Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

Sao Paulo FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Gremio FBPA

Thu 12 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A .

Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Gremio FBPA 19 games · 21 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)

8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	18	41
2	CR Flamengo	17	34
3	Fluminense FC	19	32
4	RB Bragantino	19	30
5	CA Paranaense	18	30
6	EC Bahia	18	29
7	Coritiba FBC	18	26
8	Sao Paulo FC	18	25
9	Botafogo FR	18	25
10	EC Vitoria	18	25
11	CA Mineiro	18	24
12	SC Corinthians Paulista	18	24
13	Cruzeiro EC	18	24
14	SC Internacional	18	21
15	Santos FC	19	21
16	Gremio FBPA	19	21
17	CR Vasco da Gama	19	20
18	Mirassol FC	18	19
19	Clube do Remo	18	18
20	Chapecoense AF	18	9

Head-to-Head

Sao Paulo FC 17 games · Avg 2.2 goals Gremio FBPA

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA 2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Feb	Gremio FBPA	H	2–0	W
04 Feb	Santos FC	A	1–1	D
29 Jan	CR Flamengo	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Vitoria	A	0–1	L
03 Dec	SC Internacional	H	3–0	W
27 Nov	Fluminense FC	A	0–6	L

Gremio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Feb	Sao Paulo FC	A	0–2	L
05 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	5–3	W
28 Jan	Fluminense FC	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	SC Recife	A	4–0	W
03 Dec	Fluminense FC	H	1–2	L
26 Nov	SE Palmeiras	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC		Gremio FBPA
#8	Position	#16
25	Points	21
18	Played	19
7 / 4 / 7	W / D / L	5 / 6 / 8
23	Scored	21
20	Conceded	25
+3	GD	-4
1.39	PPG	1.11
39%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

37% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). Gremio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/2

46-60

–/3

61-75

2/2

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gremio FBPA

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

2/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC

Luciano	6 G	1 A
Jonathan Calleri	6 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G

Gremio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

9 G

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Grêmio FBPA kicks off things out of here…
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sao Paulo FC players.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Everton	3
Everton	2
Carlos Vinicius	2
Luciano	2
Franco Cristaldo	2
Luciano	2
Igor Gomes	1
Luiz Gustavo	1

Head to Head

Sao Paulo FC Form

2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA W 2026-02-04 Santos FC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D 2026-01-29 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 CR Flamengo W 2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-12-03 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 SC Internacional W 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 Sao Paulo FC L

Gremio FBPA Form

2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA L 2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR W 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-12-07 SC Recife 0–4 Gremio FBPA W 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC L 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.56 Sao Paulo FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.92 Gremio FBPA xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sao Paulo FC52% Draw27% Gremio FBPA21%

Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.48

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Gremio FBPA

48%

Sao Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sao Paulo FC35% Draw48% Gremio FBPA17%

Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

1 – 0

12.1%

0 – 0

10.4%

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

9.1%

0 – 1

6.6%

1 – 2

5.3%

3 – 0

5.1%

3 – 1

4.8%

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap	Sao Paulo FC covers	Push	Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	16%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	24%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	13%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.