Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 4 Jun 2023 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 29' Alan Franco
Y 30' Alan Franco
Reinaldo 82' Y
Mila 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jun Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
27 May CA Paranaense A 2–1 W
21 May SC Internacional H 3–1 W
14 May Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
11 May SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
07 May RB Bragantino H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jun Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
28 May Goiás EC H 2–1 W
20 May CR Vasco da Gama H 4–2 W
14 May SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
11 May Fortaleza EC A 0–0 D
07 May SC Internacional H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Sao Paulo FC
#18 Position #10
31 Points 39
30 Played 30
7 / 10 / 13 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 13
32 Scored 35
40 Conceded 35
-8 GD +0
1.03 PPG 1.30
23% Win % 37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 10th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
6/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 1 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Grêmio FBPA and Sao Paulo FC.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Grêmio FBPA and Sao Paulo FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' Caio Paulista is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
  • 15' Assisted by Caio Paulista with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jonathan Calleri makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 20' Nathan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sao Paulo FC so far.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 29' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Alan Franco.
  • 30' Alan Franco picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 31' Against the run of play, Franco Cristaldo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 36' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Luis Suarez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 39' GOAL! Reinaldo fires home to make it 0-3!
  • 44' Sao Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Nathan. He replaces Rai Ramos on 46 minute.
  • 51' Gremio FBPA make a change. Fabio trudges off to be replaced by Joao Pedro on 51 minutes.
  • 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Wellington Rato made 152 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Walter Kannemann suffering a number of foals already.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Everton. He replaces Franco Cristaldo on 63 minute.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Luciano. He replaces Alisson on 66 minute.
  • 71' Uruguay international Felipe Carballo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 76' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 81' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Grêmio FBPA side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 82' Reinaldo picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Vina on, Luis Suarez off on 84 minutes.
  • 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mila on 88.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.33 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA44% Draw29% Sao Paulo FC27%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
73%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
56%
Gremio FBPA or Sao Paulo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA29% Draw50% Sao Paulo FC21%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.