Thursday , 2 July 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
SE Palmeiras
1 – 0
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Sun 11 May 2025 · 20:30 UTC Arena Barueri HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 31' Ruan
Joaquin Piquerez 85' Y
Y 90' Nahuel Ferraresi

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Barueri.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

12
5
3
SE Palmeiras 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 Sao Paulo FC 2023-06-11 Sao Paulo FC 0–2 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
04 May CR Vasco da Gama A 1–0 W
27 Apr EC Bahia H 0–1 L
20 Apr Fortaleza EC A 2–1 W
16 Apr SC Internacional A 1–0 W
12 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
03 May Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Ceará SC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Santos FC H 2–1 W
16 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
13 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras Sao Paulo FC
#1 Position #8
41 Points 25
18 Played 18
12 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 7
30 Scored 23
13 Conceded 20
+17 GD +3
2.28 PPG 1.39
67% Win % 39%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Gustavo Gomez 3 G
Jhon Arias 3 G
Vitor Roque 3 G
Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: SE Palmeiras gets underway.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alan Franco made 161 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Estevao needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 100% of all matches.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 26' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 26 minute. Wendell leaves to be changed by Enzo Diaz.
  • 31' Ruan picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 36' The 27-year-old Bruno Fuchs has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 51' Sao Paulo FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 55' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 55 minute. Cedric leaves to be changed by Lucas Ferreira.
  • 56' The whistle greets Matheus as he departs to be replaced by Oscar.
  • 61' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 62' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Richard Rios has done his job and it is now time for Felipe Anderson to step up.
  • 65' Lucas Evangelista is replacing Allan for the SE Palmeiras side.
  • 66' The crowd applauds Paulinho as he leaves the pitch. Mauricio steps in for SE Palmeiras.
  • 71' SE Palmeiras is showing some good football. However, SE Palmeiras are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 75' Luciano is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ferreira at the 75 minute mark.
  • 79' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 79 minute. Estevao leaves to be changed by Vitor Roque.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Raphael Veiga. He replaces Anibal Moreno on 80 minute.
  • 85' Joaquin Piquerez is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Nahuel Ferraresi.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Breno Lopes 3
Luciano 3
Jose Manuel Lopez 3
Dudu 2
Willian 2
Joaquin Piquerez 2
Willian 2
Gustavo Gomez 2

Head to Head

2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 Sao Paulo FC 2023-06-11 Sao Paulo FC 0–2 SE Palmeiras

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-05-04 CR Vasco da Gama 0–1 SE Palmeiras W 2025-04-27 SE Palmeiras 0–1 EC Bahia L 2025-04-20 Fortaleza EC 1–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-04-16 SC Internacional 0–1 SE Palmeiras W 2025-04-12 SE Palmeiras 2–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC D 2025-04-26 Ceará SC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D 2025-04-20 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Santos FC W 2025-04-16 Botafogo FR 2–2 Sao Paulo FC D 2025-04-13 Sao Paulo FC 1–1 Cruzeiro EC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.54 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 66% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras62% Draw26% Sao Paulo FC12%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
87%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
38%
SE Palmeiras or Sao Paulo FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras40% Draw51% Sao Paulo FC9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.5%
2 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
2.8%
1 – 2
2.8%
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 19% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 27% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
58% ✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.