Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
EC Vitoria
1 – 0
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Camutanga 20' Y
Y 42' Ferreira
Gabriel Baralhas 70' Y
Willian Oliveira 86' Y
Matheuzinho 90' Y
Ronald 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Barradao.

Match Details

  • Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio
16 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 10.1 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

2
8
EC Vitoria 10 games · Avg 2.4 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-08-09 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2024-08-25 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Vitoria 2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo FC 2018-10-26 EC Vitoria 0–1 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec RB Bragantino A 0–4 L
29 Nov Mirassol FC H 2–0 W
23 Nov SC Recife A 3–1 W
19 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
09 Nov Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
03 Dec SC Internacional H 3–0 W
27 Nov Fluminense FC A 0–6 L
23 Nov EC Juventude H 2–1 W
20 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–3 L
09 Nov RB Bragantino H 0–1 L

Season Stats

EC Vitoria Sao Paulo FC
#13 Position #11
33 Points 36
28 Played 27
9 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
28 Scored 32
42 Conceded 30
-14 GD +2
1.18 PPG 1.33
32% Win % 37%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
26% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcos Antonio, as he is very good at scoring at Barradao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitoria must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' Camutanga picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 25' Lucca Marques is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Vitoria tonight.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 40' The 34-year-old Neris has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 42' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Ferreira gets a card.
  • 46' EC Vitoria make a change. Aitor Cantalapiedra trudges off to be replaced by Matheuzinho on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' EC Vitoria is showing some good football. However, EC Vitoria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 58' Emiliano Rigoni has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luciano on 58 minute.
  • 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 64' EC Vitoria make a change. Raul Caceres trudges off to be replaced by Fabricio on 64 minutes.
  • 68' Brilliant from the ! Gabriel Baralhas makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 68.
  • 70' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Gabriel Baralhas will be fuming at that decision.
  • 73' Renzo Lopez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Renato Kayzer at the 73 minute mark.
  • 75' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 75 minute. Luiz Gustavo leaves to be changed by Pedrinho.
  • 80' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 81' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Cedric is withdrawn and Paulo Sergio gets his opportunity.
  • 82' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Gabriel Baralhas exits the field as Ronald enters on 82.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Willian Oliveira. He receives a card.
  • 90' Matheuzinho picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jair Ventura

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Nene 2
Nene 2
Luciano 2
Erick 1
William da Silva 1
Caca 1
Everton 1
Ramon 1

Head to Head

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-08-09 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2024-08-25 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Vitoria 2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo FC 2018-10-26 EC Vitoria 0–1 Sao Paulo FC

EC Vitoria Form

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-12-03 RB Bragantino 4–0 EC Vitoria L 2025-11-29 EC Vitoria 2–0 Mirassol FC W 2025-11-23 SC Recife 1–3 EC Vitoria W 2025-11-19 SE Palmeiras 0–0 EC Vitoria D 2025-11-09 EC Vitoria 0–0 Botafogo FR D

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-12-03 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 SC Internacional W 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-11-23 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Juventude W 2025-11-20 SC Corinthians Paulista 3–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-11-09 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 RB Bragantino L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.27 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: EC Vitoria or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria44% Draw29% Sao Paulo FC27%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
73%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
56%
EC Vitoria or Sao Paulo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria29% Draw51% Sao Paulo FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.