EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025

EC Vitoria

1 – 0

Full Time

Sao Paulo FC

Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'

Camutanga 20' Y

Y 42' Ferreira

Gabriel Baralhas 70' Y

Willian Oliveira 86' Y

Matheuzinho 90' Y

Ronald 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Barradao.

EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio

15 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	23	48
2	CR Flamengo	21	42
3	CA Paranaense	23	41
4	Fluminense FC	23	38
5	EC Bahia	22	33
6	Cruzeiro EC	22	33
7	RB Bragantino	22	32
8	SC Corinthians Paulista	22	32
9	Coritiba FBC	23	31
10	Botafogo FR	21	30
11	CA Mineiro	21	29
12	Sao Paulo FC	22	27
13	EC Vitoria	22	26
14	Gremio FBPA	21	25
15	SC Internacional	22	23
16	Mirassol FC	21	23
17	Santos FC	21	22
18	CR Vasco da Gama	21	22
19	Clube do Remo	22	22
20	Chapecoense AF	21	10

Head-to-Head

EC Vitoria 10 games · Avg 2.4 goals Sao Paulo FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-08-09 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2024-08-25 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Vitoria 2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo FC 2018-10-26 EC Vitoria 0–1 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

EC Vitoria

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Dec	Sao Paulo FC	H	1–0	W
03 Dec	RB Bragantino	A	0–4	L
29 Nov	Mirassol FC	H	2–0	W
23 Nov	SC Recife	A	3–1	W
19 Nov	SE Palmeiras	A	0–0	D
09 Nov	Botafogo FR	H	0–0	D

Sao Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Dec	EC Vitoria	A	0–1	L
03 Dec	SC Internacional	H	3–0	W
27 Nov	Fluminense FC	A	0–6	L
23 Nov	EC Juventude	H	2–1	W
20 Nov	SC Corinthians Paulista	A	1–3	L
09 Nov	RB Bragantino	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

EC Vitoria		Sao Paulo FC
#13	Position	#12
26	Points	27
22	Played	22
7 / 5 / 10	W / D / L	7 / 6 / 9
22	Scored	27
33	Conceded	26
-11	GD	+1
1.18	PPG	1.23
32%	Win %	32%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/–

31-45

1/9

46-60

1/1

61-75

4/1

76+

3/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sao Paulo FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

3/2

46-60

–/8

61-75

3/2

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria

Carlos Rene	5 G	1 A
Renato Kayzer	4 G	1 A
Gabriel Baralhas	2 G	3 A

Sao Paulo FC

Jonathan Calleri	7 G	1 A
Luciano	6 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G
Artur Guimaraes	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! EC Vitoria vs Sao Paulo FC — let the football do the talking.
5' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Vitoria in their trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact .
10' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Vitoria that had 175 games and scored 129 goals.
20' A moment of madness from Camutanga on 20 minutes earns him a card. EC Vitoria will be frustrated.
25' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Neris made 365 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
35' Sao Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
42' It’s gonna be a card for Ferreira.
46' Matheuzinho has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aitor Cantalapiedra on 46 minute.
51' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Pedrinho suffering a number of foals already.
58' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Emiliano Rigoni on, Luciano off on 58 minutes.
63' EC Vitoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
64' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Raul Caceres has done his job and it is now time for Fabricio to step up.
68' GOAL! Gabriel Baralhas fires home to make it 1-0!
70' Gabriel Baralhas picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
73' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Renzo Lopez comes on to replace Renato Kayzer.
75' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Luiz Gustavo exits the field as Pedrinho enters on 75.
80' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with EC Vitoria winning 100% of all matches.
81' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Cedric is withdrawn and Paulo Sergio gets his opportunity.
82' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Ronald comes on to replace Gabriel Baralhas.
86' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
90' Matheuzinho catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from EC Vitoria to claim maximum points.

Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jair Ventura

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

77
Emiliano Rigoni ↑ 58'
28
Alan Franco
32
Nahuel Ferraresi
36
Patryck
22
Mailton dos Santos
29
Pablo Maia ↑ 46'
50
Young
43
Felipe Negrucci
52
Felipe
46
Pedrinho ↑ 75'
45
Lucca Marques ↑ 46'
39
Paulo Sergio ↑ 81'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nene	2
Nene	2
Luciano	2
Alerrandro	1
Erick	1
William da Silva	1
Caca	1
Everton	1

Head to Head

EC Vitoria Form

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-12-03 RB Bragantino 4–0 EC Vitoria L 2025-11-29 EC Vitoria 2–0 Mirassol FC W 2025-11-23 SC Recife 1–3 EC Vitoria W 2025-11-19 SE Palmeiras 0–0 EC Vitoria D 2025-11-09 EC Vitoria 0–0 Botafogo FR D

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-12-03 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 SC Internacional W 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-11-23 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Juventude W 2025-11-20 SC Corinthians Paulista 3–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-11-09 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 RB Bragantino L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.32 EC Vitoria xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 Sao Paulo FC xG

I would bet for: EC Vitoria or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

EC Vitoria44% Draw29% Sao Paulo FC27%

Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.36

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw

73%

Draw or Sao Paulo FC

56%

EC Vitoria or Sao Paulo FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

EC Vitoria29% Draw50% Sao Paulo FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.9%

0 – 0

11.6%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

8.6%

2 – 1

8.3%

2 – 0

7.9%

1 – 2

6.5%

0 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

4.4%

3 – 1

3.7%

3 – 0

3.5%

1 – 3

2.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap	EC Vitoria covers	Push	Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	22%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	17%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet

36% ✗

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.