Sao Paulo FC vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Fortaleza EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | Botafogo FR | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | SC Recife | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | SC Internacional | H | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Morumbi. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Lucas Ferreira has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ferreira made 326 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 371 games and scored 405 goals.
- 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 43' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Ferreira on 43.
- 48' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bruno Pacheco, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 53' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 53.
- 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 61' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joao Ricardo on 61.
- 65' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Ferreira is replaced by Lucas Moura on 65 minute.
- 69' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Breno Lopes is replaced by Marinho on 69 minute.
- 73' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Gustavo gets a card.
- 78' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 80' Deyverson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Juan Lucero on 80 minute.
- 81' The whistle greets Gustavo as he departs to be replaced by David Luiz.
- 84' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Ferreira departs to be replaced by Ryan Rodrigues.
- 89' It’s high time Luis Zubeldía made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- The final score is 0-0.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 18
- 28
- 17
- 32
- 11
- 22
- 23
- 21
- 48
- 47
Bench
- 10
- 93
- 6
- 7
- 35
- 36
- 15
- 50
- 43
- 49
- 45
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 22
- 20
- 6
- 88
- 13
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Deyverson 80'
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Marinho 69'
- 14
- 8
-
39
Gustavo ↓ David Luiz 81'
Bench
-
11
Marinho ↑ 69'
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 80'
-
23
David Luiz ↑ 81'
- 5
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 80'
- 10
- 17
- 12
- 77
- 38
- 19
- 41
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 3 |
| Robson | 3 |
| Juan Lucero | 2 |
| David | 2 |
| Wellington Paulista | 2 |
| Dani Alves | 1 |
| Jose Welison | 1 |
| Gabriel | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 72% + Sao Paulo FC or Draw 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 2.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
63%
Sao Paulo FC or Fortaleza EC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
2.9%
3 – 0
2.2%
3 – 1
2.1%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 21% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 19% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.