Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 32,471 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
21 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–1 W
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
08 Apr Burnley FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Derby County FC A 0–0 D
25 Apr Sheffield United FC H 0–2 L
21 Apr Leeds United FC A 0–6 L
18 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Cardiff City FC A 1–0 W
08 Apr Luton Town FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Stoke City FC
#23 Position #26
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts). Stoke City FC are 26th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Pride Park Stadium!
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Craig Forsyth, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
  • 15' Jerry Yates has been relatively quiet despite scoring 68 goals in his last 57 appearances.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mark Robins might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Matt Clarke is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 29' It’s a booking for Stoke City FC player. Ali Al-Hamadi gets a card.
  • 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 39' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 44' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 49' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 54' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Kane Wilson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 59' Derby County FC currently sit 19 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 60' Poor challenge from Ebou Adams. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 65' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 67' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Marcus Harness is withdrawn and Nathaniel Mendez-Laing gets his opportunity.
  • 72' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 77' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 79' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 84' Andrew Moran needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Ali Al-Hamadi is replaced by Nathan Lowe.
  • 88' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Joon-ho Bae departs to be replaced by Andrew Moran.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Erik Pieters. He replaces Craig Forsyth on 90 minute.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.51 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 94% + Under — clean sheet likely 87%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC35% Draw47% Stoke City FC18%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes13% 0% No87%
Avg goals/match: 0.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 53%
47%
± 1.5 21%
79%
± 2.5 6%
94%
± 3.5 1%
99%
± 4.5 0%
100%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Stoke City FC
65%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
53%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC15% Draw78% Stoke City FC7%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
20.7%
0 – 1
11.1%
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 1
2.2%
0 – 2
1.6%
1 – 2
1.2%
3 – 0
0.8%
2 – 2
0.5%
3 – 1
0.4%
0 – 3
0.2%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 23% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 12% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
74%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
60%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.