Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 32,471 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Fox

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
21 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–1 W
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
08 Apr Burnley FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Derby County FC A 0–0 D
25 Apr Sheffield United FC H 0–2 L
21 Apr Leeds United FC A 0–6 L
18 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Cardiff City FC A 1–0 W
08 Apr Luton Town FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Stoke City FC
#8 Position #17
69 Points 55
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
67 Scored 51
59 Conceded 56
+8 GD -5
1.50 PPG 1.20
43% Win % 33%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' The 19-year-old Harrison Armstrong has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' Derby County FC currently sit 19 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 29' The referee has no hesitation. Ali Al-Hamadi is booked for Stoke City FC — card on 29.
  • 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 380 games and scored 400 goals.
  • 39' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 44' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 54' The travelling Stoke City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 59' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 60' Ebou Adams was booked on 60.
  • 65' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
  • 67' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Marcus Harness is withdrawn and Nathaniel Mendez-Laing gets his opportunity.
  • 72' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 77' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 79' Liam Thompson was booked on 79.
  • 84' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 87' Nathan Lowe gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Ali Al-Hamadi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' A change in the Stoke City FC ranks — Joon-ho Bae exits the field as Andrew Moran enters on 88.
  • 90' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Erik Pieters is hanging Craig Forsyth on the field on 90 minute.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC47% Draw30% Stoke City FC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Stoke City FC
53%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC31% Draw53% Stoke City FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.6%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.