Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cardiff City FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Cardiff City Stadium 20,658 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 85' Ashley Phillips

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Cardiff City Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Assistant 1 Richard West
  • Assistant 2 Derek Eaton

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Stoke City FC H 0–1 L
08 Apr Preston North End FC A 2–2 D
05 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–0 D
29 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–1 D
15 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
11 Mar Luton Town FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Cardiff City FC A 1–0 W
08 Apr Luton Town FC H 1–1 D
05 Apr Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
29 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–1 W
15 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Cardiff City FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cardiff City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Cardiff City FC is showing some good football. However, Cardiff City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' The travelling Stoke City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cardiff City FC that had 372 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' It’s high time Omer Riza made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Stoke City FC player. Ali Al-Hamadi gets a card.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Ali Al-Hamadi is replaced by Sam Gallagher.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joon-ho Bae, as he is very good at scoring at Cardiff City Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 56' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Will Alves has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 57' The Cardiff City FC manager makes a substitution. Callum Robinson departs to be replaced by David Turnbull.
  • 60' It’s a booking for Stoke City FC player. Ashley Phillips gets a card.
  • 65' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 65 minutes.
  • 66' The whistle greets Cian Ashford as he departs to be replaced by Ollie Tanner.
  • 67' Yakou Meite is replacing Yousef Salech for the Cardiff City FC side.
  • 70' It’s gonna be a card for Alex Robertson.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Joon-ho Bae is replaced by Lewis Koumas on 71 minute.
  • 72' Stoke City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 72.
  • 77' Another substitution for Cardiff City FC to replace Calum Chambers by Rubin Colwill on 77 minute.
  • 82' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Million Manhoef is replaced by Lynden Gooch.
  • 85' Stoke City FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ashley Phillips on 85.
  • 90' Yousef Salech has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • Full Time. Stoke City FC beats Cardiff City FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Cardiff City FC or Stoke City FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cardiff City FC36% Draw31% Stoke City FC33%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Stoke City FC
64%
Cardiff City FC or Stoke City FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC25% Draw52% Stoke City FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap Cardiff City FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.