Monday , 12 October 2026

Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Hull City AFC
0 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC The MKM Stadium 24,451 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 84' Nathaniel Phillips
Y 25' Sondre Langas
Y 39' Harrison Armstrong
Alfie Jones 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
  • Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

2
1
7
Hull City AFC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC 2022-02-08 Derby County FC 3–1 Hull City AFC 2021-08-18 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2020-01-18 Derby County FC 1–0 Hull City AFC

Recent Form

Hull City AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Derby County FC H 0–1 L
21 Apr Preston North End FC H 2–1 W
18 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
14 Apr Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
08 Apr Watford FC A 0–1 L
05 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–0 W
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
21 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–1 W
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
08 Apr Burnley FC H 0–0 D
05 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds The MKM Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Hull City AFC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
  • 10' Derby County FC come into this ranked 21 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 14' Steven Alzate is replacing Regan Slater for the Hull City AFC side.
  • 19' It is a cagey affair so far. Hull City AFC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 3-5-2.
  • 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' Sondre Langas has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 25.
  • 30' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 35' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 39' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Harrison Armstrong.
  • 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nordin Amrabat suffering a number of foals already.
  • 49' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 54' Gustavo Puerta, a Colombia , has 7 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 59' The home supporters are growing impatient. Hull City AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 61' Another change for Hull City AFC made on 61 minute. John Egan leaves to be changed by Alfie Jones.
  • 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 68' Derby County FC ring the changes. Liam Thompson has done his job and it is now time for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing to step up.
  • 73' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 78' Derby County FC have won 459 goals from 393 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 80' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Marcus Harness departs to be replaced by Kayden Jackson.
  • 83' Poor challenge from Alfie Jones. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 84' Goal! Nathaniel Phillips scores his 5 goal in 444 matches.
  • 88' A change in the Hull City AFC ranks — Nordin Amrabat exits the field as Mason Burstow enters on 88.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Thomas Barkhuizen comes on to replace Jerry Yates.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Hull City AFC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ruben Selles

Derby County FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Eustace

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Martyn Waghorn 3
Jarrod Bowen 2
Florian Jozefzoon 1
Xavier Simons 1
Todd Kane 1
Nathaniel Phillips 1
Matt Clarke 1
Sam Baldock 1

Head to Head

2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC 2022-02-08 Derby County FC 3–1 Hull City AFC 2021-08-18 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2020-01-18 Derby County FC 1–0 Hull City AFC

Hull City AFC Form

2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC L 2025-04-21 Hull City AFC 2–1 Preston North End FC W 2025-04-18 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Hull City AFC L 2025-04-14 Hull City AFC 1–1 Coventry City FC D 2025-04-08 Watford FC 1–0 Hull City AFC L 2025-04-05 Sheffield Wednesday FC 0–1 Hull City AFC W

Derby County FC Form

2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC W 2025-04-21 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–3 Derby County FC W 2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC L 2025-04-12 Portsmouth FC 2–2 Derby County FC D 2025-04-08 Derby County FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-04-05 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.02 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC30% Draw31% Derby County FC39%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
60%
Draw or Derby County FC
70%
Hull City AFC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC21% Draw52% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 22% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.