Friday , 16 October 2026

Mirassol FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Mirassol FC
4 – 1
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Wed 16 Apr 2025 · 22:00 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 15' Martin Braithwaite
Y 18' Tiago Volpi
Y 60' Mathias Villasanti
Negueba 64' Y
Y 67' Edenilson
Daniel Borges 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Campos Maia.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

3
Mirassol FC 3 games · Avg 3.0 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-16 Mirassol FC 4–1 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr Gremio FBPA H 4–1 W
13 Apr EC Bahia A 1–1 D
06 Apr Fortaleza EC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Cruzeiro EC A 1–2 L
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr Mirassol FC A 1–4 L
13 Apr CR Flamengo H 0–2 L
05 Apr Ceará SC A 0–2 L
29 Mar CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
08 Dec SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–3 L
04 Dec EC Vitoria A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Mirassol FC Gremio FBPA
#15 Position #18
33 Points 31
30 Played 30
8 / 9 / 13 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
34 Scored 32
44 Conceded 40
-10 GD -8
1.10 PPG 1.03
27% Win % 23%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Mirassol FC are 15th (33 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/4
46-60
2/4
61-75
4/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 6 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Mirassol FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 3' What a strike from Daniel Borges! The score is 1-0.
  • 8' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 13' Over 13 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' Martin Braithwaite is having his name booked by the referee on 15.
  • 18' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tiago Volpi on 18 minutes.
  • 21' What composure from Reinaldo! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' Gabriel makes way for Yago Felipe at the 30 minute mark. A tactical switch from Mirassol FC.
  • 35' Mirassol FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' With 1 assists to his name this season, Francis Amuzu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Mirassol FC.
  • 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ivan Baitello might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 46' Dodi is replacing Franco Cristaldo for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 51' Brazil international Andre has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Mirassol FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 57' A tactical swap from Mirassol FC — Negueba on, Fabricio Daniel off on 57 minutes.
  • 60' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
  • 64' Negueba is having his name booked by the referee on 64.
  • 65' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Cristian Pavon has done his job and it is now time for Alysson to step up.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Edenilson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 72' Camilo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gremio FBPA tonight.
  • 77' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Mathias Villasanti has done his job and it is now time for Matias Arezo to step up.
  • 78' Brilliant from the ! Reinaldo makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 78.
  • 80' Clayson gets the nod from Mirassol FC. He replaces Iury and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Martin Braithwaite makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Gremio FBPA are in front.
  • 84' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andre is hanging Francis Amuzu on the field on 84 minute.
  • 85' The deadlock is broken! Daniel Borges gets on the scoresheet on 85 minutes.
  • 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Daniel Borges on 86 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Mirassol FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ivan Baitello

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gustavo Quinteros

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.32 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Mirassol FC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC63% Draw21% Gremio FBPA16%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
37%
Mirassol FC or Gremio FBPA
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC47% Draw39% Gremio FBPA14%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 19% 57%
-1.5 43% — 57%
-1 43% 22% 35%
-0.5 65% — 35%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.