Thursday , 2 July 2026

EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
EC Vitoria
1 – 0
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Camutanga 20' Y
Y 42' Ferreira
Gabriel Baralhas 70' Y
Willian Oliveira 86' Y
Matheuzinho 90' Y
Ronald 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Barradao.

Match Details

  • Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio
15 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

2
8
EC Vitoria 10 games · Avg 2.4 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-08-09 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2024-08-25 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Vitoria 2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo FC 2018-10-26 EC Vitoria 0–1 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec RB Bragantino A 0–4 L
29 Nov Mirassol FC H 2–0 W
23 Nov SC Recife A 3–1 W
19 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
09 Nov Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
03 Dec SC Internacional H 3–0 W
27 Nov Fluminense FC A 0–6 L
23 Nov EC Juventude H 2–1 W
20 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–3 L
09 Nov RB Bragantino H 0–1 L

Season Stats

EC Vitoria Sao Paulo FC
#13 Position #8
22 Points 25
17 Played 18
6 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 7
21 Scored 23
25 Conceded 20
-4 GD +3
1.29 PPG 1.39
35% Win % 39%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 3 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Barradao. EC Vitoria are looking to make home advantage count against Sao Paulo FC.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Barradao. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' The referee calls foul for Camutanga. He receives a card.
  • 25' EC Vitoria have won 127 goals from 171 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitoria must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 42' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ferreira on 42 minutes.
  • 46' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Aitor Cantalapiedra has done his job and it is now time for Matheuzinho to step up.
  • 51' EC Vitoria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 58' Emiliano Rigoni gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Luciano and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 63' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 64' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Raul Caceres by Fabricio on 64 minute.
  • 68' Gabriel Baralhas doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 70' Gabriel Baralhas catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 70.
  • 73' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Renato Kayzer is replaced by Renzo Lopez on 73 minute.
  • 75' Pedrinho is replacing Luiz Gustavo for the Sao Paulo FC side.
  • 80' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 81' Paulo Sergio is replacing Cedric for the Sao Paulo FC side.
  • 82' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Ronald comes on to replace Gabriel Baralhas.
  • 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Willian Oliveira.
  • 90' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Sao Paulo FC will have plenty to reflect on. EC Vitoria were simply the better side today.

Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jair Ventura

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Nene 2
Nene 2
Luciano 2
Nahuel Ferraresi 1
Alerrandro 1
Erick 1
William da Silva 1
Caca 1

Head to Head

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-08-09 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2024-08-25 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Vitoria 2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo FC 2018-10-26 EC Vitoria 0–1 Sao Paulo FC

EC Vitoria Form

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-12-03 RB Bragantino 4–0 EC Vitoria L 2025-11-29 EC Vitoria 2–0 Mirassol FC W 2025-11-23 SC Recife 1–3 EC Vitoria W 2025-11-19 SE Palmeiras 0–0 EC Vitoria D 2025-11-09 EC Vitoria 0–0 Botafogo FR D

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-12-03 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 SC Internacional W 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-11-23 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Juventude W 2025-11-20 SC Corinthians Paulista 3–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-11-09 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 RB Bragantino L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.39 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria46% Draw28% Sao Paulo FC26%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
74%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
54%
EC Vitoria or Sao Paulo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria31% Draw49% Sao Paulo FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11%
2 – 1
8.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.