Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Stoke City FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Stoke City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Elliot Bell (England)

3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 5.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Hull City AFC	46	73
4	Oxford United FC	46	47
5	Leicester City FC	46	46
6	Millwall FC	0	0
7	Southampton FC	0	0
8	Middlesbrough FC	0	0
9	Wrexham AFC	0	0
10	Derby County FC	0	0
11	Norwich City FC	0	0
12	Birmingham City FC	0	0
13	Swansea City AFC	0	0
14	Bristol City FC	0	0
15	Sheffield United FC	0	0
16	Preston North End FC	0	0
17	Queens Park Rangers FC	0	0
18	Watford FC	0	0
19	Stoke City FC	0	0
20	Portsmouth FC	0	0
21	Charlton Athletic FC	0	0
22	Blackburn Rovers FC	0	0
23	West Bromwich Albion FC	0	0
24	Burnley FC	0	0
25	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	0	0
26	Cardiff City FC	0	0
27	West Ham United FC	0	0
28	Bolton Wanderers FC	0	0
29	Lincoln City FC	0	0
30	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Stoke City FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-09 Stoke City FC 3–1 Derby County FC 2025-05-03 Derby County FC 0–0 Stoke City FC 2024-11-02 Stoke City FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-12-30 Stoke City FC 1–2 Derby County FC 2021-09-18 Derby County FC 2–1 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Aug	Derby County FC	H	3–1	W
03 May	Derby County FC	A	0–0	D
25 Apr	Sheffield United FC	H	0–2	L
21 Apr	Leeds United FC	A	0–6	L
18 Apr	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–0	W
12 Apr	Cardiff City FC	A	1–0	W

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Aug	Stoke City FC	A	1–3	L
03 May	Stoke City FC	H	0–0	D
26 Apr	Hull City AFC	A	1–0	W
21 Apr	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	3–1	W
18 Apr	Luton Town FC	H	0–1	L
12 Apr	Portsmouth FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Stoke City FC		Derby County FC
#19	Position	#10
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 19th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at as Stoke City FC face off against Derby County FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Stoke City FC players.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Martyn Waghorn	3
Tom Ince	3
Ben Gibson	1
Liam Lindsay	1
Thomas Cannon	1
Scott Hogan	1
Carlton Morris	1
Jayden Bogle	1

Head to Head

Stoke City FC Form

2025-08-09 Stoke City FC 3–1 Derby County FC W 2025-05-03 Derby County FC 0–0 Stoke City FC D 2025-04-25 Stoke City FC 0–2 Sheffield United FC L 2025-04-21 Leeds United FC 6–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-04-18 Stoke City FC 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2025-04-12 Cardiff City FC 0–1 Stoke City FC W

Derby County FC Form

2025-08-09 Stoke City FC 3–1 Derby County FC L 2025-05-03 Derby County FC 0–0 Stoke City FC D 2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC W 2025-04-21 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–3 Derby County FC W 2025-04-18 Derby County FC 0–1 Luton Town FC L 2025-04-12 Portsmouth FC 2–2 Derby County FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.82 Stoke City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.67 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + Stoke City FC or Draw 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC40% Draw35% Derby County FC25%

Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes29% 0% No71%

Avg goals/match: 1.49

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	75%	25%
± 1.5	45%	55%
± 2.5	19%	81%
± 3.5	7%	93%
± 4.5	2%	98%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Derby County FC

60%

Stoke City FC or Derby County FC

65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Stoke City FC21% Draw63% Derby County FC16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

25.1%

1 – 0

16.9%

1 – 1

13.4%

0 – 1

13.4%

2 – 0

7.1%

2 – 1

5.2%

0 – 2

4.6%

1 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

1.9%

2 – 2

1.9%

3 – 1

Actual

0 – 3

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap	Stoke City FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	9%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	23%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	18%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	6%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

51% ✗

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

44% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.