Botafogo FR vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 21 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Dec | CF Pachuca | H | 0–3 | L |
| 08 Dec | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr | Botafogo FR | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | SC Recife | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Dec | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Dec | EC Juventude | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #12 |
| 30 | Points | 27 |
| 21 | Played | 22 |
| 8 / 6 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 6 / 9 |
| 35 | Scored | 27 |
| 33 | Conceded | 26 |
| +2 | GD | +1 |
| 1.43 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 38% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Botafogo FR are 10th (30 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 7 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio Nilton Santos!
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Botafogo FR in their trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact .
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Botafogo FR and Sao Paulo FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Botafogo FR that had 344 games and scored 353 goals.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Botafogo FR side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 21' Ferreira makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Sao Paulo FC are in front.
- 24' What a moment for Jefferson Savarino! That strike on 24 puts his side firmly in control.
- 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nahuel Ferraresi, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Nilton Santos with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Zubeldía will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' Andre Silva is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jonathan Calleri at the 35 minute mark.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 45' Sao Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Zubeldía might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 53' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matheus on 53.
- 58' Andre Silva is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 63' Patrick de Paula has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gregore on 63 minute.
- 65' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Wendell trudges off to be replaced by Enzo Diaz on 65 minutes.
- 66' Ferreira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 66.
- 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 76' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luciano made 389 appearances and scored 63 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 81' Fresh legs for Botafogo FR! Gonzalo Mastriani comes on to replace Matheus Martins.
- 84' Igor Jesus has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 84 minutes.
- 87' Nahuel Ferraresi makes way for Rodrigo Huendra at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
- 88' Botafogo FR ring the changes. Artur Guimaraes has done his job and it is now time for Jeffinho to step up.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Robert Arboleda.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
-
26
Gregore ↓ Patrick de Paula 63'
-
7
Artur Guimaraes ↓ Jeffinho 88'
- 10
- 12
-
2
Vitinho ↓ Mateo Ponte 88'
- 20
- 17
- 11
- 66
- 32
- 99
Bench
- 13
-
6
Patrick de Paula ↑ 63'
-
39
Gonzalo Mastriani ↑ 81'
- 5
- 33
- 9
- 24
- 57
-
47
Jeffinho ↑ 88'
- 28
-
4
Mateo Ponte ↑ 88'
- 77
Coach
Renato Paiva
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 5
- 6
- 18
-
9
Jonathan Calleri ↓ Andre Silva 35'
- 20
- 28
- 32
-
11
Ferreira ↓ Lucas Ferreira 87'
- 23
- 47
Bench
-
10
Luciano ↑ 65'
- 93
- 2
- 35
-
13
Enzo Diaz ↑ 65'
-
17
Andre Silva ↑ 35'
- 22
-
15
Rodrigo Huendra ↑ 87'
- 21
- 43
- 49
-
48
Lucas Ferreira ↑ 87'
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tiquinho Soares | 4 |
| Brenner | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 2 |
| Kayque | 2 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.83
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
71%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
53%
Botafogo FR or Sao Paulo FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.8%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 19% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

