Sunday , 15 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 32,471 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Fox
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 17.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
21 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–1 W
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
08 Apr Burnley FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Derby County FC A 0–0 D
25 Apr Sheffield United FC H 0–2 L
21 Apr Leeds United FC A 0–6 L
18 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Cardiff City FC A 1–0 W
08 Apr Luton Town FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Stoke City FC
#23 Position #3
10 Points 29
15 Played 15
2 / 4 / 9 W / D / L 9 / 2 / 4
14 Scored 24
30 Conceded 18
-16 GD +6
0.67 PPG 1.93
13% Win % 60%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
33% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Stoke City FC
Jack McGlynn 5 G 2 A
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 4 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Pride Park Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Derby County FC and Stoke City FC.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' Stoke City FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Stoke City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 29' Ali Al-Hamadi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stoke City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 39' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 44' Lynden Gooch is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 49' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 54' Netherlands international Erik Pieters has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 59' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
  • 60' The referee calls foul for Ebou Adams. He receives a card.
  • 65' Stoke City FC have won 422 goals from 395 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 67' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Marcus Harness and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' Derby County FC currently sit 19 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 77' Derby County FC are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against Stoke City FC's 5-3-2 shape.
  • 79' A moment of madness from Liam Thompson on 79 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 84' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 87' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Ali Al-Hamadi departs to be replaced by Nathan Lowe.
  • 88' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Andrew Moran on, Joon-ho Bae off on 88 minutes.
  • 90' Erik Pieters is replacing Craig Forsyth for the Derby County FC side.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Stoke City FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC32% Draw29% Stoke City FC39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Stoke City FC
68%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC19% Draw51% Stoke City FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
12.5%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 23% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.