Cardiff City FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cardiff City FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Cardiff City Stadium.
- Cardiff City FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Salisbury
- Assistant 1 Richard West
- Assistant 2 Derek Eaton
5 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Stoke City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Apr | Preston North End FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Mar | Luton Town FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Apr | Luton Town FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cardiff City FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #3 |
| 18 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 6 / 5 | W / D / L | 9 / 2 / 4 |
| 27 | Scored | 24 |
| 27 | Conceded | 18 |
| +0 | GD | +6 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 27% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season
Cardiff City FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Cardiff City FC are 14th (18 pts). Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cardiff City FC
0-15
4/6
16-30
3/5
31-45
9/3
46-60
1/7
61-75
5/2
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cardiff City FC
| Jack Moylan | 10 G | 3 A |
| Yousef Salech | 5 G | 1 A |
| Cian Ashford | 2 G | 2 A |
| Rubin Colwill | 1 G | 1 A |
Stoke City FC
| Jack McGlynn | 5 G | 2 A |
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 4 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Cardiff City FC and Stoke City FC has kicked off!
- 5' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Joon-ho Bae has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 392 appearances.
- 15' Wales international Rubin Colwill has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' Cardiff City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' The 31-year-old Callum Robinson has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 40' Cardiff City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
- 45' Ali Al-Hamadi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Sam Gallagher. He replaces Ali Al-Hamadi on 46 minute.
- 51' Ashley Phillips has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 57' Cardiff City FC make a change. Callum Robinson trudges off to be replaced by David Turnbull on 57 minutes.
- 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ashley Phillips.
- 65' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Omer Riza will be considering his options from the bench.
- 66' Ollie Tanner gets the nod from Cardiff City FC. He replaces Cian Ashford and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' A tactical swap from Cardiff City FC — Yakou Meite on, Yousef Salech off on 67 minutes.
- 70' Poor challenge from Alex Robertson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 71' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Joon-ho Bae is replaced by Lewis Koumas.
- 72' Sam Gallagher is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
- 77' The Cardiff City FC bench stirs into life. Calum Chambers is withdrawn and Rubin Colwill gets his opportunity.
- 82' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 83' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Million Manhoef departs to be replaced by Lynden Gooch.
- 85' Ashley Phillips is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the defender.
- 90' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sam Gallagher suffering a number of foals already.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Stoke City FC players.
Lineups
Cardiff City FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 11
- 1
-
12
Calum Chambers ↓ Rubin Colwill 77'
- 47
- 38
- 18
- 5
-
22
Yousef Salech ↓ Yakou Meite 67'
-
29
Will Alves ↓ Isaak Davies 77'
- 2
-
45
Cian Ashford ↓ Ollie Tanner 66'
Bench
-
19
Yakou Meite ↑ 67'
-
14
David Turnbull ↑ 57'
- 16
- 23
-
27
Rubin Colwill ↑ 77'
-
39
Isaak Davies ↑ 77'
- 15
-
32
Ollie Tanner ↑ 66'
- 41
Coach
Omer Riza
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 8
- 15
- 6
- 17
- 1
-
42
Million Manhoef ↓ Lynden Gooch 83'
- 22
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Sam Gallagher 46'
- 26
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↓ Lewis Koumas 71'
Bench
-
20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 46'
-
2
Lynden Gooch ↑ 83'
- 4
- 13
- 19
- 12
- 24
- 18
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↑ 71'
Coach
Mark Robins
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rubin Colwill | 3 |
| Sean Morrison | 2 |
| Lewis Koumas | 2 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Lewis Baker | 2 |
| Joe Allen | 1 |
| Thomas Doyle | 1 |
| Andrew Moran | 1 |
Head to Head
Cardiff City FC Form
2025-04-12
Cardiff City FC
0–1
Stoke City FC
L
2025-04-08
Preston North End FC
2–2
Cardiff City FC
D
2025-04-05
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–0
Cardiff City FC
D
2025-03-29
Cardiff City FC
1–1
Sheffield Wednesday FC
D
2025-03-15
Blackburn Rovers FC
1–2
Cardiff City FC
W
2025-03-11
Cardiff City FC
1–2
Luton Town FC
L
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.34
Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Cardiff City FC or Stoke City FC 72% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Cardiff City FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Stoke City FC
66%
Cardiff City FC or Stoke City FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC
| Handicap | Cardiff City FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.