Mirassol FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Mirassol FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Campos Maia.
- Mirassol FC 24 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 24 | 34 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 24 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | Ceará SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Dec | EC Vitoria | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Mirassol FC | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #15 |
| 25 | Points | 28 |
| 24 | Played | 24 |
| 6 / 7 / 11 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 27 | Scored | 27 |
| 37 | Conceded | 32 |
| -10 | GD | -5 |
| 1.04 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 25% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
Mirassol FC are 17th (25 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/7
76+
2/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Mirassol FC
| Igor Formiga | 4 G | 2 A |
| Carlos Eduardo | 4 G |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Mirassol FC welcome Grêmio FBPA for this crunch clash at Campos Maia.
- 3' Daniel Borges does the damage! The net is bulging and Mirassol FC surge ahead!
- 8' Tiago Volpi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 373 appearances.
- 13' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' That looks like a foul for a card for Martin Braithwaite.
- 18' Tiago Volpi was booked on 18.
- 21' GOAL! Reinaldo fires home to make it 2-0!
- 26' Mirassol FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Edson Carioca scoring 1 goals.
- 30' Another substitution for Mirassol FC to replace Gabriel by Yago Felipe on 30 minute.
- 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Grêmio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 40' A quiet spell here at Campos Maia. Mirassol FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 46' Dodi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Franco Cristaldo at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Mirassol FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 56' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 57' The Mirassol FC bench stirs into life. Fabricio Daniel is withdrawn and Negueba gets his opportunity.
- 60' A moment of madness from Mathias Villasanti on 60 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
- 64' Mirassol FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 65' Gremio FBPA make a change. Cristian Pavon trudges off to be replaced by Alysson on 65 minutes.
- 67' Edenilson is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
- 72' Grêmio FBPA have won 385 goals from 328 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 77' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Mathias Villasanti departs to be replaced by Matias Arezo.
- 78' The deadlock is broken! Reinaldo gets on the scoresheet on 78 minutes.
- 80' Iury makes way for Clayson at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Mirassol FC.
- 82' The deadlock is broken! Martin Braithwaite gets on the scoresheet on 82 minutes.
- 84' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Andre comes on to replace Francis Amuzu.
- 85' The Brazil Daniel Borges breaks the deadlock on 85 minutes. 4-1!
- 86' The referee calls foul for Daniel Borges. He receives a card.
- The points are shared — Mirassol FC 4-1 Grêmio FBPA. Honours even.
Lineups
Mirassol FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Neto Moura ↓ Roni 80'
-
27
Gabriel ↓ Yago Felipe 30'
- 6
-
70
Fabricio Daniel ↓ Negueba 57'
- 77
- 34
- 23
- 20
- 3
- 8
-
17
Cristian Renato ↓ Edson Carioca 57'
Bench
-
–
Yago Felipe ↑ 30'
- 22
- 10
- 21
-
11
Negueba ↑ 57'
- 19
-
29
Clayson ↑ 80'
-
5
Roni ↑ 80'
-
95
Edson Carioca ↑ 57'
- 18
- 99
- 45
Coach
Ivan Baitello
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 21
- 18
-
7
Cristian Pavon ↓ Alysson 65'
-
10
Franco Cristaldo ↓ Dodi 46'
-
9
Francis Amuzu ↓ Andre 84'
- 1
- 25
- 20
- 15
- 3
Bench
- 4
- 6
- 23
-
17
Dodi ↑ 46'
-
8
Edenilson ↑ 46'
- 12
-
19
Matias Arezo ↑ 77'
- 53
-
77
Andre ↑ 84'
- 11
- 34
-
47
Alysson ↑ 65'
Coach
Gustavo Quinteros
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Reinaldo | 2 |
| Daniel Borges | 2 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 1 |
| Alesson | 1 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 1 |
| Edson Carioca | 1 |
| Bruno Oliveira | 1 |
Head to Head
Mirassol FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.32
Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Mirassol FC to win 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Mirassol FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Mirassol FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
38%
Mirassol FC or Gremio FBPA
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Mirassol FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
7.2%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC
| Handicap | Mirassol FC covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 19% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 22% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.