Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Oliver Langford
- Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
- Assistant 2 Andrew Fox
5 games this season
🟨 4.2/game
⚽ 17.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Stoke City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Luton Town FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Apr | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Leeds United FC | A | 0–6 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Apr | Luton Town FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #3 |
| 10 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 2 / 4 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 2 / 4 |
| 14 | Scored | 24 |
| 30 | Conceded | 18 |
| -16 | GD | +6 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 13% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Stoke City FC
| Jack McGlynn | 5 G | 2 A |
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 4 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Pride Park Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Derby County FC and Stoke City FC.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' Stoke City FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Stoke City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 29' Ali Al-Hamadi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stoke City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 39' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 44' Lynden Gooch is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
- 49' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 54' Netherlands international Erik Pieters has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 59' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
- 60' The referee calls foul for Ebou Adams. He receives a card.
- 65' Stoke City FC have won 422 goals from 395 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 67' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Marcus Harness and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' Derby County FC currently sit 19 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 77' Derby County FC are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against Stoke City FC's 5-3-2 shape.
- 79' A moment of madness from Liam Thompson on 79 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
- 84' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 87' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Ali Al-Hamadi departs to be replaced by Nathan Lowe.
- 88' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Andrew Moran on, Joon-ho Bae off on 88 minutes.
- 90' Erik Pieters is replacing Craig Forsyth for the Derby County FC side.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 25
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↓ Erik Pieters 90'
- 18
- 2
- 31
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ Kemar Roofe 88'
- 32
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↓ Kayden Jackson 88'
- 6
- 28
Bench
- 17
-
33
Erik Pieters ↑ 90'
- 8
-
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↑ 67'
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↑ 88'
- 27
-
9
Kemar Roofe ↑ 88'
- 13
- 7
Coach
John Eustace
Stoke City FC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 16
- 23
- 20
- 2
- 8
- 6
- 1
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Nathan Lowe 87'
- 26
- 18
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↓ Andrew Moran 88'
Bench
- 4
- 13
- 12
- 42
-
24
Andrew Moran ↑ 88'
-
35
Nathan Lowe ↑ 87'
- 11
- 56
- 57
Coach
Mark Robins
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Ince | 3 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 3 |
| Curtis Davies | 1 |
| Harry Wilson | 1 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
| Sam Clucas | 1 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 1 |
| Luke Plange | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Stoke City FC
68%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
12.5%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

