Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

Sao Paulo FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Gremio FBPA

Thu 12 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A .

Sao Paulo FC 24 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)

8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	25	52
2	CR Flamengo	24	48
3	CA Paranaense	25	45
4	Fluminense FC	25	42
5	EC Bahia	25	40
6	Cruzeiro EC	25	39
7	Coritiba FBC	25	37
8	CA Mineiro	24	36
9	RB Bragantino	24	35
10	SC Corinthians Paulista	25	32
11	Sao Paulo FC	24	30
12	Botafogo FR	24	30
13	Santos FC	24	29
14	EC Vitoria	25	29
15	Gremio FBPA	24	28
16	SC Internacional	25	25
17	Mirassol FC	24	25
18	CR Vasco da Gama	24	25
19	Clube do Remo	25	23
20	Chapecoense AF	24	14

Head-to-Head

Sao Paulo FC 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Gremio FBPA

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA 2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Feb	Gremio FBPA	H	2–0	W
04 Feb	Santos FC	A	1–1	D
29 Jan	CR Flamengo	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Vitoria	A	0–1	L
03 Dec	SC Internacional	H	3–0	W
27 Nov	Fluminense FC	A	0–6	L

Gremio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Feb	Sao Paulo FC	A	0–2	L
05 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	5–3	W
28 Jan	Fluminense FC	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	SC Recife	A	4–0	W
03 Dec	Fluminense FC	H	1–2	L
26 Nov	SE Palmeiras	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC		Gremio FBPA
#11	Position	#15
30	Points	28
24	Played	24
8 / 6 / 10	W / D / L	7 / 7 / 10
29	Scored	27
28	Conceded	32
+1	GD	-5
1.25	PPG	1.17
33%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Sao Paulo FC are 11th (30 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC

0-15

4/–

16-30

3/4

31-45

4/2

46-60

–/8

61-75

3/2

76+

4/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gremio FBPA

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/2

31-45

2/4

46-60

4/2

61-75

2/6

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC

Luciano	7 G	1 A
Jonathan Calleri	7 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G
Artur Guimaraes	3 G	1 A

Gremio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

10 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sao Paulo FC is hosting Gremio FBPA for another epic battle.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Everton	3
Luciano	2
Franco Cristaldo	2
Carlos Vinicius	2
Luciano	2
Everton	2
Jhonata Robert	1
Alexander Aravena	1

Head to Head

Sao Paulo FC Form

2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA W 2026-02-04 Santos FC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D 2026-01-29 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 CR Flamengo W 2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-12-03 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 SC Internacional W 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 Sao Paulo FC L

Gremio FBPA Form

2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA L 2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR W 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-12-07 SC Recife 0–4 Gremio FBPA W 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC L 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.54 Sao Paulo FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.95 Gremio FBPA xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sao Paulo FC51% Draw27% Gremio FBPA22%

Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.49

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Gremio FBPA

49%

Sao Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sao Paulo FC34% Draw48% Gremio FBPA18%

Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13%

1 – 0

11.8%

0 – 0

10.4%

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

0 – 1

6.8%

1 – 2

5.5%

3 – 0

4.8%

3 – 1

4.7%

2 – 2

4.3%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap	Sao Paulo FC covers	Push	Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	23%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.