Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 32,471 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Fox
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 6.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
21 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–1 W
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
08 Apr Burnley FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Derby County FC A 0–0 D
25 Apr Sheffield United FC H 0–2 L
21 Apr Leeds United FC A 0–6 L
18 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Cardiff City FC A 1–0 W
08 Apr Luton Town FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Stoke City FC
#22 Position #7
5 Points 13
8 Played 8
1 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 3
7 Scored 13
14 Conceded 12
-7 GD +1
0.63 PPG 1.63
13% Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host Stoke City FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' England international Ben Gibson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Stoke City FC come into this ranked 18 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 29' A moment of madness from Ali Al-Hamadi on 29 minutes earns him a card. Stoke City FC will be frustrated.
  • 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 44' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 49' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 54' Over 54 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 59' Craig Forsyth is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Stoke City FC tonight.
  • 60' The referee calls foul for Ebou Adams. He receives a card.
  • 65' Kane Wilson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 7 cards already picked up this season.
  • 67' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is hanging Marcus Harness on the field on 67 minute.
  • 72' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 77' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Liam Thompson on 79 minutes.
  • 84' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 87' The whistle greets Ali Al-Hamadi as he departs to be replaced by Nathan Lowe.
  • 88' Joon-ho Bae makes way for Andrew Moran at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stoke City FC.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Erik Pieters on, Craig Forsyth off on 90 minutes.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.03 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Stoke City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC35% Draw30% Stoke City FC35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Stoke City FC
65%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC21% Draw52% Stoke City FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 22% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.