Friday , 16 October 2026

SC Recife vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

0 – 4
Full Time
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Alysson
Y 80' Camilo

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Match Details

  • Referee Edina Alves Batista
8 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 2.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Gremio FBPA H 0–4 L
03 Dec EC Bahia A 0–2 L
29 Nov Santos FC A 0–3 L
23 Nov EC Vitoria H 1–3 L
18 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
15 Nov CR Flamengo H 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec SC Recife A 4–0 W
03 Dec Fluminense FC H 1–2 L
26 Nov SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W
22 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
20 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 2–0 W
09 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SC Recife to score. At the same time, Grêmio FBPA does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Brazil international Alysson has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 18' A moment of madness from Pedro Augusto on 18 minutes earns him a card. SC Recife will be frustrated.
  • 21' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alysson on 21.
  • 26' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Recife and Grêmio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 28' Fresh legs for SC Recife! Joao Silva comes on to replace Igor Carius.
  • 29' What composure from Carlos Vinicius! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 31' Magnificent from Carlos Vinicius! That is 78 goals in 331 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 36' Grêmio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 40' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Alysson departs to be replaced by Cristian Pavon.
  • 42' Gustavo Martins doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Francis Amuzu on 45 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • 46' A tactical swap from SC Recife — Leo Augusto on, Matheusinho off on 46 minutes.
  • 48' A stunning finish from Franco Cristaldo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 53' It looks surprising SC Recife does not make any changes. Romarinho has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 58' Grêmio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 60' Sergio Oliveira is replacing Goncalo Paciencia for the SC Recife side.
  • 65' Luan Candido is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Grêmio FBPA tonight.
  • 66' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Lucas Esteves on, Marlon off on 66 minutes.
  • 71' Supporters expect more eagerness from Andre, as he is very good at scoring at Ilha do Retiro with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 76' Gustavo Cuellar picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Andre. He replaces Carlos Vinicius on 77 minute.
  • 80' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a card on 80.
  • 85' SC Recife are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Grêmio FBPA backline.
  • 90' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Recife side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife26% Draw26% Gremio FBPA48%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
52%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
74%
SC Recife or Gremio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife19% Draw43% Gremio FBPA38%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 3
5.9%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 3
5.1%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 22% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
32% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.