
46 Played 0
21 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
70 Scored 0
66 Conceded 0
+4 GD +0
1.59 PPG –
46% Win % –

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hull City AFC are 3rd (73 pts). Derby County FC are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Hull City AFC and Derby County FC get this one started.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matt Crooks, as he is very good at scoring at The MKM Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 10' Nordin Amrabat has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 14' Steven Alzate has so much to prove this time. He replaces Regan Slater on 14 minute.
  • 19' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 24' Hull City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
  • 25' A moment of madness from Sondre Langas on 25 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 30' It looks surprising Hull City AFC does not make any changes. Jerry Yates has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 39' That is a card for Derby County FC. Harrison Armstrong will be fuming at that decision.
  • 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 49' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 54' Josh Vickers needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 61' Another change for Hull City AFC made on 61 minute. John Egan leaves to be changed by Alfie Jones.
  • 66' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Hull City AFC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 68' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has so much to prove this time. He replaces Liam Thompson on 68 minute.
  • 73' It looks like no one’s ball. Hull City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 78' It is a cagey affair so far. Hull City AFC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 3-5-2.
  • 80' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Marcus Harness is replaced by Kayden Jackson on 80 minute.
  • 83' The referee calls foul for Alfie Jones. He receives a card.
  • 84' What composure from Nathaniel Phillips! The England international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 88' Mason Burstow has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nordin Amrabat on 88 minute.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Jerry Yates as he leaves the pitch. Thomas Barkhuizen steps in for Derby County FC.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

Hull City AFC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ruben Selles

Derby County FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Eustace

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Martyn Waghorn 3
Jarrod Bowen 2
Martyn Waghorn 1
Dajaune Brown 1
Florian Jozefzoon 1
Xavier Simons 1
Todd Kane 1
Nathaniel Phillips 1

Head to Head

2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC 2022-02-08 Derby County FC 3–1 Hull City AFC 2021-08-18 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2020-01-18 Derby County FC 1–0 Hull City AFC

Hull City AFC Form

2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC L 2025-04-21 Hull City AFC 2–1 Preston North End FC W 2025-04-18 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Hull City AFC L 2025-04-14 Hull City AFC 1–1 Coventry City FC D 2025-04-08 Watford FC 1–0 Hull City AFC L 2025-04-05 Sheffield Wednesday FC 0–1 Hull City AFC W

Derby County FC Form

2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC W 2025-04-21 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–3 Derby County FC W 2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC L 2025-04-12 Portsmouth FC 2–2 Derby County FC D 2025-04-08 Derby County FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-04-05 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.37 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 90% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC20% Draw42% Derby County FC38%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes18% 0% No82%
Avg goals/match: 1.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 63%
37%
± 1.5 30%
70%
± 2.5 10%
90%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
62%
Draw or Derby County FC
80%
Hull City AFC or Derby County FC
58%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC8% Draw71% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
37%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.8%
1 – 1
10.1%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
2%
0 – 3
1.8%
2 – 1
1.7%
1 – 3
0.9%
2 – 2
0.8%
0 – 4
0.3%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 0% — 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% — 98%
-1 2% 13% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 26% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 9% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
50% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
69% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.