Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

Sao Paulo FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Gremio FBPA

Thu 12 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A .

Sao Paulo FC 30 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)

8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	30	64
2	SE Palmeiras	30	63
3	CA Paranaense	30	53
4	Fluminense FC	30	51
5	EC Bahia	30	49
6	Cruzeiro EC	30	48
7	CA Mineiro	30	47
8	Santos FC	30	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	40
10	Sao Paulo FC	30	39
11	Coritiba FBC	30	39
12	Botafogo FR	30	36
13	Mirassol FC	31	36
14	EC Vitoria	30	36
15	CR Vasco da Gama	29	35
16	SC Internacional	31	32
17	SC Corinthians Paulista	30	32
18	Gremio FBPA	30	31
19	Clube do Remo	30	25
20	Chapecoense AF	29	18

Head-to-Head

Sao Paulo FC 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Gremio FBPA

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA 2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Feb	Gremio FBPA	H	2–0	W
04 Feb	Santos FC	A	1–1	D
29 Jan	CR Flamengo	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Vitoria	A	0–1	L
03 Dec	SC Internacional	H	3–0	W
27 Nov	Fluminense FC	A	0–6	L

Gremio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Feb	Sao Paulo FC	A	0–2	L
05 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	5–3	W
28 Jan	Fluminense FC	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	SC Recife	A	4–0	W
03 Dec	Fluminense FC	H	1–2	L
26 Nov	SE Palmeiras	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC		Gremio FBPA
#10	Position	#18
39	Points	31
30	Played	30
11 / 6 / 13	W / D / L	7 / 10 / 13
35	Scored	32
35	Conceded	40
+0	GD	-8
1.30	PPG	1.03
37%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Sao Paulo FC are 10th (39 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC

0-15

5/–

16-30

4/4

31-45

5/6

46-60

–/11

61-75

6/2

76+

4/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gremio FBPA

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/7

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC

Jonathan Calleri	10 G	1 A
Luciano	9 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G
Artur Guimaraes	3 G	1 A

Gremio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

10 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sao Paulo FC and Gremio FBPA is underway.
With this win, Sao Paulo FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Everton	3
Luciano	2
Franco Cristaldo	2
Carlos Vinicius	2
Luciano	2
Everton	2
Diogo Barbosa	1
Wallace	1

Head to Head

Sao Paulo FC Form

2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA W 2026-02-04 Santos FC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D 2026-01-29 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 CR Flamengo W 2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-12-03 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 SC Internacional W 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 Sao Paulo FC L

Gremio FBPA Form

2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA L 2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR W 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-12-07 SC Recife 0–4 Gremio FBPA W 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC L 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.5 Sao Paulo FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.92 Gremio FBPA xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sao Paulo FC51% Draw27% Gremio FBPA22%

Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.42

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Gremio FBPA

49%

Sao Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sao Paulo FC34% Draw49% Gremio FBPA17%

Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

1 – 0

12.3%

0 – 0

11%

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

8.9%

0 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

5.4%

3 – 0

4.8%

3 – 1

4.5%

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

2.2%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap	Sao Paulo FC covers	Push	Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	24%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.