Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Stoke City FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Stoke City FC 10 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 10 games · 6 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Elliot Bell (England)

6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	10	23
2	Middlesbrough FC	10	21
3	West Ham United FC	10	19
4	Birmingham City FC	10	17
5	Queens Park Rangers FC	10	17
6	West Bromwich Albion FC	10	17
7	Southampton FC	10	16
8	Stoke City FC	10	16
9	Blackburn Rovers FC	10	15
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	9	14
11	Millwall FC	10	14
12	Bristol City FC	10	14
13	Charlton Athletic FC	10	14
14	Bolton Wanderers FC	10	13
15	Sheffield United FC	10	12
16	Portsmouth FC	9	11
17	Wrexham AFC	10	11
18	Lincoln City FC	10	11
19	Cardiff City FC	10	10
20	Norwich City FC	10	9
21	Burnley FC	10	8
22	Watford FC	10	8
23	Derby County FC	10	6
24	Preston North End FC	10	4

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-09 Stoke City FC 3–1 Derby County FC 2025-05-03 Derby County FC 0–0 Stoke City FC 2024-11-02 Stoke City FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-12-30 Stoke City FC 1–2 Derby County FC 2021-09-18 Derby County FC 2–1 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Aug	Derby County FC	H	3–1	W
03 May	Derby County FC	A	0–0	D
25 Apr	Sheffield United FC	H	0–2	L
21 Apr	Leeds United FC	A	0–6	L
18 Apr	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–0	W
12 Apr	Cardiff City FC	A	1–0	W

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Aug	Stoke City FC	A	1–3	L
03 May	Stoke City FC	H	0–0	D
26 Apr	Hull City AFC	A	1–0	W
21 Apr	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	3–1	W
18 Apr	Luton Town FC	H	0–1	L
12 Apr	Portsmouth FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Stoke City FC		Derby County FC
#8	Position	#23
16	Points	6
10	Played	10
5 / 1 / 4	W / D / L	1 / 3 / 6
17	Scored	9
16	Conceded	19
+1	GD	-10
1.60	PPG	0.60
50%	Win %	10%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

10% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Stoke City FC are 8th (16 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC

0-15

4/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

3/–

46-60

1/3

61-75

1/3

76+

3/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Derby County FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

3/4

31-45

1/5

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/3

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC

Ethan Galbraith	4 G	2 A
Eric Bocat	2 G	2 A
Sam Gallagher	2 G	1 A
Justin Devenny	2 G

Derby County FC

Samuel Szmodics	3 G	1 A
Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Stoke City FC and Derby County FC is underway.
Full Time. Stoke City FC beats Derby County FC

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tom Ince	3
Martyn Waghorn	3
Sam Clucas	1
Colin Kazim-Richards	1
Luke Plange	1
Ben Gibson	1
Liam Lindsay	1
Thomas Cannon	1

Head to Head

Stoke City FC Form

2025-08-09 Stoke City FC 3–1 Derby County FC W 2025-05-03 Derby County FC 0–0 Stoke City FC D 2025-04-25 Stoke City FC 0–2 Sheffield United FC L 2025-04-21 Leeds United FC 6–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-04-18 Stoke City FC 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2025-04-12 Cardiff City FC 0–1 Stoke City FC W

Derby County FC Form

2025-08-09 Stoke City FC 3–1 Derby County FC L 2025-05-03 Derby County FC 0–0 Stoke City FC D 2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC W 2025-04-21 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–3 Derby County FC W 2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC L 2025-04-12 Portsmouth FC 2–2 Derby County FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.1 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.14 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC57% Draw23% Derby County FC20%

Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.24

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

80%

Draw or Derby County FC

43%

Stoke City FC or Derby County FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Stoke City FC42% Draw41% Derby County FC17%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.2%

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

8.5%

1 – 0

7.6%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

5.8%

0 – 0

5.4%

2 – 2

5.4%

1 – 2

5.2%

3 – 2

3.8%

0 – 1

3.8%

4 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	18%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	22%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	12%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.