Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2025/26)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Elliot Bell (England)
34 games this season 🟨 0.5/game ⚽ 3.4 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 Coventry City FC 46 95 2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84 3 Millwall FC 46 83 4 Southampton FC 46 80 5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80 6 Hull City AFC 46 73 7 Wrexham AFC 46 71 8 Derby County FC 46 69 9 Norwich City FC 46 65 10 Birmingham City FC 46 64 11 Swansea City AFC 46 64 12 Bristol City FC 46 62 13 Sheffield United FC 46 60 14 Preston North End FC 46 60 15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58 16 Watford FC 46 57 17 Stoke City FC 46 55 18 Portsmouth FC 46 55 19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53 20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52 21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51 22 Oxford United FC 46 47 23 Leicester City FC 46 46 24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 09 Aug Derby County FC H 3–1 W 03 May Derby County FC A 0–0 D 25 Apr Sheffield United FC H 0–2 L 21 Apr Leeds United FC A 0–6 L 18 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W 12 Apr Cardiff City FC A 1–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 09 Aug Stoke City FC A 1–3 L 03 May Stoke City FC H 0–0 D 26 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–0 W 21 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–1 W 18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L 12 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D Season Stats
Stoke City FC Derby County FC #17 Position #8 55 Points 69 46 Played 46 15 / 10 / 21 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17 51 Scored 67 56 Conceded 59 -5 GD +8 1.20 PPG 1.50 33% Win % 43% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history28% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season26% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this seasonStoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC0-15–/116-30–/231-451/346-603/261-75–/276+–/3■ Scored ■ ConcededDerby County FC0-151/216-302/–31-452/146-602/261-75–/576+4/1■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Stoke City FC players.
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Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Tom Ince 3 Martyn Waghorn 3 Jaydon Banel 1 Chris Martin 1 Wayne Rooney 1 Jacob Brown 1 Curtis Davies 1 Harry Wilson 1 Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Derby County FC Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 41.45 Stoke City FC xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.32 Derby County FC xGI would bet for: Stoke City FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.77Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 92% 8% ± 1.5 77% 23% ± 2.5 52% 48% ± 3.5 30% 70% ± 4.5 15% 85% Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw 70%Draw or Derby County FC 57%Stoke City FC or Derby County FC 73%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 12.9%2 – 1 8.4%0 – 0 8.1%1 – 0 8.1%1 – 2 7.6%0 – 1 7.3%2 – 0 6.4%2 – 2 5.6%0 – 2 5.4%3 – 1 Actual1 – 3 3.4%3 – 0 3.1%Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers -2.5 7% — 93% -2 7% 12% 81% -1.5 19% — 81% -1 19% 20% 61% -0.5 39% — 61% +0.5 67% — 33% +1 67% 18% 15% +1.5 85% — 15% +2 85% 10% 5% +2.5 95% — 5% Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet 27% ✓Derby County FC keeps clean sheet 24% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.