Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Oliver Langford
- Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
- Assistant 2 Andrew Fox
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Stoke City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Luton Town FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Apr | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Leeds United FC | A | 0–6 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Apr | Luton Town FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #17 |
| 69 | Points | 55 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 20 / 9 / 17 | W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 21 |
| 67 | Scored | 51 |
| 59 | Conceded | 56 |
| +8 | GD | -5 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 43% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' The 19-year-old Harrison Armstrong has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' Derby County FC currently sit 19 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 29' The referee has no hesitation. Ali Al-Hamadi is booked for Stoke City FC — card on 29.
- 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 380 games and scored 400 goals.
- 39' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 44' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 54' The travelling Stoke City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 59' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 60' Ebou Adams was booked on 60.
- 65' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
- 67' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Marcus Harness is withdrawn and Nathaniel Mendez-Laing gets his opportunity.
- 72' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 77' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 79' Liam Thompson was booked on 79.
- 84' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 87' Nathan Lowe gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Ali Al-Hamadi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' A change in the Stoke City FC ranks — Joon-ho Bae exits the field as Andrew Moran enters on 88.
- 90' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Erik Pieters is hanging Craig Forsyth on the field on 90 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 25
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↓ Erik Pieters 90'
- 18
- 2
- 31
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ Kemar Roofe 88'
- 32
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↓ Kayden Jackson 88'
- 6
- 28
Bench
- 17
-
33
Erik Pieters ↑ 90'
- 8
-
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↑ 67'
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↑ 88'
- 27
-
9
Kemar Roofe ↑ 88'
- 13
- 7
Coach
John Eustace
Stoke City FC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 16
- 23
- 20
- 2
- 8
- 6
- 1
-
9
Ali Al-Hamadi ↓ Nathan Lowe 87'
- 26
- 18
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↓ Andrew Moran 88'
Bench
- 4
- 13
- 12
- 42
-
24
Andrew Moran ↑ 88'
-
35
Nathan Lowe ↑ 87'
- 11
- 56
- 57
Coach
Mark Robins
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Ince | 3 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 3 |
| Curtis Davies | 1 |
| Harry Wilson | 1 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
| Sam Clucas | 1 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 1 |
| Luke Plange | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Stoke City FC
53%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.6%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.6%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

