Sunday , 16 August 2026

EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
EC Vitoria
1 – 0
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Camutanga 20' Y
Y 42' Ferreira
Gabriel Baralhas 70' Y
Willian Oliveira 86' Y
Matheuzinho 90' Y
Ronald 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Barradao.

Match Details

  • Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio
15 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 23 34
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 22 11

Head-to-Head

2
8
EC Vitoria 10 games · Avg 2.4 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-08-09 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2024-08-25 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Vitoria 2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo FC 2018-10-26 EC Vitoria 0–1 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec RB Bragantino A 0–4 L
29 Nov Mirassol FC H 2–0 W
23 Nov SC Recife A 3–1 W
19 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
09 Nov Botafogo FR H 0–0 D
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
03 Dec SC Internacional H 3–0 W
27 Nov Fluminense FC A 0–6 L
23 Nov EC Juventude H 2–1 W
20 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–3 L
09 Nov RB Bragantino H 0–1 L

Season Stats

EC Vitoria Sao Paulo FC
#13 Position #12
26 Points 27
22 Played 22
7 / 5 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 6 / 9
22 Scored 27
33 Conceded 26
-11 GD +1
1.18 PPG 1.23
32% Win % 32%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Vitoria in their trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact .
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Vitoria that had 175 games and scored 129 goals.
  • 20' A moment of madness from Camutanga on 20 minutes earns him a card. EC Vitoria will be frustrated.
  • 25' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Neris made 365 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Sao Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 42' It’s gonna be a card for Ferreira.
  • 46' Matheuzinho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aitor Cantalapiedra on 46 minute.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Pedrinho suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Emiliano Rigoni on, Luciano off on 58 minutes.
  • 63' EC Vitoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 64' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Raul Caceres has done his job and it is now time for Fabricio to step up.
  • 68' GOAL! Gabriel Baralhas fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 70' Gabriel Baralhas picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 73' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Renzo Lopez comes on to replace Renato Kayzer.
  • 75' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Luiz Gustavo exits the field as Pedrinho enters on 75.
  • 80' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with EC Vitoria winning 100% of all matches.
  • 81' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Cedric is withdrawn and Paulo Sergio gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Ronald comes on to replace Gabriel Baralhas.
  • 86' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 90' Matheuzinho catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from EC Vitoria to claim maximum points.

Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jair Ventura

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano 2
Nene 2
Nene 2
Nahuel Ferraresi 1
Alerrandro 1
Erick 1
William da Silva 1
Caca 1

Head to Head

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-08-09 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2024-08-25 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Vitoria 2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo FC 2018-10-26 EC Vitoria 0–1 Sao Paulo FC

EC Vitoria Form

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-12-03 RB Bragantino 4–0 EC Vitoria L 2025-11-29 EC Vitoria 2–0 Mirassol FC W 2025-11-23 SC Recife 1–3 EC Vitoria W 2025-11-19 SE Palmeiras 0–0 EC Vitoria D 2025-11-09 EC Vitoria 0–0 Botafogo FR D

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-12-03 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 SC Internacional W 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-11-23 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Juventude W 2025-11-20 SC Corinthians Paulista 3–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-11-09 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 RB Bragantino L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: EC Vitoria or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria44% Draw29% Sao Paulo FC27%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
73%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
56%
EC Vitoria or Sao Paulo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria29% Draw50% Sao Paulo FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.