Sao Paulo FC vs Santos FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs Santos FC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- Santos FC 21 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | Botafogo FR | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | SC Recife | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Dec | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Apr | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | EC Bahia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | Santos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #17 |
| 27 | Points | 22 |
| 22 | Played | 21 |
| 7 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 5 / 7 / 9 |
| 27 | Scored | 29 |
| 26 | Conceded | 35 |
| +1 | GD | -6 |
| 1.23 | PPG | 1.05 |
| 32% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season
Santos FC this season
Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). Santos FC are 17th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/4
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Santos FC
| Gabriel Barbosa | 7 G | 2 A |
| Neymar | 6 G | 2 A |
| Alvaro Barreal | 4 G | 1 A |
| Benjamin Rollheiser | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Sao Paulo FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Santos FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Ferreira has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 10 minutes.
- 15' Ruan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 20' Sao Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 23' GOAL! Andre Silva scores on 23. Assisted by Matheus
- 28' Alvaro Barreal has been relatively quiet despite scoring 27 goals in his last 164 appearances.
- 30' Poor challenge from Benjamin Rollheiser. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 35' It’s high time Cesar Sampaio made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 40' Santos FC have won 356 goals from 286 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 41' Jose Sabino is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
- 45' Marcos Antonio catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
- 48' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tiquinho Soares makes it 2-1.
- 48' Tiquinho Soares catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 48.
- 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Diego Pituca made 286 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 57' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Rafael Monteiro gets a card.
- 62' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Zubeldía might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 63' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 63.
- 68' Sao Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 73' Santos FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 75' Matheus catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 75.
- 76' A change in the Santos FC ranks — Leonardo Godoy exits the field as Joao Pedro Chermont enters on 76.
- 77' Santos FC make a change. Alvaro Barreal trudges off to be replaced by Gabriel Veron on 77 minutes.
- 82' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sao Paulo FC and Santos FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
- 88' Time for substitution for Santos FC. Joao Schmidt is replaced by Thaciano.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Rodrigo Huendra on 90 minutes.
- 90' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Cedric has done his job and it is now time for Igor Vinicius to step up.
- The final score is 2-1.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 6
- 20
- 35
- 13
- 17
- 11
- 22
- 23
- 48
- 47
Bench
- 10
- 93
- 2
- 18
- 28
- 32
- 36
- 15
- 21
- 43
- 49
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Santos FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Joao Schmidt ↓ Thaciano 88'
- 9
- 29
- 31
-
22
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Gabriel Veron 77'
- 11
- 77
- 4
- 32
- 2
-
49
Gabriel Bontempo ↓ Diego Pituca 77'
Bench
-
16
Thaciano ↑ 88'
- 8
- 3
- 1
-
21
Diego Pituca ↑ 77'
-
70
Gabriel Veron ↑ 77'
- 38
- 36
-
44
Joao Pedro Chermont ↑ 76'
- 17
- 25
Coach
Cesar Sampaio
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 4 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Alexandre Pato | 3 |
| Carlos Sanchez | 3 |
| Gabriel | 2 |
| Gabriel Pirani | 2 |
| Marcos Leonardo Almeida | 2 |
| David | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Santos FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Santos FC
45%
Sao Paulo FC or Santos FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | Santos FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.