Sunday , 16 August 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
SE Palmeiras
1 – 0
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Sun 11 May 2025 · 20:30 UTC Arena Barueri HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 31' Ruan
Joaquin Piquerez 85' Y
Y 90' Nahuel Ferraresi

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Barueri.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 23 34
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 22 11

Head-to-Head

12
5
3
SE Palmeiras 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 Sao Paulo FC 2023-06-11 Sao Paulo FC 0–2 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
04 May CR Vasco da Gama A 1–0 W
27 Apr EC Bahia H 0–1 L
20 Apr Fortaleza EC A 2–1 W
16 Apr SC Internacional A 1–0 W
12 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
03 May Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Ceará SC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Santos FC H 2–1 W
16 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
13 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras Sao Paulo FC
#1 Position #12
48 Points 27
23 Played 22
14 / 6 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 6 / 9
40 Scored 27
19 Conceded 26
+21 GD +1
2.09 PPG 1.23
61% Win % 32%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Ramon Sosa 4 G 2 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Mauricio 4 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 4 G 1 A
Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. SE Palmeiras host Sao Paulo FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Estevao has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' SE Palmeiras are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
  • 15' Rafael Monteiro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' Marcos Antonio has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 26' Enzo Diaz gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Wendell and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 31' The referee has no hesitation. Ruan is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 31.
  • 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Paulinho made 541 appearances and scored 41 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 41' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 51' Oscar has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 373 appearances.
  • 55' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Lucas Ferreira comes on to replace Cedric.
  • 56' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Matheus trudges off to be replaced by Oscar on 56 minutes.
  • 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 62' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Richard Rios is withdrawn and Felipe Anderson gets his opportunity.
  • 65' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Lucas Evangelista on, Allan off on 65 minutes.
  • 66' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Mauricio on, Paulinho off on 66 minutes.
  • 71' Ruan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 75' The whistle greets Ferreira as he departs to be replaced by Luciano.
  • 79' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Estevao is replaced by Vitor Roque.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Raphael Veiga. He replaces Anibal Moreno on 80 minute.
  • 85' The referee calls foul for Joaquin Piquerez. He receives a card.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nahuel Ferraresi on 90 minutes.
  • SE Palmeiras celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Breno Lopes 3
Luciano 3
Jose Manuel Lopez 3
Joaquin Piquerez 2
Willian 2
Gustavo Gomez 2
Gabriel Sara 2
Vitor Roque 2

Head to Head

2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 Sao Paulo FC 2023-06-11 Sao Paulo FC 0–2 SE Palmeiras

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-05-04 CR Vasco da Gama 0–1 SE Palmeiras W 2025-04-27 SE Palmeiras 0–1 EC Bahia L 2025-04-20 Fortaleza EC 1–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-04-16 SC Internacional 0–1 SE Palmeiras W 2025-04-12 SE Palmeiras 2–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC D 2025-04-26 Ceará SC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D 2025-04-20 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Santos FC W 2025-04-16 Botafogo FR 2–2 Sao Paulo FC D 2025-04-13 Sao Paulo FC 1–1 Cruzeiro EC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.66 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras63% Draw24% Sao Paulo FC13%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
87%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
37%
SE Palmeiras or Sao Paulo FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras42% Draw49% Sao Paulo FC9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
13.9%
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
4.8%
4 – 0
3.2%
1 – 2
3%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 19% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 27% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
55% ✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.