Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Santos FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 1
Full Time
Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Santos FCSerie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Santos FC H 2–1 W
16 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
13 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
06 Apr CA Mineiro A 0–0 D
29 Mar SC Recife H 0–0 D
08 Dec Botafogo FR A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
17 Apr CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
13 Apr Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
06 Apr EC Bahia H 2–2 D
30 Mar CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
07 Dec Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC Santos FC
#8 Position #15
25 Points 21
18 Played 18
7 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
23 Scored 26
20 Conceded 29
+3 GD -3
1.39 PPG 1.17
39% Win % 28%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
28% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). Santos FC are 15th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/4
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 7 G 2 A
Neymar 4 G 2 A
Alvaro Barreal 3 G
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Sao Paulo FC have kicked off against Santos FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Assisted by Andre Silva with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ferreira makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Alvaro Barreal has been relatively quiet despite scoring 26 goals in his last 162 appearances.
  • 23' Andre Silva is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 28' Rafael Monteiro, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' It’s gonna be a card for Benjamin Rollheiser.
  • 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sao Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 40' Santos FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 41' Poor challenge from Jose Sabino. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 45' Marcos Antonio is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 48' A goal from the Brazil international Tiquinho Soares! He fires home on 45 to make it 2-1!
  • 48' The referee shows Santos FC player a card on 48.
  • 53' Brazil international Diego Pituca has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 57' Rafael Monteiro is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
  • 62' Over 62 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 63' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 68' Santos FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 73' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 75' That looks like a foul for a card for Matheus.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Leonardo Godoy as he leaves the pitch. Joao Pedro Chermont steps in for Santos FC.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Santos FCGabriel Veron on, Alvaro Barreal off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Santos FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 87' Gabriel Brazao is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Santos FC so far.
  • 88' Santos FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Thaciano is hanging Joao Schmidt on the field on 88 minute.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Rodrigo Huendra on 90 minutes.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Cedric as he leaves the pitch. Igor Vinicius steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
  • Santos FC will have plenty to reflect on. Sao Paulo FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC55% Draw25% Santos FC20%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Santos FC
45%
Sao Paulo FC or Santos FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC37% Draw46% Santos FC17%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
11%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.